After see in yesterday diary CT-Sen race make feel any danger i will let today diary to this race. You can see yesterday diary here:
C Dodd (D-1944) have any problems in last time. Now show any weakness.
Seems he is few more vulnerable now after became much years safe senator. I think C Dodd will not have serious problems for reelection.
If we add to C Dodd little weakness, republicans can have so strong candidate with current governor J Rell, we can understand the votes of people.
Seems J Rell will run for reelection. That can make C Dodd problems down very much. Republicans lost all US House Representatives, and they have only Lieutenant Governor M Fedele, who run in same ticket of governor, like alone statewide officer. Former representative R Simmons, who lost for reelection in 2006 against J Courtney, sound for this race.
I think is not sure J Rell run. Seems unlikely. But i think is the alone option of republicans for make a decent race. Cause of that we can think in this option today. Rell running for senate.
It can be interesting remember the results of the diary for gubernatorial race in Connecticut:
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican
I think no-one first or mid level democratic possible candidate will challenge C Dodd, but like i make for all races, i will remember the list of possible candidates:
1. Christopher John Dodd: CT 1944 Senator from Connecticut 81- . USHRep 75-81. Lost for President 08.
2. Christopher S Murphy: NY CT 1973 USHRep 07- .
3. James A Himes: PER CT 1966 USHRep 09- .
4. Rosa L DeLauro: CT 1943 USHRep 91- .
5. John B Larson: CT 1948 USHRep 99- . Lost for Governor 94.
6. Joseph Courtney: CT 1953 USHRep 07- . Lost for Lieutenant Governor 98. Lost for House 02.
7. Anthony John Moffett: MA CT 1944 USHRep 74-83. Lost for Senate 82. Lost for Governor 86. Lost for House 90.
8. Samuel Gejdenson: GER CT 1948 USHRep 81-01. Lost for House 00.
9. Bruce Andrew Morrison: NY CT 1944 USHRep 83-91. Lost for Governor 90.
10. James H Maloney: MA CT 1948 USHRep 97-03. Lost for House 94 and 02.
11. Kevin B Sullivan: CT 1949 Lieutenant Governor of CT 04-07.
12. Susan Bysiewicz: CT 1961 CT Secretary of State 99- .
13. Richard Blumenthal: NY CT 1946 CT Attorney General 90- .
14. Nancy S Wyman: CT 19?? CT State Comptroller 95- .
15. Denise Lynn Nappier: CT 19?? CT State Treasurer 99- .
In a 0-10 scale, like this:
--- 00,000 ---
--- 01,429 ---
--- 02,857 ---
--- 04,286 ---
--- 05,714 ---
--- 07,142 ---
--- 08,571 ---
--- 10,000 ---
For see about senate races with the strongest democratic incumbents:
HI-Sen: Incumbent D Inouye (D-1924) win in 2004 with 76%.
NY-Sen: Incumbent C Schumer (D-1950) win in 2004 with 71%.
VT-Sen: Incumbent P Leahy (D-1940) win in 2004 with 71%.
MD-Sen: Incumbent B Mikulski (D-1936) win in 2004 with 65%.
OR-Sen: Incumbent R Wyden (D-1949) win in 2004 with 63%.
IN-Sen: Incumbent E Bayh (D-1955) win in 2004 with 62%.
WI-Sen: Incumbent R Feingold (D-1953) win in 2004 with 55%.
WA-Sen: Incumbent P Murray (D-1950) win in 2004 with 55%.
AR-Sen: Incumbent B Lincoln (D-1960) win in 2004 with 56%.
ND-Sen: Incumbent B Dorgan (D-1942) win in 2004 with 68%.
CA-Sen: Incumbent B Boxer (D-1940) win in 2004 with 58%.
IL-Sen: Incumbent R Burris (D-1937). B Obama (D-1961) win in 2004 with 70%.
NY-Sen: G Pataki (R-1945) vs K Gillibrand (D-1966) ? after 63 votes = 07,963 => Likely Democr
DE-Sen: M Castle (R-1939) vs B Biden (D-1969) ? after 33 votes = 07,828 => Likely Democratic
PA-Sen: A Specter (R-1930) vs E Rendell (D-1944) ? af 61 votes = 07,350 => Likely Democratic
OH-Sen: R Portman (R-1955) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 11 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democr
NV-Sen: K Guinn (R-1936) vs H Reid (D-1939) ? after 42 votes = 07,143 => Likely Democratic
CT-Sen: J Rell (R-1946) vs C Dodd (R-1944) ? after 31 votes = 06,882 => Leans Democratic
MO-Sen: open R vs R Carnahan ? after 10 votes = 06,833 => Leans Democratic
CO-Sen: W Owens (R-1950) vs M Bennet (D-1964) ? after 30 votes = 06,333 => Leans Democr
2 OH-Sen: R Portman (R-1955) vs ? after 22 votes = 06,288 => Leans Democratic
KS-Sen: open R vs K Sebelius (D-1948) ? after 43 votes = 06,240 => Leans Democratic
KY-Sen: J Bunning (R-1931) vs S Beshear (D-1944) ? af 20 votes = 05,917 => Leans Democrat
NH-Sen: J Sununu (R-1964) vs P Hodes (D-1951) ? after 10 votes = 05,667 => Toss-Up
2 KY-Sen: J Bunning (R-1931) vs ? after 36 votes = 05,602 => Toss-Up
LA-Sen: D Vitter (R-1961) vs J Breaux (D-1944) ? after 36 votes = 05,463 => Toss-Up
NC-Sen: R Burr (R-1955) vs ? after 40 votes = 05,375 => Toss-Up
2 PA-Sen: A Specter (R-1930) vs ? after 33 votes = 05,101 => Toss-Up
2 LA-Sen: D Vitter (R-1961) vs M Landrieu (D-1960) ? after 40 votes = 04,875 => Toss-Up
OK-Sen: T Coburn (R-1948) vs B Henry (D-1963) ? after 55 votes = 03,727 => Leans Republican
FL-Sen : C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? af 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
IA-Sen: C Grassley (R-1933) vs C Culver (D-1966) ? aft 25 votes = 03,400 => Leans Republican
AZ-Sen: J McCain (R-1936) vs ? after 48 votes = 02,396 => Likely Republican
: The diary for Florida is for gubernatorial race, but can be interesting include here the link to the poll because C Christ let open the door, and can run for senate in 2010.
And for see about other difficult races for democratics like:
AK-Sen: Incumbent L Murkovski (R-1957) win in 2004 with 49%.
SD-Sen: Incumbent J Thune (R-1961) win in 2004 with 51%.
ID-Sen: Incumbent M Crapo (R-1951) win in 2004 with 99%.
SC-Sen: Incumbent J DeMint (R-1951) win in 2004 with 54%.
AL-Sen: Incumbent R Shelby (R-1934) win in 2004 with 68%.
GA-Sen: Incumbent J Isakson (R-1944) win in 2004 with 58%.
UT-Sen: Incumbent R Bennett (R-1933) win in 2004 with 69%.
All the polls are open.
PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes up, and when the serie of diaries about senate end.