Seriously, that is how CNN refers to a new poll released on Sunday regarding Ohio.
The poll was conducted by the University of Cincinnati's Institute for Policy Research for a collection of Newspapers across the state. The poll found the POTUS leading Willard by 5%
More below the squiq
The poll had a sample of 861 likely voters and was conducted using land lines along with cell phones.
Obama holds a 5 pt lead when asked who can fix the economy, 10 pt lead with women, virtually tied among men 49-48, and 64% say the are better off or the same as 4 years ago.
All this data equals a 5 point lead which gels with other recent polls that have Mr. Obama +5 or more.
So what is the margin of error for this poll? 3.3%!!!!!!!!!!!!
How does CNN report it?
The 5-point margin comes within the poll's sampling errorWell, it is close to the margin of error soooooooo, yeah lets go with that.
The correct way of reporting it is………….
- The 5-point margin is outside the poll’s sampling error.
- The results are outside the margin of error.
or you can just say
- The margin of error is 3.3%
That makes TEN straight polls that have been released where President Obama leads Romney. That would be TEN that span an entire MONTH!
If memory serves me correct, Obama won Ohio by 4.6%, which equaled out to somewhere near a quarter of a million votes, that means that going by 2008 Obama/McCain results, Romney would have to turn a quarter of a million voters around to his camp, and/or out register democrats by a quarter million voters just to break even .
Now turning votes is easy enough to do at the beginning of an election, but when 64% of Ohio feels they are better off or the same as 4 years ago, and when Romney is losing out on the economy question (his supposed strong suit) by 10 pts, and when he is not hip with the ladies (again by 10 pts), and when he is tied when it comes to male voters (his supposed demographic), then YOU ARE NOT, turning a quarter of a million votes around this late in the game. But the media still wants everyone to believe it is possible and that it is a tied race.
And it should be noted: THIS POLL WAS RELEASED ON SUNDAY THE 23rd, BUT WAS COMPLETED THE EVENING OF THE 18th, THE EVENING THE 47% VIDEO BROKE, BEFORE WIDE CIRCULATION. Spin that CNN.
note: This polling group had Obama beating McCain on their last poll released by a 5 - 6 point margin in 2008 with a margin of error of 2.7%. Obama won by 4.6% (this was within their margin of error)