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Now that we've had two eerily accurate presidential forecasts from Nate Silver, I wanted to document just how accurate he was. We all know that he was 50 for 50 states and though the votes aren't ...
by Roozle
Comment Count 9 comments on Thu Nov 08, 2012 at 12:08 PM PST with 9 Recommends
This is a diary by Stochastic Democracy , evaluating our final forecasts for ...
by twohundertseventy
Comment Count 2 comments on Thu Nov 04, 2010 at 02:28 PM PDT with 2 Recommends
*crossposted at Swing State Project and ...
by twohundertseventy
Comment Count 90 comments on Mon Sep 06, 2010 at 02:29 PM PDT with 18 Recommends
With all of the votes counted(Well, except Minnesota), Stochastic Democracy analyzes how well it's model's predictions did vs Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight and Pollster.com See below the fold for ...
by davidshor
Comment Count 5 comments on Fri Dec 26, 2008 at 07:27 PM PST with 5 Recommends
With most of the votes counted, Stochastic Democracy analyzes how well it's model's predictions did vs Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight, as well as drawing lessons for future election forecasting models.
by davidshor
Comment Count 39 comments on Sun Nov 09, 2008 at 07:52 PM PST with 18 Recommends
With most of the votes counted, Stochastic Democracy analyzes how well it's model's predictions fared fared, and ...
by davidshor
Comment Count 12 comments on Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 04:12 PM PST with 2 Recommends
This isn't as gloomy for Democrats as it sounds: Public Release: 17-Sep-2008 INFORMS Annual Meeting Latest Electoral College forecast shows McCain ahead by as many as 27 votes A new approach to ...
by dsgood
Comment Count 14 comments on Thu Sep 18, 2008 at 12:29 PM PDT with 1 Recommend
Hi all, This will be the first of what I hope will become a semi-regular installment of electoral projections for the general election. For the time being, I am including matchups of John McCain ...
by poblano
Comment Count 223 comments on Tue Feb 26, 2008 at 05:37 PM PST with 453 Recommends