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I don't think anybody could have predicted that these people would take an airplane and slam it into the World Trade Center, that they would try to use an airplane as a missile - a hijacked airplane as a missile.

National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice, May 17, 2002

I don't think anybody anticipated the breach of the levees. They did anticipate a serious storm. But these levees got breached. And as a result, much of New Orleans is flooded. And now we are having to deal with it and will.

President George W. Bush, September 1, 2005

I don't think anybody anticipated the level of violence that we've encountered. I guess the other area that I look at, in terms of an area where I think we were faced with difficulties we didn't anticipate was the devastation that 30 years of Saddam's rule had wrought, if you will, on the psychology of the Iraqi people.

Vice President Dick Cheney, June 19, 2006

I don't think anybody could have predicted that these people would take an airplane and slam it into the World Trade Center...

September 11 death toll: 2986

Bin Laden Determined to Strike in U.S.

President's Daily Briefing, August 6, 2001

Suicide bomber(s) belonging to al-Qaida's Martyrdom Battalion could crash-land an aircraft packed with high explosives (C-4 and semtex) into the Pentagon, the headquarters of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), or the White House.

National Intelligence Council report, September 1999

•   •   •   •

I don't think anybody anticipated the breach of the levees....

Katrina death toll (confirmed): 1747

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
...DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED...
.HURRICANE KATRINA...A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL. PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.
HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.

POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.
THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE KILLED.
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE!

NOAA advisory, August 28, 2005

The storm surge will most likely topple our levee system. This is very serious, of the highest nature. This is a once-in-a-lifetime event.

New Orleans mayor Ray Nagin, August 29, 2005

•   •   •   •

I don't think anybody anticipated the level of violence that we've encountered....

Iraq death toll (American soldier): 2504

If this nation and its coalition partners decide to undertake the mission to remove Saddam Hussein, they will also have to be prepared to dedicate considerable time, manpower, and money to the effort to reconstruct Iraq after the fighting is over. Otherwise, the success of military operations will be ephemeral, and the problems they were designed to eliminate could return or be replaced by new and more virulent difficulties.

Iraq presents far from ideal conditions for achieving strategic goals. Saddam Hussein is the culmination of a violent political culture that is rooted in a tortured history.  Ethnic, tribal, and religious schisms could produce civil war or fracture the state after Saddam is deposed. The Iraqi Army may be useful as a symbol of national unity, but it will take extensive reeducation and reorganization to operate in a more democratic state. Years of sanctions have debilitated the economy and created a society dependent on the UN Oil for Food Program. Rebuilding Iraq will require a considerable commitment of American resources, but the longer U.S. presence is maintained, the more likely violent resistance will develop.

RECONSTRUCTING IRAQ: INSIGHTS, CHALLENGES, AND MISSIONS FOR MILITARY FORCES IN A POST-CONFLICT SCENARIO, Army War College, February 2003

Originally posted to The Cunctator on Mon Jun 19, 2006 at 10:16 PM PDT.

Poll

What next will nobody have anticipated?

19%310 votes
25%398 votes
13%208 votes
4%73 votes
3%61 votes
33%523 votes

| 1573 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Excellent! Make them eat their filthy meme! n/t (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Cat Whisperer
  •  They only get away with it (5+ / 0-)

    because the press allows it.  Lying is easy when no one calls you on it.

    "In the beginning the universe was created. This has been widely criticized and generally regarded as a bad move." -- Douglas Adams

    by LithiumCola on Mon Jun 19, 2006 at 10:22:25 PM PDT

    •  And we won't let the press get away with (4+ / 0-)

      letting them get away with it, will we?

      Hell no.

      Credit where credit is due: WaPo called Cheney "big time" on this latest lie here. Of course, they bury the lede.

