OK

While in the elections for senate democratic party can think in up the number of democrat senators, for gubernatorial elections we not have the same options for any reasons.

First reason: While for senate elections will be renoved the seats elects in 2004, for gubernatorial elections will be renoved the offices elects in 2006. And 2004 was bad year for democrats in elections, more bad of 2006. That make is more easy beat the results of 2004 than beat the results of 2006.

Second reason: While for senate elections very few democrat incunbents must run and no-one will let open seats in red states, for gubernatorial elections some democratic governors of red states come to their term limits and must let open seats. That increases the risk of lose governors.

For see about senate elections, you can click this link:

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Senate. For find more of 60 seats in 2010

Last Update: Mar 6, 2009. This diary was write before the change of KS governor and the change in WY term limits. After that i write a diary for WY-Gov race. The race in KS get same because the new governor will not run for reelection.

Todays poll will try we see what think the people about some hard gubernatorial elections for democrats in 2010. They are races in red states with incunbent republican governor or open seat for this elections.

Will be the nexts:

WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
NE-Gov: Open seat. D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.
NV-Gov: Incunbent J Gibbons (R-1944) win in 2006 with 48%.
AZ-Gov: Incunbent J Brewer (R-19??) republican candidate lost in 2006 with 35%.
AK-Gov: Incunbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
FL-Gov: Incunbent C Christ (R-1956) win in 2006 with 52%.
ID-Gov: Incunbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.

Obama won last elections in Nevada with very good results but im not dare still call blue state.

First overview to gubernatorial races tell in this list we can find the hardest races for governor for democrats. I hope democrats not lose all but will not be easy win in these states.

In these races of the list, democratic party can lose 5 of 29 governors what have after 2008 elections (including Arizona), but republicans have 6 governors more in 6 blue states where will be elections in 2010, and 3 of they can not run for continue like governor in 2010. We will see these races too in nexts days but today i start with hardest, like i make for senate.

Like see the people this races? Im not very optimist with this races. Some democratic candidates can win some of these races? Maybe any.

Happy new year for all readers :)

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: All gubernatorial races.

In a 0-10 scale, like this:

--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---

The states with democratic incumbents what seems more easy for win again are:

NH-Gov: Incumbent J Lynch (D-1952) win in 2008 with 70%.
CO-Gov: Incumbent W Ritter (D-1956) win in 2006 with 56%.
IA-Gov: Incumbent C Culver (D-1966) win in 2006 with 54%.
WI-Gov: Incumbent J Doyle (D-1945) win in 2006 with 53%.
MA-Gov: Incumbent D Patrick (D-1956) win in 2006 with 55%.

We can see results for these states in next link:

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races. Democratic incumbents are safe?

More interesting races:

AR-Gov: Open R vs M Beebe (D-1946) ? after 13 votes = 09,231 => Safe Democratic
MD-Gov: R Ehrlich (R-1957) vs M O'Malley (D-1963) ? af 16 votes = 08,750 => Safe Democratic
IL-Gov: Open R vs P Quinn (D-1948) ? after 21 votes = 08,571 => Safe Democratic
NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs A Cuomo (D-1957) ? af 18 votes = 08,333 => Likely Democratic
OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs J Kitzhaber (D-1947) ? af 12 votes = 08,194 => Likely Democratic
2 OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs ? after 06 votes = 08,056 => Likely Democratic
OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 15 votes = 07,889 => Likely Democr
CA-Gov: Open R vs J Brown (D-1938) ? after 32 votes = 07,865 => Likely Democratic
ME-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 07,778 => Likely Democratic
HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs N Abercrombie (D-1938) ? af 11 votes = 07,727 => Likely Democr
VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs H Dean (D-1948) ? aft 30 votes = 07,667 => Likely Democratic
2 HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs ? after 16 votes = 07,396 => Likely Democratic
NJ-Gov: C Christie (R-1962) vs J Corzine (D- 1947) ? af 17 votes = 07,353 => Likely Democratic
NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ? after 22 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democratic
2 OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs ? after 12 votes = 07,083 => Leans Democratic
2 CA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 44 votes = 07,045 => Leans Democratic
2 NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs D Paterson (D-1954) ? af 33 votes = 06,768 => Leans Democr
NV-Gov: J Gibbons (R-1944) vs ? after 21 votes = 06,746 => Leans Democratic
RI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 06,528 => Leans Democratic
PA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 15 votes = 06,000 => Leans Democratic
MI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 30 votes = 05,889 => Leans Democratic
VA-Gov: R McDonnell (R-1954) vs ? after 27 votes = 05,494 => Toss-Up
AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,907 => Toss-Up
MN-Gov: T Pawlenty (R-1960) vs M Dayton (D-1947) ? after 39 votes = 04,573 => Toss-Up
2 VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,352 => Toss-Up
FL-Gov: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican

And for see about other difficult races for democrats like:

TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
AK-Gov: Incumbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
ID-Gov: Incumbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.
NE-Gov: Incumbent D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.

visit next diaries:

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Guvernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat II
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Hardest gubernatorial races.

All the polls are open if you like to vote.

PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes go up and when end the procedure.

Originally posted to abgin on Wed Dec 31, 2008 at 08:23 PM PST.

Poll

What of these races for governor can let best results for democrats?

0%0 votes
8%2 votes
4%1 votes
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8%2 votes
4%1 votes
4%1 votes
4%1 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
48%12 votes
20%5 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes

| 25 votes | Vote | Results

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