OK

If the Electronic Markets are correct and the election were held today:

(Last trade of Contracts, 100= expire at maximum, 0= expire at minimum)

OH
Brown (D) 96
De Wine (R) 5

RI
Whitehouse (D) 73
Chafee (R) 28.4

CT
Lamont (D) 6
Schlessinger (R) 1
Lieberman (I) 92

MD
Cardin (D) 75
Steele (R) 32

MO
McCaskill (D) 58
Talent (R) 47

VA
Webb (D) 52
Allen (R) 45

TN
Ford (D) 16
Corker (R) 85

MT
Tester (D) 75
Burns (R) 31

NJ
Menendez (D) 87
Kean (R) 20

And so, on a state-by-state basis, Democrats would take control of the Senate: 51-49.

However, when you look at just the overall, generic Senate Control contract:

Democrats Take Control 31

Republicans Hold Senate 69

Someone is wrong.  I see an arbitrage opportunity!!

source:  www.intrade.com

Originally posted to jlau1983 on Mon Nov 06, 2006 at 03:04 PM PST.

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