The Left-Right Coalition?
Thu Jul 08, 2004 at 09:30:46 PM PDT
Recently, it seems that there have been more bills where Conservative Republicans and Liberal Democrats are voting together opposite the "mainstream" politicos. For instance, for today's Patriot Act and Medicinal Marijuana votes, conservative representatives Butch Otter, Roscoe Bartlett, and Ron Paul, among others, were voting with the Progressive Caucus people (Kucinich, Sanders, et al.). With the George W. Bush wing of the Republican party and the DLC wing of the Democratic party increasingly fighting against their fringes, could there be a realignment of party basis in Washington?
Currently, the main divisions in parties are on social issues "Guns, God, and Gays", especially abortion, and taxes. However, especially after 9/11, there seems to be a real divide between the "We need to do all we can to protect people" people and "We need to respect civil liberties" people. As these are the "true liberals" (not Zellocrats) and "true conservatives" (not Leach/Chafee/etc.) working "together" almost, maybe there will be a party that for a while will be against the Washington status quo.
My prediction: Before the 2008 elections, there will be a major shift in the parties as we know them today. My guess is that the right-wing (Libertarians, not Christian Theocrats) of the Republican Party will break to the Democrats, and the right-wing (DLC-ers like Bayh and Lieberman) of the Democratic Party will break to the Republicans. Also, as has already started, the Republicans will be the party of big government programs, though the Democrats will still have to figure out how to pay for them. Social issues will be a lot less of a wedge than they are now.
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