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Summary: GA has 13 representatives, 8 R and 5 D; only GA-8 and GA-12, now D, seems vulnerable.  The primary is July 20
        HI has 2 representatives, both D, HI-01 is vulnerable.  Primary Sept 18
        ID has 2 representatives, 1 D and 1 R, the D (Minnick) is vulnerable.  Primary finished.

Sources:
House vote in 2008 from WaPo
VoteView (ranked from 1 for most liberal to 447 for most conservative; more than 435 because some districts had more than one rep in the 110th congress)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State
National Atlas for maps
FEC
and my previous diaries.

===========================================
District: GA-01
Location Southeastern GA, bordering FL and the Atlantic, including Valdosta and Hinesville map
Cook PVI R + 16
Representative Jack Kingston (R)
VoteView rank 433
First elected  1992
2008 margin 67-33 over Bill Gillespie
2006 margin 69-31
2004 margin Unopposed
Obama margin 36-63
Bush margin 2004 66-34
Current opponents None confirmed
Demographics 63rd most Blacks (24.9%) and 54th most veterans (15.3%)
Assessment No opponent

District: GA-02
Location Southwestern GA, bordering FL and AL and including Columbus map
Cook PVI D + 1
Representative Sanford Bishop (D)
VoteView rank 180
First elected  1992
2008 margin 69-31 over Lee Farrell
2006 margin 68-32
2004 margin 67-33
Obama margin 54-45
Bush margin 2004 50-50
Current opponents Lee Farrell and Mike Keown
Demographics 23rd poorest district (median income = $30K), 37th most Blacks (47.5%)
Assessment  Bishop has $387K COH, the others have little.
SSP rating likely D
My rating: Safe; Bishop always wins here easily.  

District: GA-03
Location Western GA, about in the middle of the state map
Cook PVI R + 19
Representative Lynn Westmoreland (R)
VoteView rank  437
First elected  2004
2008 margin 66-34 over Stephen Camp
2006 margin 68-32
2004 margin 76-24
Obama margin 35-65
Bush margin 2004 70-29
Current opponents None declared
Demographics 18th most Republican per Cook PVI
Assessment No opponent.

District: GA-04
Location Eastern and northern suburbs of Atlanta map
Cook PVI D + 24
Representative Hank Johnson (D)
VoteView rank 45
First elected  2006
2008 margin Unopposed
2006 margin 75-25
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 79-20
Bush margin 2004 28-71
Current opponents There's a primary, then Liz Carter or Larry Gause
Demographics 31st most Blacks (52.6%)
Assessment Safe. Whoever wins the Democratic primary (likely Johnson).  Although no one has much COH, Johnson has raised and spent far more than others.

District: GA-05
Location Atlanta and some suburbs map
Cook PVI D + 26
Representative John Lewis (D)
VoteView rank  14
First elected  1986
2008 margin unopposed
2006 margin unopposed
2004 margin unopposed
Obama margin 80-20
Bush margin 2004 26-74
Current opponents None declared
Demographics 18th most Blacks (55.7%)
Assessment No opponent

District: GA-06
Location Northern central GA map
Cook PVI R + 19
Representative Tom Price (R)
VoteView rank  417.5
First elected  2004
2008 margin 69-31 over Bill Jones
2006 margin 72-28
2004 margin unopposed
Obama margin 34-65
Bush margin 2004 70-29
Current opponents None declared
Demographics 9th wealthiest (median income = $72K), and highest in the South
Assessment No opponent.

District: GA-07
Location Northern central GA map
Cook PVI R + 16
Representative John Linder (R) Retiring
VoteView rank 424.5
First elected  NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 39-60
Bush margin 2004 70-30
Current opponents Rob Woodall is Linder's protege, and Doug Heckman is running for the Democrats
Demographics 37th wealthiest (med income = $60K)
Assessment  Safe for the Republicans.  Heckman has no COH to speak of, Woodall apparently hasn't filed yet.

District: GA-08
Location Central GA including Macon and Moultrie map
Cook PVI R + 10
Representative Jim Marshall (D)
VoteView rank 237
First elected  2002
2008 margin 57-43 over Rick Goddard
2006 margin 51-49
2004 margin 63-37
Obama margin 43-56
Bush margin 2004 61-39
Current opponents Kenneth DeLoach, Angela Hicks, Paul Rish, Valerie Meyers, Diane Vann
Demographics 78th most rural (43.4%), 41st most Blacks (32.4%).
Assessment Marshall is a DINO, and I don't use that term lightly.  Is it worth it? I don't really know. Would a more liberal Democrat have a chance in this district?  It partly depends on turnout; but, even with nearly 1 in 3 people being Black, Obama lost here, so probably not.    Marshall is vulnerable, in any  case, and that's why so many Republicans are running.  Still, he's got $850K COH, and none of the Republicans have much.
SSP rating: Likely D
My rating: Likely D

District:  GA-09
Location Northwestern GA, bordering TN, AL, and NC map
Cook PVI R + 28
Representative Nathan Deal (R) Retiring
VoteView rank NA
First elected  NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 23-75
Bush margin 2004 77-23
Current opponents There's a LOT of Republicans running, I counted 11 on the Wiki. The only Democrat is Mike Freeman
Demographics 38th most rural (52.7%), 4th most Republican per Cook PVI
Assessment Whichever Republican wins will surely win in November.  

