New LA Times national poll of registered voters:
Bush 49% - Kerry 46%
The trendline is Kerry 48% - Bush 46% from July 17-21.
Here's a link to a story at Politicalwire. They also note:
"Bush's "tentative new advantage" seems to be "his greater success at onsolidating his base. While just 3% of voters who call themselves Republicans say they will vote for Kerry, Bush is drawing 15% just over one-seventh of all Democrats, and fully one-fifth 20% of Democrats who consider themselves moderate or conservative."
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Petey's take:
We're in the nail biting time of the race. It's always been in the cards that late August and early September was Bush's time. Things are likely to get worse before they get better.
Bush is likely to get a boost out of the RNC and the politically foolish accompanying protests.
I still like our position better than theirs, but these numbers obviously don't make me happy.
Update: This poll already sparked a lively discussion I was unaware of at this thread.
And to those who think this poll is an outlier, there's been a consistent drift toward Bush in a number of polls over the past week or two.