NATIONAL
BATTLEGROUND 2004 POLL
Tracking Poll Thru Thursday - 9/23
BUSH 50
KERRY 45
NOTE: This poll was one of the worst 4 years ago. The last
BATTLEGROUND 2000 POLL before the election, predicted a 5 point victory for Bush in the popular vote
(50-45) & had Bush ahead by 9 points 3 days before the election
(46-37).
STATES
IOWA - RASMUSSEN
Survey of 400 Likely Voters
Sept 10-23, 2004
BUSH 48
KERRY 45
MINNESOTA - RASMUSSEN
Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Sept 18-24, 2004
KERRY 46
BUSH 46
PENNSYLVANIA - Philadelphia Inquirer/Temple University
"Conducted over eight days ending Sept. 24, surveyed 1,133 people throughout the state, and had a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points"
KERRY 49
BUSH 47
NOTE: Kerry leads Bush in the suburbs outside Philadelphia, 51 percent to 43 percent
NEW HAMPSHIRE - CONCORD MONITOR/RESEARCH2000
"600 likely voters by telephone Sept. 20 to 23. Republicans made up 35 percent of those interviewed, Democrats made up 28 percent and independents 37 percent"
KERRY 46
BUSH 46
NADER 2