Yesterday PPP sent out a teaser saying that new polls show Obama doing better in Indiana than in Florida. There was some hope that meant Obama was +5 in IN, +3 in FL.
Well, they have released the Indiana poll, and Obama is not up by five. However, "doing better in Indiana" still leaves room for a Florida lead, too!
After that awful tease, let's just get to the quote:
Raleigh, N.C. – Barack Obama is holding a slight lead on John McCain in Indiana, 48-It is worth noting --maybe-- that this poll was conducted on October 18 & 19, so would not properly reflect any "Powell bounce" if such a thing were to occur.
46 ,according to the newest survey from Public Policy Polling.
Obama’s lead in the state is being fueled largely by voter concern about the economy. 60% of respondents list it as their biggest issue when deciding who to vote for this fall, and the Democrat has a 59-34 lead with that segment of the electorate.
Obama is also benefiting from strong support with independent voters, among whom he
leads 49-39. His 89-11 lead with black voters is just enough to offset the 51-42
advantage John McCain has with whites.
“Barack Obama has a real chance to pull off a Midwestern sweep,” said Dean Debnam,
President of Public Policy Polling. “Indiana and Missouri are the two toughest wins for him there but we’ve found him with a two point lead in each of those states over the last week. If Obama can hold on to enough white voters in those places his overwhelming black support will put him over the top.”
The poll also showed that people are firming up their decisions, with 92% firmly committed, and 8% saying they could change their minds.
Full text of the poll (PDF) is here.
And now some internals, annoyingly presented as screen grabs from the PDF!