It’s been a good week for those of us expecting a better elections result on this side of the pond.
The current trends give Hillary Clinton a 7.3-point lead over the tiny-fingered, cheeto-faced, ferret-wearing shitgibbon (thanks Scotland, for that one!). Remember: In 2008, President Obama’s landslide victory over John McCain was 7.2 points. And the numbers haven’t stopped shifting on this one either, since we’re still waiting for some Bernie Sanders supporters to come home. And Trump sure hasn’t stopped screwing the pooch.
Driving these numbers are Clinton leads in pretty much every poll: ABC/Post +12, NBC/WSJ +5, Ipsos/Reuters +10, Rasmussen (crap) +5, ARG +9. About the only halfway positive results for Trump are Morning Consult, which only have Clinton at +2. But even that one has Trump stuck at 40 and look at that! None of the polls listed above have him at over 41. It’s quite similar to Mitt Romney in 2012, also stuck in the low 40s for most of the campaign season.
As you can see from the graph above, Clinton’s post-primary bounce has yet to stall while Trump is headed south. And his performance in Scotland in the wake of the Brexit vote won’t make things any better for him.
Campaign Action
Now there’s this funny liberal tendency where everyone is afraid to be winning. They say things like, “Fight like we’re 10 points down!” not realizing that when you’re losing by that much, you don’t fight so hard. You lick your wounds and focus on more attainable pursuits.
So we’re not going to pretend like we’re losing, and if you want to feel like you’re losing, keep it to yourself because it’s lame.
We’re not going to get all worried about complacency.
We’re not going to fear spreading the good news.
Fuck that shit. We’re winning, and we’re winning big. And I don’t say “We’re winning” when we’re not. I didn’t say that in 2010 or 2014, did I? Why not? Because we were losing. And we were losing big. We were losing by 10 points! And did anyone feel extra motivated to work harder those two cycles? Of course not. My point is made.
You know what’s at stake this November? The difference between winning and winning big. That’s what’s at stake. That’s the difference between taking the cycle for granted and working our asses off.
We have three possible outcomes:
1) President Clinton, Republican Congress
2) President Clinton, Democratic Senate, Republican House
3) Democratic trifecta
The third option is within the realm of possibility, but it’ll take A LOT of work. So stop being afraid of success, and start being confident and fighting like we own this shit, because we do!
This year we’re not fighting for survival, we’re fighting to decimate the GOP. Now that motivates me. It should motivate you.