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Palin will have more of an effect on already-registered evangelical voters, no doubt. But when it comes to this measure of voter intensity -- it's obvious that Democratic energy still outweighs whatever new excitement Palin brought to the table.
Going back to the first week of 2008, the two main parties have added the following number of voters:
Democrats +184,113 Republicans +24,614
Kerry lost North Carolina by 435,000 votes in 2004. Assuming everyone who registered this year votes (for both parties), those new voters can close nearly 37 percent of that deficit. And even with their Palin-fueled surge, Democrats are still far outpacing GOP voter registration efforts.
(Voter registration numbers courtesy of my brother, who brought them to my attention.)
Originally posted to Daily Kos on Mon Sep 15, 2008 at 01:50 PM PDT.