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Please begin with an informative title:

In the interest of spotlighting downballot races, and seeing that this year is when Virginia holds all of its statewide elections, I will take a look at the Virginia House of Delegates, a 100-seat body that is currently under Republican control 68-32(the actual makeup is 67R-1I-32D).  The election information on each House District is from the Virginia Public Access Project(VPAP).

District 1
Incumbent: Terry Kilgore(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities(in parenthesis are what percent it comprises the district):  Lee County(32%), Scott County(32%), Wise Count(31%), Norton City(5%).
2012 Elections:   Romney 73%/Obama 26%, Allen 70%/Kaine 30%

This Southwestern Virginia district is very Republican and it contains all of Scott and Lee counties and part of Wise County and also the city of Norton.   Kilgore currently is running unopposed and regardless given how blood red this district is, this is a Republican Hold.

District 2
Incumbent:  Mark Dudenhefer (R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Prince William County(54%), Stafford County(46%)
2012 Elections: Obama 58%/Romney 41%, Kaine 58%/Allen 42%

This district comprises of parts of the growing counties of Prince William and Stafford Counties.  The Democrat running for this seat is Michael Futrell, who recently had an embarrassing incident where he copied another political website word for word.  Given this district's Democratic lean, Dudenhefer could be endangered but Futrell seems like a lightweight.   For now I'll just say Lean R but eventually this district will likely give us a Democratic Delegate.

District 3
Incumbent: Will Morefield(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Tazewell County(54%), Buchanan County(31%), Bland County(9%), Russell County(6%)
2012 elections: Romney 74%/Obama 25%, Allen 72%/Kaine 28%

This is another Southwestern Virginia district that has all of Bland, Buchanan and Tazewell Counties as well as part of Russell County.  Morefield is currently unopposed and this is a blood-red district so this would be a Republican Hold.

District 4
Incumbent: Joseph Johnson(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Washington County(33%), Russell County(30%), Dickinson County(22%), Wise County(15%)
2012 elections: Romney 68%/Obama 30%, Allen 66%/Kaine 34%

The Democratic incumbent has declined to run for re-election and given that he is over 80, I can see why.   As far as I know, the only candidate is a Republican named Ben Chafin.   Given this district heavy Republican lean this is a Republican pickup.   This is a Southwestern Virginia district that includes all of Dickinson and parts of Russell, Washington and Wise Counties

GOP + 1

District 5
Incumbent: Israel O'Quinn(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Washington County(36%), City of Bristol(23%), Grayson County(20%), Smyth County(14%), City of Galax(7%)
2012 elections: Romney 69%/Obama 29%, Allen 67%/Kaine 33%

This is another Southwestern Virginia district and no surprise it's blood-red.  Given that O'Quinn seems unopposed this is another Republican hold.   It has all of Grayson County and parts of Smyth and Washington Counties as well as the cities of Bristol and Galax.

District 6
Incumbent: Anne Crockett-Stark(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Wythe County(38%), Carroll County(37%), Smyth County(25%)
2012 elections: Romney 66%/Obama 31%/Goode 1% , Allen 65%/Kaine 34%

Yet another SW Virginia district.   This one has all of Carroll and Wythe Counties and part of Smyth County.   The incumbent Republican declined to run for re-election and one of the candidates is a Republican named Jeff Campbell.  The other two GOPers are named Ted Reavis and Jack Weaver. This is a Republican enough district to be a Republican Hold.

District 7
Incumbent: Nick Rush(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Montgomery County(44%), Pulaski County(36%), Floyd County(20%)
2012 election: Romney 60%/Obama 37%/Johnson 1%/Goode 1%, Allen 59%/Kaine 41%

This Western Virginia district that is close to Blacksburg has all of Floyd County and parts of Montgomery and Pulaski Counties.   Rush is running unopposed so this is a Republican hold.

District 8
Incumbent: Greg Habeeb
District link on VPAP
Localities: Roanoke County(44%), City of Salem(29%), Montgomery County(20%), Craig County(7%).
2012 elections: Romney 61%/Obama 37%, Allen 60%/Kaine 40%

This Western Virginia district which is between Blacksburg and Roanoke and includes Salem is trending slightly Democratic but it is still solid Republican.   It includes all of Craig County, parts of Montgomery and Roanoke Counties and the City of Salem.   Habeeb is running only against a Libertarian so this is a Republican Hold.

District 9
Incumbent: Charles Poindexter(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Franklin County(56%), Patrick County(24%), Henry County(20%)
2012 elections: Romney 63%/Obama 34%/Goode 2%, Allen 63%/Kaine 37%

This district which is south of Roanoke and west of Martinsville is solidly Republican, and includes all of Patrick County and parts of Frankin County and Henry County.   Poindexter seems to be running unopposed so this is a Republican Hold

District 10
Incumbent: Randy Minchew(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Loudoun County(76%), Frederick County(17%), Clarke County(6%)
2012 elections: Romney 51%/Obama 47%, Allen 51%/Kaine 49%

This Northern Virginia district leans Republican and includes parts of Clarke, Frederick and Loudoun Counties.  The Democrat in this race is Monte Johnson, a firsttimer.   One of the issues that Johnson is running on his women's health and is a clear contrast with Minchew who supports forced ultrasounds.   This district has some pretty swingy parts of Loudoun County along with a few strong Democratic precincts(East Leesburg).  This is a Lean to Likely R from my view but we'll see if women want to throw out some Republicans in Northern Virginia.

