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Eight Senators have announced that they will not seek re-election. The average age of the group will be 74.95 on Election Day 2014. Exclude Frank Lautenberg who will be almost 91 on Election Day 2014 and the average age of the remaining Senators will be 72.69.
The average age of the 6 Senators up for re-election born before the end of World War II is 75.66. They are all Republicans. I predict that at least 3 of those Senators will retire or not be re-elected.
Some Senators, such as, Jim Inhofe, Thad Cochran and Pat Roberts may be challenged from the right because of their age.
If you make the assumption that 18 or fewer of the currently Senators up for reelection in 2014 will return to the Senate that means that at least 15 current Senators will not be members of the 114th Congress. That will be the largest Senate turnover since before 1900. I stopped researching at 1900.
It may be the largest turnover in history. What are the implications of that turnover? I really do not know but will the power of K-Street grow dramatically or will it be greatly diminished because the power of a former Senate staffer who Senator is no longer on the Hill is greatly diminished.
Sorry, I could not upload the Excel file or Word document.