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Please begin with an informative title:

Yesterday I did a diary trying to get a bead on early voting in Colorado but it was more anecdotal, e.g. gaging the response at the Fort Collins rally. So I did a more quantitative approach today.

So, I did the following:

1. Took the official party ID tallies for mail in ballots and early voting as of 8:30 pm. 10/23/2008
2. Used Rasmussen's latest Republican ID of 94% McCain, 6% Obama
3. Used Rasmussen's latest Democratic ID of 2% McCain, 95% Obama
4. Used Rasmussen's latest Independent ID of 39% McCain, 53% Obama
5. Divided by early votes + total received mail-in ballots
6. Divided by early votes + total requested mail-in ballots

Results after the fold:

Update: Fixed number of active registered voters.


You must enter an Intro for your Diary Entry between 300 and 1150 characters long (that's approximately 50-175 words without any html or formatting markup).

For received + early ballots:

Obama: 51%
McCain: 45%

For requested + early ballots:

Obama: 55%
McCain: 44%

Applying my previous analysis only to early voting gets you:

Obama 54%
McCain 42%

Absolute estimated numbers:

Obama early voting: 46,367
McCain early voting: 35,650

Obama received mail-in ballots: 243,840
McCain received mail-in ballots: 221,645

Obama requested mail-in ballots: 880,139
McCain requested mail-in ballots: 704,860

Total number of active registered voters: 3,204,092 2,602,815

FYI the Excel spread sheet I did my analysis from is here:

Colorado Secretary of State's page:

Hey Colorado, mail in your freakin' ballots!!!

Extended (Optional)

Originally posted to rblinne on Tue Oct 28, 2008 at 07:15 AM PDT.

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