District 11
Incumbent: Onzlee Ware(D)
District Link on VPAP
Locality: City of Roanoke
2012 elections: Obama 64%/Romney 34%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 66%/Allen 34%

This deep-blue district comprises of part of the City of Roanoke.   Ware is running unopposed so this is a Democratic Hold.

District 12
Incumbent: Joseph Yost(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Montgomery County(50%), Giles County(25%), City of Radford(17%), Pulaski County(7%)
2012 elections: Obama 51%/Romney 46%/Johnson 2%, Kaine 54%/Allen 64%

This is a swing district in western Virginia that includes Blacksburg and the city of Radford as well as Giles County and parts of Montgomery and Pulaski Counties.   Yost appears to have no opponent which IMO is political malpractice since it is a swing district and Obama and Kaine won this district and Yost was first elected in 2011.   Democrats need to run somebody here in 2015.   This district is likely a Tossup if it were contested.

District 13
Incumbent: Bob Marshall(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Prince William County(85%), City Of Manassas Park(15%)
2012 elections: Obama 55%/Romney 44%, Kaine 55%/Allen 45%

This Northern Virginia district is represented by a longtime Republican incumbent.   Until recently, there was a Democratic challenger as there should be since this district leans D.   This district includes part of Prince William County and the City of Manassas Park.   This should be another top target come 2015.

District 14
Incumbent: Danny Marshall(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: City Of Danville(54%), Pittsylvania County(27%), Henry County(20%)
2012 Elections:  Romney 49%/Obama 49%, Allen 50%/Kaine 50%

This Southern Virginia district which includes Danville and parts of Henry and Pittsylvania Counties ever so slightly leans Republican but is a swing district.   And there is a Democrat running in this district named Gary Miller.  Miller is Danville's Vice-Mayor and looks like a good candidate for a tough race.

District 15
Incumbent: Todd Gilbert(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Shenandoah County(52%), Page County(30%), Warren County(12%), Rockingham County(6%)
2012 elections: Romney 65%/Obama 33%, Allen 65%/Kaine 35%

This Shenandoah Valley district includes all of Page and Shenandoah Counties as well as parts of Rockingham and Warren Counties.   Gilbert has a primary opponent named Mark Prince, and since they are the only ones running, Republican Hold

District 16
Incumbent: Donald Merricks(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Pittsylvania County(53%), Henry County(30%), City of Martinsville(17%)
2012 elections: Romney 56%/Obama 42%/Goode 2%, Allen 57%/Kaine 43%

This district which includes the solidly-Democratic city of Martinsville is still solid red. The district also has parts of Henry and Pittsylvania Counties.   Merricks declined to run for re-election and so two Republicans are vying for these seat(no Democrat appears to be running).  The GOP primary is June 11, 2013 between an attorney named Lee Adams and a former Pittsylvania County Economic Director named Kenneth Bowman.   This should be a target come 2015.

District 17
Incumbent: Chris Head(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Roanoke County(74%), City of Roanoke(20%), Botetourt County(6%)
2012 elections: Romney 59%/Obama 39%, Allen 58%/Kaine 41%

This western Virginia district which includes parts of Botetourt and Roanoke County as well as the swing and Republican parts of the city of Roanoke will feature a re-match between Head and Democrat Freeda Cathcart.  I commend Cathcart for contending this race.   It looks Likely to Safe Republican however.

District 18
Incumbent: Michael Webert(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Fauquier County(53%), Warren County(21%), Culpeper County(16%), Rappahannock County(10%)
2012 elections: Romney 58%/Obama 40%/Johnson 1%, Allen 58%/Kaine 42%

This north central Virginia district includes Rappahannock County and parts of Culpeper, Fauqier and Warren Counties.   The district itself is ever so slightly trending blue in precincts in Culpeper and Rappahannock Counties.   Webert has a Democratic opponent named Colin Harris.   This looks like a Likely to Safe R.

District 19
Incumbent: Lacey Putney(I) (*caucuses with GOP)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Botetourt County(38%), Bedford County(28%), Alleghany County(20%), City of Bedford(7%), city of Covington(7%)
2012 elections: Romney 63%/Obama 35%, Allen 63%/Kaine 37%

This western Virginia district which includes the cities of Bedford and Covington as well as all of Alleghany County and parts of Bedord and Botetourt Counties will have two Republicans trying to replace the retiring Putney.   The firehouse primary is on May 7th, 2013 and is between Terry Austin, Jim Crosby, Jerry Johnson, Zachary Martin and Jim McKelvey.   There is also a Constitution Party joker running. This would technically be a GOP pickup.

