I think we can all agree it's just a matter of time now.
You can pick what you think will finally do it, i.e. a major hurricane this summer that destroys another major city, Rove (or Cheney) getting indicted over PlameGate, the first bombs dropping over Iran, or Bush lying about the size of the goldfish in his fish tank at home. Either way, the base is leaving Bush in droves, and even bringing home Osama's head on a stick isn't going to bring them back.
more on the flip
So here's the rules: pick the date that the first major national poll shows Bush's job approval rating at 29% or lower. (For extra points, pick the fun event that finally drives him below 30!) Winner gets
a pony thirty-five feet long, weighing approximately six hundred pounds.
You can also participate in the poll below and give a more general answer, but no ponies for winning in that poll. You gotta earn your ponies in the mean streets, baby.