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It looks like Chafee is going to win at this point, pulling off a fairly comfortable 5- to 8-point victory. Club for Growth has been taken down by the combined might of the Republican establishment. CfG had the money, but NRSC had more plus they put serious boots on the ground.

All that will be for naught, however, as all the NRSC did was delay the inevitable. Sheldon Whitehouse will finish Chafee off in November.

Bowers on turnout:

RI-Sen: I should mention that turnout in the Democratic Senate primary does appear to be about 28% higher than turnout in the Republican primary, even though there was basically nothing at stake. In other words, it is not as though we are doomed in this race because Chafee won. Whitehouse should beat Chafee and Laffey combined in total votes tonight. Whitehouse could still even walk to a huge victory if Laffey voters stay at home. We will have to see how things develop over the next couple of weeks.

MD-Sen: Mfume 40%, Cardin 39%, with 10% reporting. Expect wild swings like this all night since our still all-too segregated society will result in lots of landslide precincts for both candidates. Few precincts will be close. Also, turnout looks friggin' huge in Maryland. I have to think that this means Steele is finished.


Maryland Democratic Senate primary

980 precincts out of 1,793 -- 54.66%

            Votes      %
Cardin      118,423   45.60
Mfume       95,591    36.81

MD-04 Dem primary

85 precincts out of 171 -- 49.71

            Votes      %
Wynn        13,562     52.32
Edwards     11,408     44.01

Update: Spitzer will win the gubernatorial nomination in NY 81-19 (ha!) and Clinton was at 83-17 over Tasini with about a third of the vote counted.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:37 PM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

308 comments | Permalink

  •  Least we didn't directly have a dog in this one (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Kestrel, John DE

    Still, stupid media comparisons to CT claimg Dems eat their own in 3, 2, 1...

    Never wait for miracles.

    by Wanderer on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:23:48 PM PDT

    •  Yep (0+ / 0-)

      I think we have to keep in mind that reporters have to write to an 8th grade education level. At least that's what it was in the past. Perhaps it's been dumbed down to or 5th or 6th grade level due to Republicans being in power. Can't write stuff they can't understand.

      "It's the Supreme Court, Stupid!"

      by Kestrel on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:43:29 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Fox News: Laffey concedes to Chafee (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Carl Nyberg, John DE, Blue South

    WPRI CBS 12 also calls the race for Chafee

    by tomangell on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:24:55 PM PDT

  •  You are the boss, but please change "Chafee will (0+ / 0-)

    win" to another head or I'll have a heart attack, Kos.

    by earthmissinglink on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:25:22 PM PDT

  •  Hmmm (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Shawn, Kestrel, Steve Singiser

    I think people place a little too much stock in turnout and how that will compare to Nov.  There's too many factors that effect turn out for it to mean much, IMHO.

    Aren't there a billion more Dems in RI then Republicans?  Shouldn't we expect Whitehouse to get more votes then?

    And I hope Steele is finished, but since there wasn't a competative MD-Sen race (and again, more Dems in MD), wouldn't be natural to see the two Dems candidates get more votes?

    "No government has the right to tell its citizens whom to love. The only queer people are those who don't love anybody." - Rita Mae Brown (-4.75, -7.13)

    by AUBoy2007 on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:25:53 PM PDT

    •  It's all about getting the voters (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Kestrel, stephdray, MO Blue

      Out of their chairs and into the voting booth.  And it's going to be hard to do with the problems we've had with the electronic voting technology.  I hope we aren't going to be using the same system in November.

      "I believe in compulsory cannibalism. If people were forced to eat what they kill, there would be no more wars." - Abbie Hoffman

      by Jensequitur on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:28:43 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The other problem is Chafee (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Kestrel

        He is the one Republican Senator who really can proclaim indepedence from Bush, and be believed.  He voted against the Iraq war-hell, he didn't even vote for Bush in 2004 (he wrote in his father).  Speaking of fathers, the only reason, as far as I can tell, that Chafee remains a Republican is because dear old daddy was one.

        All this means is that even with a huge Democratic registration advantage, many Democrats many be inclined to support Chafee. making it at least a reasonably close race.

        by Geotpf on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:38:34 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Whitehouse needs our help now. (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Kestrel, exNYinTX, gmb, John DE, Blue South

    He could have walked to victory against The Laughable, but Chafee will be in the game.  Sheldon will still win, but he'll need some love now.