GOP + 2

District 20
Incumbent: Richard Bell(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Staunton(30%), Augusta County(30%), City of Waynesboro(25%), Nelson County(12%), Highland County(4%)
2012 elections: Romney 57%/Obama 41%, Allen 58%/Kaine 42%

This western Virginia district which includes the cities of Stauton and Waynesboro as well as all of Highland County and parts of Augusta and Nelson counties has Bell running unopposed.   It's a Republican Hold.  For the record, parts of Nelson county and Stauton itself is a swing area.   Waynesboro leans Republican.  We'll see if this gets contested in 2015.

District 21
Incumbent: Ron Vllanueva(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Virginia Beach(93%), City of Chesepeake(7%)
2012 elections: Obama 52%/Romney 47%, Kaine 53%/Allen 47%

This district which has parts of Virginia Beach and a Republican precinct in Chesepeake should have been contested this year.   I hope that it is contested by a Democrat in 2015.    Republican hold(unfortunely).

District 22
Incumbent: Kathy Byron(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Bedford County(39%), City of Lynchburg(27%), Campbell County(22%), Franklin County(12%)
2012 elections: Romney 60%/Obama 38%, Allen 61%/Kaine 39%

Byron is the Republican responsible for introducing forced ultrasounds in Virginia.  This western Virginia district includes parts of the City of Lynchburg and the counties of Bedford, Campbell and Franklin.   Byron doesn't seem to have an opponent in 2013.   At least for 2015, a Democrat should make her spend money defending ultrasounds.

District 23
Incumbent: Scott Garrett(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Lynchburg(66%), Bedford County(23%), Amherst County(11%)
2012 elections: Romney 65%/Obama 33%, Allen 65%/Kaine 35%

This district which is mostly a Lynchburg district(it has part of that city) also includes parts of Amherst and Bedford counties.   Garrett is running unopposed in this very red district so it's a Republican Hold

District 24
Incumbent: Ben Cline(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Rockbridge County(29%), Amherst County(28%), Augusta County(21%), City of Buena Vista(8%),  City of Lexington(7%), Bath County(7%)
2012 elections: Romney 62%/Obama 37%, Allen 62%/Kaine 38%

This western Virginia district which includes all of Bath and Rockbridge Counties as well as the cities of Buena Vista and Lexington and parts of Amherst and Augusta Counties is blood-red and hence Cline is running unopposed.   A Republican Hold.

District 25
Incumbent: Steve Landes(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Augusta County(37%), Albemarle County(32%), Rockingham County(31%)
2012 elections: Romney 61%/Obama 37%, Allen 61%/Kaine 39%

This Blue Ridge Mountains district is very Republican and Landes is running unopposed so it is a Republican Hold.   It includes parts of Albemartle, Augusta and Rockingham Counties.

District 26
Incumbent: Tony Wilt(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localites:  City of Harrisonburg(53%), Rockingham County(47%)
2012 elections: Romney 55%/Obama 43%/Johnson 1%, Allen 57%/Kaine 43%

This Shenandoah Valley district which includes the City of Harrisonburg and parts of Rockingham County is where Harrisonburg leans Democratic and the Rockingham County parts are all strongly Republican.   By population, Harrisonburg edges out those Rockingham County parts so a moderate Democrat who can turn out the base could have a shot at this seat.   I think Hillary could win this district in 2016.   Wilt is running unopposed so this is a Republican Hold

District 27
Incumbent: Roxann Robinson(R)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Chesterfield County
2012 elections: Romney 53%/Obama 45%, Allen 52%/Kaine 48%.

This Richmond suburbs district includes part of Chesterfield County.  Robinson is unopposed so this is a Republican Hold.   The only time Robinson had an opponent was a special election which she won 70%.   A Democrat should take her on in a regular election because it would be much closer.

District 28
Incumbent: Bill Howell(R)-  Speaker of the House
District link on VPAP
Localities: Stafford County(91%), City of Fredericksburg(9%)
2012 elections: Obama 49%/Romney 49%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 51%/Allen 49%

Howell is a longtime incumbent and the Speaker.   Somewhat surprising for a swing district, there is a Republican primary.  Craig Ennis, who in the past has run as an Independent Green is running against Howell on taxes(calling for an end to tax hikes) and for expanding background checks on guns.  The June 11 Republican Primary should be interesting.   Does the GOP care more about taxes or guns?   The district includes part of Stafford County and strongly Democratic parts of Fredericksburg

District 29
Incumbent: Beverly Sherwood(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Frederick County(58%), City of Winchester(29%), Warren County(12%)
2012 elections: Romney 59%/Obama 38%/Johnson 1%, Allen 59%/Kaine 41%

This Shenanodah Valley district includes the City of Winchster(a swing city) and parts of Frederick and Warren Counties.   Sherwood has a Republican primary opponent named Mark Berg and no Democrat is running so this is a Republican hold

District 30
Incumbent: Ed Scott(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Orange County(43%), Culpeper County(39%), Madison County(17%)
2012 elections: Romney 56%/Obama 42%, Allen 57%/Kaine 43%

This Virginia Piedmont district has a Democrat named Traci Dippert running.   The district has all of Madison and Orange Counties as well as part of Culpeper County.   Given that it is solid Republican, this is a Likely Republican.