      •  Update (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Cambridgemac, Fabian

        The WaPo article Cunctator linked to was written by Tom Ricks. He quoted from a December 2002 interagency workshop under the auspices of the Army War College Strategic Studies Institute. This workshop was an interim meeting on the way to the production of a final report, February 2003, authored by W. Andrew Terrill and Conrad C. Crane. The observations quoted by Mr. Ricks are available in the final report, which is the Army War College report that Cunctator linked to in the diary. This report is prescient and educational to the max. Recommended reading for anyone interested in this topic. It really, really, really, makes Cunctator's point.

        Ricks also quoted from a National Defense University report from around the December 2002 period. The NDU held workshops and conferences about the upcoming war in November and December 2002, and February 2003. The final report of the November 2002 workshop isn't available to riff-raff like me, nor are reports from the other meetings. Ricks' NDU quotes are from one of these unavailable reports. Too bad.

        A "findings and recommendations" summary of the November meeting is available on line.

        http://www.ndu.edu/...

  •  Nobody -- (8+ / 0-)

    Image Hosted by ImageShack.us

    --could have anticipated--

    Image Hosted by ImageShack.us

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy....--ML King, "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Mon Jun 19, 2006 at 10:57:54 PM PDT

  •  Well, it's official (7+ / 0-)

    I'm not anybody.

    I'd been worried about a terrorist attack on the WTC since the one that took place on Clinton's watch... and had been concerned about planes being used as terrorist missiles ever since Libyans hijacked PanAm Flight 73 in 1986. Those  hijackers had originally intended to crash the plane into a target in Tel Aviv.  

    Most of the folks hanging around Daily Kos when Katrina struck thought that the levees being breeched was a serious possibility. I remember my trip to New Orleans for SIGGRAPH 96, and was told by a cab driver that the levees keeping the city dry were in serious disrepair.

    And I knew that Iraq was going to be a clusterfuck from the moment W turned his attention from Afghanistan and started rattling sabers at Saddam Hussein. Heck, W's own dad predicted that it would be a long drawn out affair, which is why he didn't try to take Baghdad back during the first Gulf War.

    The problem isn't that no-one could anticipate these things.

    The problem is that no-one listened to those who did.

  •  The quantifier (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Elise, trashablanca, pgm 01

    Is: in this administration.

    So many people complain, always talk about change yo but what's your contribution to life?-J5

    by fabooj on Mon Jun 19, 2006 at 11:04:40 PM PDT

  •  Exactly my sentiments. And I hate to see ... (5+ / 0-)

    ... this diary disappear.

    But I'd also like to make a suggestion:  

    Adding  "could anticipate..." to the title.

    Skimming the diary title, I thought, I wonder if this is about the latest Cheney rationalization on why the insurgency was stronger than he imagined!

    Immediately upon seeing that clip at Crooks and Liars this morning, those two other instances came to mind:

    CONDI -- flying planes into skyscrapers

    BUSH -- that levees would be topped

    ---
    I think a great TV ad campaign could be built on this repeat-phrase ... showing it part of their "lack of taking responsibility" behavior which can be shown to be adolescent in nature... and only effective if the parent listening to that crock are just completely out of it.

    ---

    But in order for people here to mobilize behind an ad campaign on "I don't think anybody could have anticipated" -- this diary needs more attention. And I believe it could GET more attention if you finish the title -- which resonates immediately. (Seems to me you were concerned that the language wasn't identical with Condi... but that's hair splitting at the expense of burying this diary's message)

    ---

    I think such a TV ad campaign could maybe end with:

    "I don't think anyone could have anticipated the GOP losing so many races in November"  -- or somehting to that effect.

    rh+ / demspeak

    •  Great cartoon for Tom Tomorrow (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Cletus from Canuckistan, dennisl

      Talking heads, as per usual:

      November 2006:
      "I don't think anyone could have anticipated that the American people would turn against an utterly incompetent, corrupt and malignant Republican Congress."

      November 2008:
      "I don't think anyone could have anticipated that the American people would turn against an utterly incompetent, corrupt and malignant Republican Administration."

      November 2012:
      "I don't think anyone could have anticipated that the American people would reelect President Gore with 95% of the vote."

