*This is an update from my last update on Saturday July 1st
In total, these 55 vulnerable seats for Republicans encompass 24 states. Each race has a Democratic candidate either vying for an open seat or challenging the incumbent.
The question is how well these Democratic challengers can raise money, get volunteers to come out in force, and have the intelligence and wherewithal to withstand the Republican smear machine to bring the voters the truth about their incumbents dirty laundry.
Below the flip is a list of key races in 2006. Comments appreciated.
VULNERABLE REPUBLICAN SEATS
"x" means "open seat"
Highly vulnerable races (13)
Colorado (07x)
Connecticut (02)
Florida (22)
Indiana (08, 09)
Iowa (01)
Kentucky (04)
New Mexico (01)
Ohio (18)
Pennsylvania (06, 07)
Texas (22)
Virginia (02)
Vulnerable races (16)
Arizona (05, 08x)
California (11)
Colorado (04)
Connecticut (04, 05)
Illinois (06x)
Indiana (02)
Minnesota (06x)
New York (20, 24x)
North Carolina (11)
Ohio (15)
Pennsylvania (08)
Washington (08)
Wisconsin (08x)
Potential seats (26)
California (04, 50)
Colorado (06)
Florida (08, 09x, 13x, 16)
Illinois (10)
Kentucky (03)
Minnesota (01)
Nebraska (01)
Nevada (02x, 03)
New Jersey (07)
New York (19, 25, 26, 29)
North Carolina (08)
Ohio (01, 04x)
Pennsylvania (10)
Texas (06, 23)
West Virginia (02)
Wyoming (at-large)
10 races on the fringe needing money and press coverage to become competitive (MI-08, MI-09, MT-at large, NH-01, NH-02, PA-04, PA-18, TX-21, VA-10, VA-11)
**This article will change over time. As I have updated lists, I find that some candidates haven't gotten the fundraising going to really be competitive as of yet. That is why this list only has 55 races, as opposed to the 60 that I listed last time. These races should be on the Democratic radar. While some races are up and coming, clearly, these are the races that so far have stood out as ones that are currently on track to make a serious run this November. As the campaign season moves ahead, some races will become closer and some will become more distant. I will make further updates in a few weeks.
Key campaign resources
National Journal Race Rankings: House
Washington Post key races (Governor, Senate, House)
Democratic Candidates for House of Representatives
2004 results analysis
Candidates with ethics issues
Fighting Dems
Key House Races
House Balance of Power Scorecard
Politics1
This is cross posted on Raising Kaine