    "Writing is not necessarily something to be ashamed of, but do it in private and wash your hands afterwards." -- Robert Heinlein

    by Vico on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:26:09 PM PDT

  •  Can Wm. Donald Schaefer really lose tonight? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Carl Nyberg

    I am (happily) shocked -- it's a 3 way race right now.

    by Arlingtonian on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:26:19 PM PDT

    •  I sure hope so (0+ / 0-)

      But I am afraid the Don will pull it off with 35 percent or so.  Didn't know whether to vote for Owens or Franchet - whoever had the best shot, but I voted for Franchet because he had the Post and Sun endorsements.  Hope the late returns from Mont Co pull him over.

      Schaefer insulted me to my face for no good reason 5 years ago and I haven't forgiven him.  I told him I was a federal employee and he said I was lazy and worthless like all government employees.

      "Great men do not commit murder. Great nations do not start wars." William Jennings Bryan

      by Navy Vet Terp on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:37:41 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  You should have punched him in the mouth (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Cream Puff

        He is a really, really sick little fuck.  My best friend used to date one of his security detail and he swore he has a real thing going for teenage boys.  He kisses Bob Ehrlich's ass as if it were made of Godiva chocolate, but anyone who he thinks is "below" him is fair game for his arrogance and insults.

        Filleann an feall ar an bhfeallaire. The treachery returns to the betrayer. A crushing primary defeat for every Vichy Democrat who enables Bush.

        by asskicking annie on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:06:54 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Who (0+ / 0-)

          Who the hell VOTES for Schaeffer?  Are there THAT many patronage jobs he's been able to dish out?

          by Mauimom on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:41:06 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Elderly People and DINO's (0+ / 0-)

            Schaefer has been a DINO since he was mayor and Nixon was president.  I don't think he's endorsed a Democrat for president since 1968.  And Bobby Haircut has led him around like a poodle these past 4 years.

            In 2002 I cast my only Republican vote for Schaefer's opponent.  The guy was a CPA and said he could keep the books balanced which sounded like all the qualifications you need for Comptroller.

            "Great men do not commit murder. Great nations do not start wars." William Jennings Bryan

            by Navy Vet Terp on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:44:31 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  WHAT A RACE!!! (0+ / 0-)

      Three candidates in the field...and they are separated by 3 percent!!

      At last check (1/4 of the vote counted):
      Owens 35%

      Franchot 33%

      Schaefer* 32%

      "It. Is. About. Winning."

      by Steve Singiser on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:45:40 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I fear he'll win (0+ / 0-)

      And we'll then have a candidate who the vast majority of Democrats DID NOT WANT.

      I wish Franchot and Owens had been able to reach some kind of agreement, because they are splitting the anti-Shaefer vote pretty well.

      Stephanie Dray
      of Jousting for Justice, a lefty blog with a Maryland tilt.

      by stephdray on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:27:56 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Watch Laffey concession on CSPAN2 (0+ / 0-)

    or www.wpri.com

    by tomangell on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:26:44 PM PDT

  •  I hope Steele is chewing his nails... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gmb

    And it looks like Edwards is giving Wynn a real run, which is awesome...

    "Computer. End holographic program...Computer? Computer?"

    by kredwyn on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:26:46 PM PDT

  •  MoCo not huge turnout, at least not the precincts (0+ / 0-)

    I saw today.  Very VERY low turnout.  We'll see in the end how they all compare.  And the extra hour of voting had very few voters as well.  But I'll be very glad if the rest of the state turned out.  We'll need a good turnout in November.

    by BlueMax on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:27:28 PM PDT

    •  was in a line of about 30 people... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      JDPITALIA

      there was only one check in machine and one printer. That was about 3 pm. Not sure what it looked like before or after that.

      November is going to be fascinating.

      "Computer. End holographic program...Computer? Computer?"

      by kredwyn on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:30:22 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Good riddance to Laffey (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DBunn

    may he never haunt Rhode Island politics again

    Andre Araujo for Cranston School Committee, Andre For Schools

    by aaraujo on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:27:32 PM PDT

  •  MD Senate (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    cwech, dharmafarmer

    Baltimore Sun has best results.

    by natchezms on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:27:36 PM PDT

  •  I was moping because Chaffee won until my husband (7+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Kestrel, Carl Nyberg, Radiowalla, theran, aaraujo, dem4evr, greenearth

    pointed out that Laffey is Republican-base red-meat and it doesn't look like the base showed up.  Could be a good sign.

    by St Louis Woman on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:27:42 PM PDT

    •  The Base Showed Up...... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      theran, greenearth

      .....but RI is one of the few states where the GOP base is small.  It's independents showing up for Chafee that should scare the bejeezus out of all of us.....since they can be expected to return to the polls again in November to dronishly install Mitch McConnell as Senate Majority Leader.

      by Mark27 on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:59:48 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Go Kweisi Mfume!! (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Drew, Radiowalla, pHunbalanced, dem4evr, greenearth

    "In this world of sin and sorrow there is always something to be thankful for; as for me, I rejoice that I am not a Republican." H. L. Mencken (1880 - 1956)

    by LV Pol Girl on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:28:08 PM PDT

  •  I'd Love To Believe Ya, Kos.... (6+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mbc, theran, boofdah, dem4evr, greenearth, vox humana

    But Chafee will be very hard to beat in November. Fresh off the warm glow of a victory that at least some did not expect, he should get a little bump from this.