District 31
Incumbent: Scott Lingamfelter(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Prince William County(79%), Fauquier County(21%)
2012 elections: Obama 53%/Romney 46%, Kaine 53%/Allen 46%

This light blue district that includes part of Fauquier and Prince William counties will have a Democrat running for the seat named Jeremy McPike.  Lingamfelter is a long time incumbent and one of the Republicans that is running for Lieutenant Governor.   I'll keep on eye on this race given its very slight Democratic lean.   Lean Republican for now.

District 32
Incumbent: Tag Greason(R)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Loudoun County
2012 elections: Obama 52%/Romney 47%, Kaine 53%/Allen 47%

This swing district which is part of Loudoun County has Greason running unopposed.   A Democrat should run here in 2015.   Period.   Republican Hold.

District 33
Incumbent: Joe May(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Loudoun County(65%), Frederick County(23%), Clarke County(12%)
2012 elections: Romney 56%/Obama 42%/Johnson 1%, Allen 56%/Kaine 44%

This Northern Virginia district includes parts of Clarke, Frederick and Loudoun counties.   May has a Republican primary opponent named Dave LaRock who hates public transportation.   This could see May knocked out by a nutbag.   We'll see in June 2013.   Since no Democrat is running, this is a Republican Hold.

District 34
Incumbent: Barbara Comstock(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Fairfax County(69%), Loudoun County(31%)
2012 elections: Obama 49%/Romney 49%, Kaine 52%/Allen 47%

This Northern Virginia district includes parts of Fairfax and Loudoun Counties.   This slightly leans Republican.  There is a Democrat running for this seat named Kathleen Murphy.   Murphy looks like a strong candidate and she could use the what the Republicans have done on their war on women to take it to Comstock.   Given the district's lean, this is Lean R.

District 35
Incumbent: Mark Keam(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Fairfax County
2012 elections: Obama 59%/Romney 39%, Kaine 61%/Allen 39%

Keam is running unopposed in this deep blue district in Fairfax County.   Democratic Hold.

District 36
Incumbent: Kenneth Plum(D)
District Link on VPAP
Locality: Fairfax County
2012 elections: Obama 63%/Romney 35%, Kaine 65%/Allen 34%

Plum is another Democrat in a deep blue district that doesn't have an opponent.   Democratic Hold.

District 37
Incumbent: David Bulova(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Fairfax County(69%), City of Fairfax(31%)
2012 elections: Obama 60%/Romney 38%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 61%/Allen 39%

Bulova is running unopposed in this strongly blue district that has parts of Fairfax County and the City of Fairfax.  Democratic Hold

District 38
Incumbent: Kaye Kory(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Fairfax County
2012 elections: Obama 66%/Romney 33%, Kaine 67%/Allen 33%

Kory is running unopposed in this very blue district so it's a Democratic Hold.

District 39
Incumbent: Vivian Watts(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Fairfax County
2012 elections: Obama 61%/Romney 37%, Kaine 63%/Allen 37%

Watts has a Republican Some Dude opponent named Joseph Bury.   This is a strongly Democratic district and Watts is a longtime incumbent so I'm going to say Safe D.   Democratic Hold.

District 40
Incumbent: Tim Hugo(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Fairfax County(83%),  Prince William County(17%)
2012 elections: Romney 51%/Obama 48%, Allen 51%/Kaine 49%

This Northern Virginia district that leans Republican and includes parts of Fairfax and Prince William counties has a Democrat named Jerrold Foltz.   Given Hugo's large warchest and Foltz being a firstime candidate, this is a tough race to win.  Likely Republican

District 41
Incumbent: Eillen Filler-Corn(D)
District Link on VPAP
Locality: Fairfax County
2012 elections: Obama 57%/Romney 41%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 59%/Allen 40%

Filler-Corn is running unopposed in this rather Democratic district.   Democratic Hold.

District 42
Incumbent: Dave Albo(R)
District Link on VPAP
Locality: Fairfax County
2012 elections: Obama 52%/Romney 46%, Kaine 54%/Allen 46%

This swing district has a Democrat named Ed Deitsch running against Albo.   If Virginians are feeling like kicking off some GOPers over choice, I can see Deitsch having a chance.   For now, Lean R.

District 43
Incumbent: Mark Sickles(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Fairfax County
2012 elections: Obama 64%/Romney 34%, Kaine 66%/Allen 34%

Sickles is unopposed in this very strongly Democratic district.   Democratic Hold.

District 44
Incumbent: Scott Surovell(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Fairfax County
2012 elections: Obama 64%/Romney 34%, Kaine 65%/Allen 35%

Surovell is running unopposed in this quite strongly Democratic district.   Democratic Hold.

District 45
Incumbent: Rob Krupicka(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Alexandria(73%), Arlington County(19%), Fairfax County(8%)
2012 elections: Obama 67%/Romney 31%, Kaine 70%/Allen 30%

In the extremely strong Democratic district in Northern Virginia that includes parts of Arlington and Fairfax Counties as well as part of the City of Alexandria, Krupicka has a Some Dude independent opponent named Jeff Engle.   I don't see Krupicka having a problem here.   Democratic Hold.

