Tue Aug 26, 2014 at 10:46 PM PT: AZ-01: Reposting from the last thread, here is where we find ourselves:
Tue Aug 26, 2014 at 10:42 PM PT: AZ-01: Via once again AOSHQ, Tobin's lead is once again 93 votes. The SoS is mostly caught up with them, but small Yavapai is not online yet.
At this point 19 precincts are left in pro-Kiehne Apache County, 22 precincts out of almost evenly divided Navajo, 15 precincts in Pima (where the two frontrunners are also deadlocked), and 36 precincts out of Pinal, another very tight county. At this point we have one pro-Kiehne county and three tight counties left. This is still very up in the air.
Tue Aug 26, 2014 at 10:55 PM PT: AZ-01: For Kiehne to win, he can afford for things to look the same as they do now. He needs a boost in Apache, where there's a bit out and he's doing well. He'll also need to keep things close in Navajo, Pima, and Pinal. In Apache, Kiehne has a 744 vote lead; In the other three counties, Tobin is up by a combined 112 votes.
Tue Aug 26, 2014 at 11:00 PM PT: AZ-01: Right now the AP is caught up to where we are. The SoS is still a little behind.
Tue Aug 26, 2014 at 11:08 PM PT: AZ-01: About 16 Pinal precincts came in, leaving Tobin with a larger 110 total vote lead.
Still, Kiehne has a real shot here. Significant bits of Apache, Navajo, Pima, and Pinal are still out. In Apache Kiehne is netting 744 votes right now; In the other three Tobin nets 136 votes. If Tobin can expand his lead in those latter three counties he can do this, but Apache gives Kiehne potentially a lot of room to grow. Still, since we don't know how many votes are left in any of the remaining counties, we'll need to wait and see.
Tue Aug 26, 2014 at 11:31 PM PT: AZ-01: Not cool. Not cool at all.
Tue Aug 26, 2014 at 11:42 PM PT: AZ-01: It's pretty clear that regardless of how the rest of the votes go, this isn't going to be resolved for a while.
With that, we're calling it a night. Check back at Daily Kos Elections Wednesday as we see where both Kiehne and Tobin stand. Thanks for reading and we'll see you back Sept. 9 for our final primary night of 2014!
Tue Aug 26, 2014 at 11:54 PM PT: AZ-01: Oh, what's one more update between friends? Most of Pima is in, and Tobin now leads by 143 votes. It's probably smaller than what he wanted here, but a lot depends on how many votes are left in Apache.
And now we're really calling it a night.