Both Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz head into Tuesday's Wisconsin primary with potential big wins on the horizon, at least in terms of percentages.
Most polls show Sanders winning the state by a handful of points, but that number could be even greater if a sizable youth vote turns out, which helped drive him to success in nearby Michigan.
But as Markos noted yesterday, "Math remains Sanders’ greatest enemy, and even a massive 50-point win in Wisconsin would barely move the [delegate] needle in his direction." The upcoming vote in Wyoming might also smile upon Sanders but his path to victory gets far more uncertain as the race rolls through New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island.
On the GOP side, Trump trotted out his wife, Malania, to help make up for his yawning deficit with female voters. Heh, good luck with that. Seems punishing women who have abortions, among other things, isn't playing so well with key portions of the voting public. If Trump loses Wisconsin, it could expose a vulnerability in his support among working-class voters, but keep your eyes on the ‘burbs too.
A more consequential question is whether Mr. Trump’s difficulties among college-educated, middle-class voters in southeastern Wisconsin are confined to that region, where anti-Trump conservative talk radio hosts have considerable sway over Republican voters.
If Trump tanks in suburbia, upcoming votes in New York, Maryland, and Connecticut could potentially complicate his path to securing the 1,237 delegates for the GOP nomination, making way for a contested convention. Hooray!
You can catch all the action right here at DK with live blogging beginning at 9 PM ET, when polls close in The Badger State.