District 46
Incumbent: Charniele Herring(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: City of Alexandria
2012 elections: Obama 74%/Romney 25%, Kaine 75%/Allen 25%

Herring is running unopposed in this deep, deep blue district that is in part of the City of Alexandria.   Democratic Hold

District 47
Incumbent: Patrick Hope(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Arlington County
2012 elections: Obama 66%/Romney 32%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 69%/Allen 31%

Hope only has a Libertarian opponent in this very strongly Democratic district.   Democratic Hold.

District 48
Incumbent: Bob Brink(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Arlington County(69%), Fairfax County(31%)
2012 elections: Obama 62%/Romney 37%, Kaine 64%/Allen 35%

Brink is running against some Libertarian.   This is a strongly Democratic district and I don't see Brink having any trouble.   Democratic Hold.

District 49
Incumbent: Alfonso Lopez(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Arlington County(77%), Fairfax County(23%)
2012 elections: Obama 73%/Romney 25%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 75%/Allen 25%

In this deep, deep blue district, Lopez only has an opponent who is an Independent Green, which are basically Republicans who love the environment.  Lopez should cruise to victory.  Democratic hold.

District 50
Incumbent: Jackson Miller(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Prince William County(51%), City of Manassas(49%)
2012 elections: Obama 54%/Romney 44%, Kaine 54%/Allen 45%

Democrats let another Republican in an Obama district off easy.   This Northern Virginia district which includes part of Prince William County and all of the City of Manassas, which is Democratic voting.  Since Miller is running unopposed, Republican Hold

District 51
Incumbent: Richard Anderson(R)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Prince William County
2012 elections: Obama 51%/Romney 47%, Kaine 52%/Allen 48%

In this swing district, Anderson has a Democratic opponent named Reed Heddleston.  Heddleston is running on transportation as his big issue and he strikes a moderate profile.   Lean Republican(for now)

District 52
Incumbent: Luke Torian(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Prince William County
2012 elections: Obama 73%/Romney 26%, Kaine 72%/Allen 27%

Torian is unopposed in this very strong Democratic district.   Democratic Hold

District 53
Incumbent: Jim Scott(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Fairfax County(82%), City of Falls Church(18%)
2012 elections: Obama 65%/Romney 33%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 67%/Allen 33%

Scott is retiring, and the only candidate is a Democrat named Marcus Simon.   Democratic Hold.

District 54
Incumbent: Bobby Orrock(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Spotsylvania County(97%), Caroline County(3%)
2012 elections: Romney 53%/Obama 46%, Allen 53%/Kaine 47%

This central Virginia district that includes part of Spotsylvania County and Caroline Counties has a long time Republican incumbent challenged by a Tea Party nut named Dustin Curtis.   Even if this district is somewhat Republican, I can imagine that this district can be contested in 2015 against a freshman Tea Partier.    Republican Hold.

District 55
Incumbent: John Cox(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Hanover County(65%), Caroline County(24%), Spotsylvania County(11%)
2012 elections: Romney 59%/Obama 40%, Allen 57%/Kaine 42%

In this solidly Republican district that includes parts of Caroline, Hanover and Spotsylvania counties, there are two candidates, Buddy Fowler, a Republican and Chris Sullivan, a Libertarian.   Odds are that the Republican wins.   Republican Hold.  

District 56
Incumbent: Peter Farrell(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Louisa County(41%), Henrico County(36%), Goochland County(17%), Spotsylvania County(6%)
2012 elections: Romney 61%/Obama 37%, Allen 59%/Kaine 41%

Farrell is unopposed in this strong Republican district in Central Virginia that has all of Louisa County and parts of Goochland, Henrico and Spotsylvania counties.   Republican Hold

District 57
Incumbent: David Toscano(D)- Minority Leader
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Charlottesville(54%), Albemarle County(48%)
2012 elections: Obama 69%/Romney 29%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 72%/Allen 27%

Toscano is unopposed in this strongly Democratic district that includes the very blue city of Charlottesville and parts of Albemarle County.   Democratic Hold.

District 58
Incumbent: Rob Bell(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Albemarle County(48%), Fluvanna County(23%), Greene County(22%), Rockingham County(14%)
2012 elections: Romney 58%/Obama 41%, Allen 58%/Allen 42%

In this solid Republican district in the Piedmont regions that includes parts of Albemarle, Fluvanna, Greene and Rockingham counties, Bell is unopposed.   Republican Hold

District 59
Incumbent: Matt Fariss(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Campbell County(38%), Appomattox County(20%), Buckingham County(20%), Albemarle County(12%), Nelson County(10%)
2012 elections: Romney 59%/Obama 40%, Allen 59%/Kaine 40%

This solid Republican district in the Piedmont that has all of Appomattox and Buckingham counties as well as parts of Albemarle, Campbell and Nelson counties has Fariss running unopposed.   For the record, the Albemarle county parts are blue, Nelson and Buckingham are swing and Appomattox and Campbell are the very red parts.   Republican Hold

District 60
Incumbent: James Edmunds(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Halifax County(47%), Prince Edward County(27%), Charlotte County(17%), Campbell County(9%)
2012 elections: Romney 51%/Obama 47%, Allen 53%/Kaine 47%

In this Republican leaning district that is east of Danville and includes all of Charlotte, Halifax and Prince Edward counties as well as part of Campbell County, there is a Democrat running named Jasper Hendricks.   This looks like a Likely Republican to me.