  •  What a great diary... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Elise, trashablanca, Cat Whisperer
    Not pleasant

    Not warm and fuzzy

    But true. Harsh but true.

    These people are beneath contempt.

  •  the poll lacks (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Elise, trashablanca

    an "all of the above"

    the time has come the walrus said, to speak of many things....

    by farmerchuck on Tue Jun 20, 2006 at 04:40:13 AM PDT

  •  This is great ... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Elise

    and a good bookend with "Nobody Anticipated" the Incompetence of Bushco by Vyan.  

    19 June 06, Day 1746, A count worth keeping? Or, Osama Bin Forgotten?

    by besieged by bush on Tue Jun 20, 2006 at 09:30:47 PM PDT

  •  every time I hear these fucks make one of these (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Elise, Simplify, Lashe

    "I don't think..." statements, when it's an obvious lie, and no one in the press calls them on it, I turn into Marvin the Martian -- "Humans are so infuriating!"

    "pulp is fiction, blogs are hope, long live electricity"

    by dash888 on Tue Jun 20, 2006 at 09:36:56 PM PDT

  •  Fantastic diary (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Elise

    Glad it was up for diary rescue or I would have missed it.

  •  An oldie but a goodie... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Elise, Dugius

    The little picture of shrubbie reminded me of this. Maybe it doesn't belong here but maybe it does.

  •  Excellent! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Elise

    Is there some way things like this could be gathered together?  Sort of a Wiki reality check?  The Museum of Natural Blunders?  Stuff like this is to good to lose.

  •  Nice. Stark. Well done. (n/t) (0+ / 0-)

    Never, never brave me, nor my fury tempt:
      Downy wings, but wroth they beat;
    Tempest even in reason's seat.

    by GreyHawk on Wed Jun 21, 2006 at 02:55:46 AM PDT

  •  By George, I think I've got it. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dennisl

    "Otherwise, the success of military operations will be ephemeral, and the problems they were designed to eliminate could return or be replaced by new and more virulent difficulties."

    We should declare EV (Ephemeral Victory) Day, crack open some champagne and head home.

    Pumped and ready for "the rough and tumble competition of the memetic marketplace."

    by sagra on Wed Jun 21, 2006 at 06:50:50 AM PDT

  •  Bravo! (0+ / 0-)

    This is exactly the diary I was formulating in my brain the other day listening to yet another 'I don't think anyone would have' lines from these guys.

    Good job!

    Republicans are men of narrow vision, who are afraid of the future. - Jimmy Carter

    by kidfury on Wed Jun 21, 2006 at 07:10:54 AM PDT

  •  I don't think anybody anticipated... (0+ / 0-)

    that George W. Bush could possibly suck as badly as he does as Chief Resident of the United States!

    History is not the study of rationality. - Thomas Fleming

  •  I don't think that anybody (0+ / 0-)

    anticipated the anger many legal latino immigrants, or relatives of immigrants, even those that have been traditionally socially conservative, would have to the recent legislation targetting immigrants.

  •  Another one: Rumsfeld (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    nmcb

    I don't think anyone anticipated the fragility of the Baghdad power system. The people who are expert in electrical energy, we knew we did not destroy that system in the bombing campaign. What became pretty clear is that for years the system had been decrepit. It had been underinvested in for three decades by the Saddam Hussein regime and it apparently regularly imported energy from the north. And when one or two pieces were hit, it created an instability. The people who've been working on it, hard, the Corps of Engineers and others, simply have been not able to restore it to what one would call 100 percent. It's three hours on, three hours off. It's a heck of an inconvenience and it's a shame, but I don't anyone who had any idea how fragile the system was and how underinvested it was.

    Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, August 19, 2003

  •  The Spanish Inquisition (Sorry 2 Harsh Yer Buzz) (0+ / 0-)

    Before you get too comfortable sneering at them, just consider the Spanish Inquisition.

    No one expects the Spanish Inquisition.

    But that's exactly what they've been building right in front of our eyes for the past 5 years.

    So, who's sneering now?

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