OK

In light of the possibility that the Republican gerrymander of Ohio may be halted by a signature petition, I decided to draw up a quick map of Ohio, ignoring political considerations. My quick and dirty "community of interest" guide was the TV DMA map of Ohio found here.

I'll include some pictures and some election data, and I'll ask you to tell me which pols I've screwed. (Already I can tell that Kucinich won't be delighted!)

Whole state with numbering:

Numbered

Cleveland enlargement:

Clev. enlg.

Columbus:

Columbus

Cincinnati:

Cincinnati

Political Data (usual rounding considerations apply):

CD 1:

Obama 55%
McCain 44%

DemAv 52%
RepAv 48%

CD 2:

Obama 35%
McCain 64%

DemAv 36%
RepAv 64%

CD 3:

Obama 39%
McCain 59%

DemAv 48%
RepAv 52%

CD 4:

Obama 48%
McCain 51%

DemAv 48%
RepAv 52%

CD 5:

Obama 38%
McCain 60%

DemAv 41%
RepAv 59%

CD 6:

Obama 58%
McCain 40%

DemAv 60%
RepAv 40%

CD 7:

Obama 49%
McCain 50%

DemAv 53%
RepAv 48%

CD 8:

Obama 66%
McCain 32%

DemAv 65%
RepAv 35%

CD 9:

Obama 45%
McCain 54%

DemAv 44%
RepAv 56%

CD 10:

Obama 42%
McCain 56%

DemAv 47%
RepAv 53%

CD 11:

Obama 52%
McCain 46%

DemAv 61%
RepAv 39%

CD 12:

Obama 55%
McCain 43%

DemAv 65%
RepAv 35%

CD 13:

Obama 83%
McCain 17%

DemAv 83%
RepAv 17%

47% Black VAP (Note: given that there is likely minimal racial polarization and that a compact black majority district is no longer really possible here, I think this is what is likely to happen in any case).

CD 14:

Obama 52%
McCain 46%

DemAv 57%
RepAv 43%

CD 15:

Obama 50%
McCain 48%

DemAv 55%
RepAv 45%

CD 16:

Obama 55%
McCain 44%

DemAv 59%
RepAv 41%

Poll

Should Dems be excited about a map like this?

69%18 votes
30%8 votes

| 26 votes | Vote | Results

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