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If there are two things that I want everyone reading this site to internalize, it's that 1) there are more base Democrats than base Republicans, and that gap is growing larger by the day, and 2) the only way we lose is if our people don't vote or are prevented from voting. After all, the very people fueling our demographic advantages (young people, single women, people of color) are also the least likely to turn out and vote.
And it is that voter participation that makes the difference between a 2006 or 2012, and a 2010. If we vote, we win. If we don't, they win. It's pretty much that simple.
Which is why local elections in the Raleigh area are so encouraging. Sure, we can be happy that Democrats retook the school board and swept city council races and the mayor's race. Go team! But that's not the best news from these results. It's this:
In the school board races overall, turnout was about 21 percent of registered voters, which doesn't sound like a lot but is twice the turnout of the 2009 elections, in which the Republicans seized their 5-4 board majority.
Our people turned out, and we won. They didn't turn out in 2009, and we lost. And lost big in 2010. So is this increased Democratic performance a harbinger for 2014? It's hard to say with a historical sample size of one. But it's certainly a good sign. Our people are fired up against GOP extremism. The countryis sick of that GOP extremism.
As long as Democrats don't capitulate to those extremists, our 2014 chances look better every day.
Originally posted to kos on Wed Oct 09, 2013 at 12:45 PM PDT.