    Plus, this proves that there was at least some pragmatism among RI Republicans today. The idea that GOPers will desert Chafee en masse is wishful thinking, I am afraid.

    "It. Is. About. Winning."

    by Steve Singiser on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:28:12 PM PDT

    •  They don't have to. (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Radiowalla, theran, Geotpf, boofdah, greenearth

      We just need to make sure that Dems don't desert Whitehouse for Chafee.

      "Writing is not necessarily something to be ashamed of, but do it in private and wash your hands afterwards." -- Robert Heinlein

      by Vico on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:29:46 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Chafee will need crossover votes, lots of em (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Geotpf, gmb, greenearth

      Chafee can win all the GOP voters and still lose by a wide margin. Rhode Island is overwhelmingly Democratic.

      If you are interested in the politics of Proviso Township in Cook County, Illinois, visit Proviso Probe.

      by Carl Nyberg on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:31:16 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  actually (6+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Carl Nyberg, Radiowalla, waytac, SpecialEFX, boofdah, greenearth

        Rhode Island has more Independents than Democrats or Republicans. They may tend to be Democratic leaning independents but we NEED Whitehouse to run a good campaign that stresses the fact to voters that even though you may personally like Chafee or his stance on issues, we must have a Democratic Senate to check the Bush Administration.

        That is what I am reading from the news reports that even some of Chafee's supporters are considering voting Democratic because they want to check the Bush Administration. Go Whitehouse!

        by calvinshobbes on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:40:42 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  This is exactly right. (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          mbc, waytac, boofdah, greenearth

          And I would point out to those in the "Whitehouse in a walk" crowd that the RI Republican primary shattered its previous turnout by 15,000 votes. I am sure that many of these were independents frightened by the prospect of losing Chafee to Laffey and the unknown Whitehouse.

          Knowledgable independents turned out in large numbers to support Chafee. This will not be easy, this is not a foregone conclusion, and Chafee's victory speech was very conciliatory and presented the "friendly" face of the New England Republicans.

          I live here, and I am concerned. Not frightened, not even worried yet, but very concerned. "Democrat" means a lot of things here, and the dKos type is only a portion of the party. We need to get to work, and fast.

          The law is slacked and judgment doth never go forth: the wicked compass about the righteous and wrong judgment proceedeth - Habakkuk 1:4

          by vox humana on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:55:27 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Crossover votes for Chafee (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        looking italian, vox humana, PentlandFirth

        The problem is that Chafee will get crossovers, because he is in fact perfectly acceptable to a lot of RI Democrats as far as his political positions go. If we lived in an era where control of the Senate were not an overriding issue, I myself would prefer him to Sheldon Whitehouse, who is basically just another Democratic political careerist. Chafee will not be easy to beat in November.

        by SqueakyRat on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:42:23 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Chafee has been an equivocating weasel (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Radiowalla

          in the Senate.

          He hasn't stood up to the Bush administration in a way that mattered until the most recent nomination fight on John Bolton.

          If he had stones on a day-in-day-out basis I could see saying something nice about him. But Chafee bucks Bush less than Hagel or McCain.

          If you are interested in the politics of Proviso Township in Cook County, Illinois, visit Proviso Probe.

          by Carl Nyberg on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:47:01 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  You Are Making A False Assumption... (7+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        sacrelicious, waytac, theran, Mark27, greenearth, vox humana, PentlandFirth

        Namely that Whitehouse will win the Democratic vote decisively. Chafee always GETS lots of crossover vote.

        In 2000, while Gore was carrying Rhode Island with over 60% of the vote, Chafee was beating Congressman Weygand 57-41.

        And...according to Survey USA, Chafee's current job approval rating is higher with Democrats than Independents OR Republicans.

        "It. Is. About. Winning."

        by Steve Singiser on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:53:05 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  2006 vs. 2000 (0+ / 0-)

          I strongly suspect that it is much more difficult to get Dems to crossover for Congressional Republicans in 2006 than it was in 2000.