District 61
Incumbent: Tommy Wright(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Mecklenburg County(42%), Nottoway County(18%), Amelia County(16%), Cumberland County(13%), Lunenburg County(11%)
2012 elections: Romney 54%/Obama 44%, Allen 56%/Kaine 44%

This Southside district that has all of Amelia, Cumberland, Mecklenburg and Nottoway counties as well as part of Lunenburg County has Wright running unopposed.   Republican Hold

District 62
Incumbent: Riley Ingram(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Chesterfield County(64%), City of Hopewell(20%), Henrico County(12%), Prince George County(6%)
2012 elections: Romney 53%/Obama 46%, Allen 53%/Kaine 47%

This Richmond suburbs district with parts of Chesterfield, Henrico and Prince George counties as well as part of the City of Hopewell has Ingram running unopposed.   Republican Hold

District 63
Incumbent: Rosalyn Dance(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Petersburg(42%), Dinwiddle County(23%), Chesterfield County(17%), Prince George County(9%), City of Hopewell(8%)
2012 elections: Obama 72%/Romney 27%, Kaine 72%/Allen 28%

This extremely strong Democratic district that is the City of Petersburg plus parts of Chestefield, Dinwiddle and Prince George counties as well as part of the City of Hopewell has Dance unopposed. Dance has a primary opponent named Evandra Thompson who is primarying her from the left and has some establishment support.  Democratic Hold

District 64
Incumbent: Rick Morris(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Isle of Wright County(44%), Prince George County(24%), City of Suffolk(9%), Surry County(9%), Southhampton County(8%), City of Franklin(5%), Sussex County(2%)
2012 elections: Romney 58%/Obama 41%, Allen 57%/Kaine 42%

This Tidewater district that is made up of parts of Isle of Wright, Prince George, Southhampton, Surry and Sussex counties as well as parts of the cities of Franklin and Suffolk has Morris unopposed.   Republican Hold

District 65
Incumbent: Lee Ware(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Chesterfield Count(46%), Powhatan County(33%), Goochland County(13%), Fluvanna County(9%)
2012 elections: Romney 64%/Obama 34%, Allen 63%/Kaine 37%

This strongly Republican district actually has a Democrat trying for it.   William Quarles is running against Ware.   This district contains all of Powhatan County and parts of Chestefield, Goochland and Fluvanna.   This is almost a Safe R in my mind.

District 66
Incumbent: Kirk Cox(R)-Majority Leader
Distirct link on VPAP
Localities: Chesterfield County(78%), City of Colonial Heights(22%)
2012 elections: Romney 62%/Obama 37%, Allen 61%/Kaine 39%

This Richmond suburbs distrct includes part of Chesterfield County and all of the City of Colonial Heights.   Cox is unopposed.   Republican Hold

District 67
Incumbent: James LeMunyon(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Fairfax County(91%), Loudoun County(9%)
2012 elections: Obama 53%/Romney 45%, Kaine 55%/Allen 45%

This is a Lean Democratic district in Northern Virginia and yet again the Democrats aren't running somebody.   Republican Hold.

District 68
Incumbent: Manoli Loupassi(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Chesterfield County(52%), City of Richmond(43%), Henrico County(6%)
2012 elections: Romney 54%/Obama 44%/Johnson 1%, Allen 51%/Kaine 49%

This somewhat Republican district that includes part of Richmond and its suburbs in Chesterfield and Henrico Counties has Loupassi with an Independent candidate named John Maloney against him.  This basically seems Safe R to me.   Republican Hold.

District 69
Incumbent: Betsy Carr(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Richmond(94%), Chesterfield County(6%)
2012 elections: Obama 85%/Romney 14%, Kaine 85%/Allen 14%

The laughably lopsided numbers for Obama and Kaine speak for themselves.   Democratic Hold.

District 70
Incumbent: Delores McQuinn(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Henrico County(41%), Chesterfield County(40%), City of Richmond(19%)
2012 elections: Obama 79%/Romney 20%, Kaine 80%/Allen 20%

The laughably lopsided Obama and Kaine numbers make this a Democratic Hold.

District 71
Incumbent: Jennifer McClellan(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Richmond(92%), Henrico County(8%)
2012 elections: Obama 85%/Romney 13%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 87%/Allen 13%

Yet another Richmond district with very lopsided Obama and Kaine numbers.   Democratic Hold.

District 72
Incumbent: Jimmie Massie(R)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Henrico County
2012 elections: Romney 54%/Obama 44%, Allen 52%/Kaine 48%.

Massie is unopposed in this somewhat Republican district.  Republican Hold.

District 73
Incumbent: John O'Bannon(R)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Henrico County
2012 elections: Romney 52%/Obama 46%/Johnson 1%, Allen 50%/Kaine 50%

In this Lean Republican district, O'Bannon is unopposed.   Democrats should look at this district come 2015.

District 74
Incumbent: Joseph Morrissey(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Henrico County(87%), Charles City County(10%), City of Richmond(3%)
2012 elections: Obama 74%/Romney 25%, Kaine 75%/Allen 25%

Given the lopsided Obama and Kaine numbers this is a Democratic Hold.