District: GA-10
Location The northern part of eastern GA, mostly bordering SC (but also NC) map
Cook PVI R + 15
Representative Paul Broun (R) Not confirmed
VoteView rank 447
First elected  2007
2008 margin 61-39 over Bobby Saxon
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 37-62
Bush margin 2004 65-35
Current opponents There's a primary, and then either Sandy Untermyer or Russel Edeards
Demographics 50th most rural (49.6%)
Assessment Long shot.  Broun may be the stupidest member of congress and he has managed to be in debt despite raising over $1 million, but he'll win he'll win here. The Democrats have raised little.

District: GA-11
Location Northern part of western GA, bordering AL, including Rome and Marietta map
Cook PVI R + 20
Representative Phil Gingrey (R)
VoteView rank 421
First elected  2002
2008 margin 68-32 over Bud Gammon
2006 margin 71-29
2004 margin 57-43 (there was a redistricting)
Obama margin 33-66
Bush margin 2004 65-35
Current opponents None declared
Demographics 18th most Republican (per Cook PVI)
Assessment No opponent

District: GA-12
Location Eastern GA, bordering SC, including Savannah and Augusta map
Cook PVI D + 1
Representative John Barrow (D)
VoteView rank 238
First elected  2004
2008 margin 66-34 over John Stone
2006 margin less than 1,000 votes, of 142,000
2004 margin 52-48
Obama margin 55-40
Bush margin 2004 50-49
Current opponents There's a primary and then either Jeanne Smith and Carl Smith
Demographics 30th most Blacks (44.5%) and 33rd most people in poverty (21.9%)
Assessment Vulnerable.  Still, Barrow has over $850K COH, and neither Republican has much
SSP rating: Likely D
My rating: Likely D

District: GA-13
Location An oddly shaped district, mostly west of Atlanta map
Cook PVI D + 15
Representative David Scott (D) Not confirmed
VoteView rank 183
First elected  2002
2008 margin 69-31 over Deborah Honeycutt
2006 margin 69-31
2004 margin unopposed
Obama margin 72-28
Bush margin 2004 40-60
Current opponents Sonja Sleeper.
Demographics 30th most Blacks (41%)
Assessment Safe.  Although Scott hasn't officially filed, he does have some $68K COH, Sleeper has little.

District: HI-01
Location Honolulu and immediate environs map
Cook PVI D + 11
Representative Charles Djou
VoteView rank NA
First elected  NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 70-28
Bush margin 2004 47-53
Current opponents For the Democrats, Collen Hanabusa. For the Repubs, Charles Djou is confirmed.  
Demographics The most nonWhite, nonLatinos, nonBlacks of any district, HI-01 is 53.6% Asian
Assessment It's open, but I like the Democrats' chances.  Hanabusa and Djou have raised about equal amounts, but Djou has $215K COH, vs. $160K for Hanabusa.  
SSP rating: Tossup
My rating: Lean D

District: HI-02
Location All of HI except Honolulu map
Cook PVI D + 14
Representative Mazie Hirono (D)
VoteView rank 45
First elected  2006
2008 margin 76-20 over Roger Evans
2006 margin 61-39
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 73-25
Bush margin 2004 44-56
Current opponents None declared
Demographics the second most nonWhite, nonLatino, nonBlacks, HI-02 is 28% Asian
Assessment No opponent

District: ID-01
Location Western ID, bordering OR, WA and MT including Boise map
Cook PVI R + 18
Representative Walt Minnick (D)
VoteView rank NA
First elected  2008
2008 margin 51-49 over Bill Sali
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 36-62
Bush margin 2004 30-69
Current opponents Raul Labrador
Demographics Tied for fewest Blacks (0.3%), 14th most Republican
Assessment  Labrador isn't as crazy as Sali, and this is  probably our most vulnerable seat. Still, Minnick has got almost $1 million COH (although 250K in debt) Labrador has little.  
SSP rating: Tossup
My rating: Tossup

District: ID-02
Location Eastern ID, bordering MT and WY map
Cook PVI  R + 17
Representative Mike Simpson
VoteView rank 277
First elected  1998
2008 margin 71-20 over Debbie Holmes
2006 margin 62-34
2004 margin 71-29
Obama margin 36-61
Bush margin 2004 69-30
Current opponents None declared
Demographics 11th fewest Blacks (0.5%), 14th most Republican
Assessment Long shot.  Simpson has $200K COH, no info on Crawford

Originally posted to plf515 on Tue Jun 29, 2010 at 05:17 PM PDT.

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