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This is great news. The ultra-conservative Richmond Times-Dispatch poll shows Webb only down by 4 points.

POLL: Webb pulls nearly even with Allen

Apparently wounded by his alleged racial remark last month, Allen is now ahead of Webb by only 4 percentage points, surrendering an advantage of 16 percentage points in a July survey by the newspaper.
In the latest poll, Allen is preferred by 46 percent to 42 percent for Webb.
Because the gap is within the poll's 4-percentage-point margin of error, the contest can be considered a tossup.

The link I provided does not show the poll graph that is in the paper. According to the graph, 3% said they would definitely not vote for Allen because of what he said and 37% said they were voting against Allen anyways. 3% seems kind of low, but that's because you get to answer only one question and I think most people went with the "wasn't voting for him anyways". Also, 8% are less likely to vote for Allen. So, that's 40-48% that are voting for Webb.

What I found most disturbing, though, was that 26% said that the comment was not serious and are voting for Allen, while 16% disapprove of the comment but will still vote for Allen. I'm not surprised, but a little disappointed that 26% of VA sees nothing wrong with what he said.

Finally, 10% are not sure, which is not surprising since every poll has about 10% "not sure or don't know".

To sum up, 42% will definitely vote for Allen, while 40% will definitely vote for Webb.

Hopefully, Allen's plagiarizing incident and white supremacist connections get in the MSM like the macaca statement and we can get some more points out of the remaining 18%.

I think Webb is in a great position and should win, but it will still take a lot of work.

Originally posted to jpolon on Sun Sep 10, 2006 at 05:49 AM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

    •  I was surprised to find (0+ / 0-)

      that a significant number of Webb supporter had not heard of Macaca, CCC, or the Durbin theft, when I talked with people wearing Allen stickers, at a community event yesterday.

      The word is NOT getting out, and the local papers are NOT picking up on these outrages.

      •  YOU'RE WRONG (0+ / 0-)

        You are completely wrong about that.

        http://news.google.com/...

        The latest story is about James Hunter Pickles

        A Virginia for EVERYONE... my blog http://markus.blog-city.com

        by New Sweden on Sun Sep 10, 2006 at 05:55:52 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  This one was good (0+ / 0-)

          This one if from the Virginian-Pilot and Margaret Edds.

          http://home.hamptonroads.com/...

          TRAVELING THROUGH the South late last month, I kept running into Sen. George Allen's "macaca" moment.

          A telling lapse, yes, but Allen's no racist, I ventured when asked about the episode by curious relatives and friends. What intrigued me as much as anything was the last part of Allen's comments at the Breaks Interstate Park in southwest Virginia - the least reported part, the part that didn't get him in trouble.

          "We're going to places all over Virginia, and he's having it on film and it's great to have you here," the senator said, singling out S.R. Sidarth, a Fairfax native of Asian Indian ancestry, who was assigned by Democrat Jim Webb to record Allen's speech.

          "And you show it to your opponent (sic)," urged Allen, referring to the video, "because he's never been there and probably will never come."

          How's that? Say again?

          Not only has Jim Webb, to whom Allen apparently referred, been to the state's far southwest. Webb's ancestral roots run so deep there that he wrote the book on the region. I happened to be reading it, "Born Fighting: How the Scots-Irish Shaped America," at the time of Allen's speech.

          I actually think that local press is 60% for Webb and only 40% for Allen. If pressure remains on Allen the borderliners will swift fast over to Webb. They all know that Allen screwed up by the Macaca case, the theft amendment (George Allen took a short cut and stole a Department of Defense appropriations amendment, the nose ring affair, The Hunter Pickels affair, Dress out like a cowboy clown when he's from California during a parade while Webb's son is on the way to Iraq, George Allen's pervert relationship with the confederate flag, etc, etc, you name it. He's dumber than his horse BUBBA's ass.

          And this guy is a Presidential candidate. YOU GOT TO BE FREAKING JOKING. Even my the laboratory stick insect dressed out as a cowboy is more serious than George Allen.

          A Virginia for EVERYONE... my blog http://markus.blog-city.com

          by New Sweden on Sun Sep 10, 2006 at 06:33:10 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I did not make my comment clear (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            New Sweden

            I realize that papers that are based in communities of over 25k, or so, are covering these Allen screw ups.  Sort of...  

            My problem is with the weeklies that serve over 60% of the geographical area and about 40% of the population.  They continue to focus entirely on local issues and are the primary news source for people in rural areas.  