District 75
Incumbent: Roslyn Tyler(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Brunswick County(23%), Southampton County(16%), Greensville County(14%), Dinwiddle County(13%), Sussex County(12%), City of Emporia(8%), City of Franklin(7%), Lunenburg County(5%), Isle of Wright County(1%), Surry County(1%)
2012 elections: Obama 62%/Romney 37%, Kaine 61%/Allen 39%

This strong Democrat district in Southside Virginia includes the whole of Brunswick and Greensvile Counties as well as parts of Dinwiddle, Isle of Wright, Lunenburg, Southampton, Sussex and Surry counties as well as all of the City of Emporia and part of the city of Franklin.   Tyler is unopposed so this is a Democratic Hold.

District 76
Incumbent: Chris Jones(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Suffolk(63%), City of Chesapeake(37%)
2012 elections: Romney 54%/Obama 44%, Allen 53%/Kaine 47%

Jones has a Constitution Party opponent in this somewhat Republican district that is amde up of parts of the cities of Suffolk and Chesapeake.   Republican Hold.

District 77
Incumbent: Lionel Spruill(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Chesapeake(77%), City of Suffolk(23%)
2012 elections: Obama 77%/Romney 22%, Kaine 77%/Allen 23%

The lopsided numbers for Democrats in this district means a Democratic Hold.

District 78
Incumbent: John Cosgrove(R)
District link on VPAP
Locality: City of Chesapeake
2012 elections: Romney 60%/Obama 38%, Allen 59%/Kaine 41%

Cosgrove is running unopposed so Republican Hold

District 79
Incumbent: Johnny Joannou(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Portsmouth(75%), City of Norfolk(25%)
2012 elections: Obama 61%/Romney 37%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 63%/Allen 37%

This is a strongly Democratic district and Joannou is unopposed.   Democratic Hold.

District 80
Incumbent: Matthew James(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Portsmouth(71%), City of Suffolk(15%), City of Chesapeake(9%), City of Norfolk(5%)
2012 elections: Obama 74%/Romney 25%, Kaine 74%/Allen 26%

The lopsided Obama and Kaine numbers and that James is unopposed means this is a Democratic Hold

District 81
Incumbent: Barry Knight(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Virginia Beach(57%), City of Chesapeake(43%)
2012 elections: Romney 57%/Obama 41%/Johnson 1%, Allen 56%/Kaine 43%

This strong Republican district has Knight unopposed.   Republican Hold.

District 82
Incumbent: Harry Purkey(R)
District link on VPAP
Locality: Virginia Beach
2012 elections: Romney 58%/Obama 40%, Allen 56%/Kaine 44%

This is an open seat since Purkey is retiring.  A Virginia Beach Councilman who is a Republican named Bill DeSteph is running for this seat.   A Democrat named Bill Fleming is running for this seat.  He's a DFA-endorsed one too.   Given this district, it's a Likely Republican though

District 83
Incumbent: Chris Stolle(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Virginia Beach(61%), City of Norfolk(39%)
2012 elections: Romney 52%/Obama 46%, Allen 51%/Kaine 49%

This Lean Republican district has Stolle running unopposed.   Republican Hold.

District 84
Incumbent: Sal Iaquinto(R)
District link on VPAP
Localitiy: City of Virginia Beach
2012 elections: Romney 50%/Obama 49%, Kaine 50%/Allen 49%

This swing/tilt R district shows that Democracy for America is all talk and no walk.   This is a frigging open seat and no Democrat is running in it.   Just some Republican named Glenn Davis.  Republican Hold.

District 85
Incumbent: Bob Tata(R)
District link on VPAP
Locality: City of Virginia Beach
2012 elections: Obama 49%/Romney 49%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 51%/Allen 49%

This is an open seat, and the Democrat running is Bill Dale.   There are three Republicans running in the primary: Gary Byler, Scott Taylor and Jeremy Waters.  Dale seems like a lightweight so this is Lean Republican.

District 86
Incumbent: Tom Rust(R)
District Link on VPAP
Localities: Fairfax County(87%), Loudoun County(13%)
2012 elections: Obama 60%/Romney 39%, Kaine 61%/Allen 39%

This Northern Virginia district that is somewhat Democratic has two Democrats vying to take down Rust.  Jennifer Boysko (DFA-endorsed) and Herb Kemp.   Boysko seems to be the better fundraiser but both sound like good Dems.  Rust is an anti-choicer and I feel optimistic about Democrat's chances here.  Lean Democratic so possible Democratic pickup

(net change: GOP down to +1)

District 87
Incumbent: David Ramadan(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Loudoun County(86%), Prince William County(14%)
2012 elections: Obama 56%/Romney 43%, Kaine 56%/Allen 43%

Ramadan will be a tough one to beat, he's got a great profile for a Republican and he could become a Congressman someday.   John Bell is the Democrat who is running against him.  Bell is DFA-endorsed.   This district is Lean Democratic so Bell has a chance.   Thinking Lean R to Likely R, I'll put it as Lean R for now since Bell appears to fundraise well.

