Daily Kos

NYT: Leaked Classified Report says we ARE vulnerable

Mon May 02, 2005 at 10:08:17 PM PDT

The New York Times has received a copy of a classified report that essentially says that because of Iraq and Afghanistan, our ability to undertake operations elsewhere in the world has been compromised.
Gen. Richard B. Myers, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, informed Congress in a classified report that major combat operations elsewhere in the world, should they be necessary, would probably be more protracted and produce higher American and foreign civilian casualties because of the commitment of Pentagon resources in Iraq and Afghanistan.
This report was leaked, but only the Times has a story on it so far.
In the report, General Myers wrote, the military faces "moderate" risk in its mission to protect the United States, and he assessed the risk for preventing conflict - including surprise attack - as "moderate, but trending toward significant." Though the general wrote that the military forces "will succeed in any" major combat operation, he added that "they may be unable to meet expectations for speed or precision as detailed in our current plans." The annual "Chairman's Risk Assessment," which is required by Congress, warned that additional major combat operations "may result in significantly extended campaign timelines, and achieving campaign objectives may result in higher casualties and collateral damage."
That sounds pretty bad, to me. In fact, the risk level is higher than in last year's report. Last week, in his press conference, Bush answered the question differently:
Q Do you feel that the number of troops that you've kept there is limiting your options elsewhere in the world? Just today you had the head of the Defense Intelligence Agency say that he was now concerned that the North Koreans, for example, could put a weapon, a nuclear weapon on a missile that could reach Japan or beyond. Do you feel, as you are confronting these problems, the number of troops you've left tied up in Iraq is limiting your options to go beyond the diplomatic solutions that you described for North Korea and Iran? THE PRESIDENT: No, I appreciate that question. The person to ask that to, the person I ask that to, at least, is to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, my top military advisor. I say, do you feel that we've limited our capacity to deal with other problems because of our troop levels in Iraq? And the answer is, no, he doesn't feel we're limited. He feels like we've got plenty of capacity.
In the Times article, the author goes on to cite unnamed senior officials who are concerned that the report might be "misinterepreted by adversaries as an admission of vulnerability". That is indeed an understatement. This statement is especially troubling:
In case of armed conflict, "There is no doubt what the outcome would be," said one senior official. "But it may not be as pretty," said another.
Not as pretty? What planet have they been on? We are vulnerable. Myers is being somewhat frank about the situation (with an "upbeat final paragraph" that our armed forces "remain the most professional, best trained, and best equipped military in the world.") But Bush lied to us at the press conference. Now that the report has been leaked, the spinning has begun. There's a lot of bluster that we could handle any new combat operation, but no matter how you sugarcoat it, Gen. Myers acknowledges that there are serious problems with our readiness to deal with another military operation.

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  •  Shocked. Just shocked. (4.00 / 3)

    Oh wait. No I'm not. We all predicted this would happen...

    Wars not make one great. - Yoda

    by Volvo Liberal on Mon May 02, 2005 at 10:05:40 PM PDT

  •  Dont forget... (none / 1)

    That's outgoing chairman.

    Guess he's getting a little snapish since they have already named his successor and he isn't due to step down until September.

  •  It's all part of their grand scheme. (none / 1)

    To reinstate the draft..  Recruitment is down, reenlistment is down, and we are noticing more violence in Iraq, Iran is on the drafting board...

    Now that the word is out, they will have to "re-evaluate" their stance..

    We are all Patriots in The War on FreedomTM

    by deminomaha on Mon May 02, 2005 at 10:27:29 PM PDT

  •  It's funny (none / 1)

    I found another story on this by the <cough> Washington Times. Their take is that the risk is higher because Rumsfeld's performance targets are higher - we've simply raised the bar! This quote is priceless:
    Risk was expected to increase because the armed forces are fighting three wars in Afghanistan, in Iraq, and globally against Muslim terrorists. "We can do the fourth as effectively as possible, but we wouldn't be as elegant ... as if we weren't doing the first three," a senior military official said.
    Armed conflict is discussed as being not as pretty or not as elegant. What is it with these guys?
  •  What struck me about this story ... (none / 1)

    was the way the Time characterized the difference between Bush's press conference answer and the report

    The general's report appears to provide a slightly different assessment than President Bush offered at a news conference last week when he said the number of American troops in Iraq would not limit Washington military options elsewhere.

    "appears to provide a slightly different assessment"? Why can't they just say that Bush pulled a tough guy answer out of his ass not thinking the report would ever get out?

    And then the article quotes some Pentagon official as saying:

    "The two comments are consistent in that no one in the military feels at all limited in the ability to respond to any contingency," the official said. "What the risk assessment discusses is the nature of the response."

    I'm sorry I'm not a military genius but WTF is the difference if our ability to respond directly determines the nature of our response? So is it the Pentagon or the Times covering Bush's ass? Or is it both? And why?  

  •  How many places do you want to occupy at once? (none / 1)

    It's not a very big surprise that with operations still in progress in Afghanistan and over a hundred thousand troups in Iraq as well as continuing to have forces in Bosnia, Germany, South Korea etc, we are going to be somewhat inhibited in begining major combat operations somewhere else.  It's kind of a big duh!  And where would this be?  North Korea -- we did that once, it really was a quagmire!

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