            The local TV affiliates are not hitting these stories hard, and cable and dish accessible TV has never made the issue of this that the story deserves.  

            So...not wrong.  Just a very different, on the ground, take on the viability of the Allen story from here in the 5th.

            •  Re Granny (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Granny Doc

              Yeah you're probably right about the TV. I just track the net. What's your local radio stations saying?

              Here's what I found on the net and I think it favours Webb.

              Minorities in GOP Rally for Allen in N.Va.
              Washington Post, United States - 12 hours ago
              Virginia Sen. George Allen joined several hundred Asian, Hispanic and black supporters in Fairfax County yesterday at a rally designed ...

              Allen's words haunt him as Webb rises
              Daily Press, VA - 3 hours ago
              A new poll shows the GOP senator and the Demo-crat in a virtual dead heat as Nov. 7 draws near. Sen. George Allen's lead over Democratic ...

              Allen reaches out to all races at rally
              Daily Press, VA - 7 hours ago
              FAIRFAX -- After weathering charges of racial insensitivity, Republican Sen. George Allen made a public appeal to minority voters ...

              Webb sees son off, returns to campaign
              Roanoke Times, VA - 8 hours ago
              James Webb watched his son leave Camp Lejeune, NC, on Friday morning with a US Marine unit bound for Iraq, then bottled up his worries and returned to Virginia ...

              New poll shows Webb has closed in on Allen
              Virginian Pilot, VA - 9 hours ago
              By WARREN FISKE, The Virginian-Pilot. US Sen. George Allen's once-substantial re-election lead over Democrat Jim Webb has crumbled ...

              Webb pulls nearly even with Allen
              Richmond Times Dispatch, VA - 13 hours ago
              BY JEFF E. SCHAPIRO. With a single word, Republican incumbent George Allen has transformed a sleepy US Senate race with Democrat ...

              Senate race a close one, poll suggests
              Roanoke Times, VA - 14 hours ago
              The controversy surrounding US Sen. George Allen’s campaign trail remarks in August has helped turn his re-election race into ...

              Poll: Webb catching up
              Lynchburg News and Advance, VA - 14 hours ago
              The increasingly competitive race between Republican Sen. George Allen and Democratic challenger Jim Webb seems to boil down to one word: macaca. ...

              Republican tracker says he's off the trail
              Richmond Times Dispatch, VA - Sep 8, 2006
              BY REX BOWMAN. ROANOKE -- A Republican Party volunteer charged with trespassing after filming a Democratic campaign event escaped ...

              Bellwether community still handicapping hopefuls
              Washington Times, DC - Sep 8, 2006
              By Seth McLaughlin. This community of nearly 6,300 residents has picked the Republican winners -- President Bush and Sens. George ...

              GEORGE ALLEN'S NIGHTMARE.
              New Republic, D.C. - Sep 7, 2006
              by Michelle Cottle. The Senate candidate looks awkward--even shy--as a plumpish, middle-age woman crosses the dimly lit rec room ...

              Poll finds Allen's lead shrinking
              Charlottesville Daily Progress, VA - 5 hours ago
              By Bob Gibson / Daily Progress staff writer. US Sen. George Allen’s lead over Democratic challenger Jim Webb has shrunk enough ...

              A Virginia for EVERYONE... my blog http://markus.blog-city.com

              by New Sweden on Sun Sep 10, 2006 at 07:28:14 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

  •  FWIW... (0+ / 0-)

    there are already THREE other diaries in the 50 most recent diaries at the time you posted this one also on the latest Mason-Dixon poll, all citing the Times Dispatch article too:

    nickshepDEM's diary
    Leaves on the Current's diary
    Pilgrim Paul's diary

  •  Please remember to contribute! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Granny Doc
  •  What I don't understand... (0+ / 0-)

    is why 5% of the afro-american people would vote for him?

    Or any minority people. He should get Zip Zero Zilch Nada Nil from the minorities.

    A Virginia for EVERYONE... my blog http://markus.blog-city.com

    by New Sweden on Sun Sep 10, 2006 at 06:05:42 AM PDT

  •  It will take getting out the vote in No. VA. (0+ / 0-)

    Forget red state Virginia.  Get the people to the polls north of Richmond.

  •  It is an amazing thing, that American people (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jpolon

    can look at George Allen, and then Jim Webb and not run to the side of Webb. What a bunch of mindless dumbos.

    lead, follow, or get out of the way.

    by cabinetman1 on Sun Sep 10, 2006 at 06:53:21 AM PDT

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