District 88
Incumbent: Mark Cole(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Spotsylvania County(39%), Stafford County(31%), City of Fredericksburg(19%), Fauquier County(12%)
2012 elections: Romney 56%/Obama 43%, Allen 55%/Kaine 44%

Cole is running unopposed so this is a Republican Hold

District 89
Incumbent: Daun Hester(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: City of Norfolk
2012 elections: Obama 80%/Romney 18%, Kaine 81%/Allen 19%

Hester is unopposed so this a Democratic Hold

District 90
Incumbent: Algie Howell(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Norfolk(60%), City of Virginia Beach(40%)
2012 elections: Obama 79%/Romney 20%, Kaine 79%/Allen 21%

Looks like another Democratic primary between Howell and Some Dude named Rick James.   Democratic Hold regardless.

District 91
Incumbent: Gordon Helsel(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Hampton(54%), York County(29%), City of Poquoson(17%)
2012 elections: Romney 55%/Obama 43%/Johnson 1%, Allen 54%/Kaine 45%

Helsel is unopposed so this is a Republican Hold

District 92
Incumbent: Jeion Ward(D)
District link on VPAP
Locality: City of Hampton
2012 elections: Obama 79%/Romney 19%, Kaine 79%/Allen 21%

Ward is unopposed so this is a Democratic Hold

District 93
Incumbent: Mike Watson(R)
District link on VPAP
Localities: City of Newport News(42%), James City County(29%), City of Williamsburg(19%), York County(12%)
2012 elections: Obama 57%/Romney 42%, Kaine 58%/Allen 41%

This Williamsburg and parts of James City and York counties as well as part of the City of Newport News district is Lean Democratic and Watson has a Democratic challenger named Monty Mason.  I'm going to call this race a Lean R for now.

District 94
Incumbent: David Yancey(R)
District link on VPAP
Locality: City of Newport News
2012 elections: Obama 52%/Romney 46%/Johnson 1%, Kaine 53%/Allen 46%

Yancey has a Democratic challenger in Robert Farinholt.  This is a swing district, but given Yancey's incumbency this is a Lean R.

District 95
Incumbent: Mamye BaCote(D)
Localities: City of Newport News(80%), City of Hampton(20%)

The VPAP page for this really needs work.   BaCote seem unopposed so Democratic Hold.

District 96
Incumbent: Brenda Pogge(R)
Localities: James City County(59%), York County(41%)

VPAP page on this also needs some work.   Pogge seems unopposed so Republican Hold

District 97
Incumbent: Chris Peace(R)
Localities: Hanover County(62%), New Kent County(23%), King William County(14%)

Sorry VPAP page doesn't give me much info.   Peace seems unopposed so Republican Hold

District 98
Incumbent: Keith Hodges(R)
Localities: Gloucester County(46%), Middlesex County(14%), Essex County(13%), Mathews County(13%), King and Queen County(9%), King William County(5%)

The wikipedia page on Hodges makes it sound like a strongly Republican district.   Republican Hold.

District 99
Incumbent: Margaret Ransome(R)
Localities: King George County(27%), Westmoreland County(22%), Northumberland County(18%), Lancaster County(17%), Richmond County(10%), Caroline County(8%)

Seems like another strongly Republican one with Ransome's wikipedia page.   Republican Hold

District 100
Incumbent: Lynwood Lewis(D)
District link on VPAP
Localities: Accomack County(45%), City of Norfolk(37%), Northampton County(18%)
2012 elections: Obama 54%/Romney 44%, Kaine 55%/Allen 45%

Lewis is unopposed so this is a Democratic Hold.

Conclusions, Projection and links below the orange squiggle

Intro

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Conclusions:   The Virginia House of Delegates will not turn blue in 2013.   Let's get that disappointing fact out of the way first.   On the bright side, the Republicans only have downwards to go after 2013, and 2015 should be a year that the Democratic Party of Virginia needs to push HARD(the Virginia Senate elections will be in 2015 so that would be a great time to try to turn that body blue).  The much-hyped Howard Dean effort seems to be all talk and no substance as their effect seems to be negligible.   I am frustrated that Democrats or DFA did not see fit to run candidates in some district that Obama and/or Kaine won or came very close to winning.   That is electoral malpractice and the worst instance was not running a Democrat in a frigging open seat

Current Virginia House of Delegates: 67R-1I-32D
Projected Virginia House of Delegates after 2013: 68R-32D
GOP Pickups: VA-HD-04, VA-HD-19
Democratic Pickup: VA-HD-86
Net change: +1 Republican

Links:
Contribute to the Democratic Party of Virginia
Monte Johnson ActlBue(VA-HD-10)
Gary Miller ActBlue Page(VA-HD-14)
Freeda Cathcart contribution page on ActBlue(VA-HD-17)
Kathleen Murphy ActBlue Page(VA-HD-34)
Herb Kemp ActBlue(VA-HD-86)
John Bell ActBlue(VA-HD-87)

9:33 PM PT: h/t to Johnny Longtorso for pointing out that the election picture is not yet set in stone as some districts use the convention method for selecting their Democratic candidate and thus would have until around the primary election of June 11,2013.    I certainly hope that this will mean that some of those districts that Obama won and currently don't have a named Democratic candidate will have somebody ready to contend for it.

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