          If you are interested in the politics of Proviso Township in Cook County, Illinois, visit Proviso Probe.

          by Carl Nyberg on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:59:28 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Different dynamics (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Shawn

          Bush is extremely unpopular in Rhode Island. He doesn't have the benefit of a neutral cycle. Chaffee is still in trouble.

          http://www.keen.com/jiacinto For DC related travel advice, please visit that link.

          by jiacinto on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:28:10 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Anti bush sentiment only gets you so far. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            theran

            As of now, Chafee is 2 points behind Whitehouse. That is not nearly a big enough gap.

            by tigercourse on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:30:07 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Maybe not (0+ / 0-)

              But, as I said, he reminds me of Connie Morella (R). Morella represetned the heavily Democratic MD-8 from 1986 through 2002. She was very popular because, like Chaffee, she was a RINO. She voted basically like a Democrat.

              Up until 1998 she would win every election with 70% of the vote or more. Then, in 1998, Ralph Neas of People for the American Way held her 60%. In 2000 she polled only 52% against Terry Lieberman. Two years she lost to Chris Van Hollen.

              Chaffee is where Morella was in 2002. Yes, he tends to vote like a moderate Democrat. But his partisan affiliation becomes a much bigger issue now. And for Rhode Island it may be too much.

              http://www.keen.com/jiacinto For DC related travel advice, please visit that link.

              by jiacinto on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:45:19 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

    •  Chafee is running behind in the polls against (0+ / 0-)

      Whitehouse. He's not going to win. And for an incumbent senator to only get 54% of the vote in their party's primary is truly pathetic. When the voters of Rhode Island get to choose between a real Democrat and a fake Democrat, they'll pick the real one.

      If your name was George Walker instead of George Walker Bush, your candidacy would be a joke.

      by dole4pineapple on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:34:20 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I wish that were how it worked here, (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        mbc, waytac, PentlandFirth

        but I'm afraid it's not. Family, tradition, and who knows whom matter a great deal in this small-sized state. Most of us have personal stories or experience and see these people on a regular basis, not just on television. People feel they know Lincoln Chafee. They know his family. That matters. A lot.

        The law is slacked and judgment doth never go forth: the wicked compass about the righteous and wrong judgment proceedeth - Habakkuk 1:4

        by vox humana on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:59:22 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Chafee didn't win on the back of Republicans. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      boofdah, vox humana

      He won thanks to an insane number of indies who jumped into the primary, scared shitless of the remote possibility that Laffey would win in November.

      Think about it this way. If the indies split evenly between Chafee and Whitehouse, and the two parties just do their partisan thing, Whitehouse wins in a WALK.

      Sheldon Whitehouse for Senate 2006 - -5.63, -5.18

      by Scoopster on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:37:25 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  RI is different (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mbc, boofdah, vox humana, PentlandFirth

      Chafee doesn't much depend on Republican votes to win, because the registration differential in RI is huge. In general elections, Democrats normally vote Republican candidates named Chafee into office.

      When Bowers (usually excellent) compares D and R primary turnouts, he shows he does not quite understand RI.

      by DBunn on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:41:42 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Gotta say (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      boofdah

      it's pretty freakin' funny that our guy is named Whitehouse. White. House. Never thought about it before, it was just another name. I shall ponder.

      "It's the Supreme Court, Stupid!"

      by Kestrel on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:47:12 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Exactly.... (0+ / 0-)

      With independents coming out in force to support Chafee, Whitehouse's prospects look incredibly gloomy tonight.

      by Mark27 on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:01:22 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  MAYOR CITY OF CRANSTON, COUNCIL CRANSTON WARD 2 (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    missreporter, ChiGirl88

    MAYOR CITY OF CRANSTON
    Candidate Party Polling Place Mail Ballots Total Votes
    Michael T. NAPOLITANO Democrat 3,603 3,603 - 58.88%
    Cynthia M. FOGARTY Democrat 2,516 2,516 - 41.12%

    COUNCIL CRANSTON WARD 2
    Candidate Party Polling Place Mail Ballots Total Votes
    Emilio L. NAVARRO Democrat 651 651 - 59.72%
    Joseph C. CASTELLONE Democrat 439 439 - 40.28%

    Andre Araujo for Cranston School Committee, Andre For Schools

    by aaraujo on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:28:47 PM PDT

  •  So much for Rhode Island. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    davidkc

    by tigercourse on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:29:41 PM PDT

  •  Wynn can't be happy (0+ / 0-)

    If he comes in at the 55-56% range.

    If he gets a good job offer in the next couple years I'd suggest he take it.

    If you are interested in the politics of Proviso Township in Cook County, Illinois, visit Proviso Probe.

    by Carl Nyberg on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:29:48 PM PDT

    •  Looks like Edwards... (0+ / 0-)

      is giving him a run that he wasn't expecting. Sure hope he gets the wake up call.

      "Computer. End holographic program...Computer? Computer?"

      by kredwyn on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:31:43 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Wynn hasn't won it yet (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Carl Nyberg

      looking on line at returns, it looks like about 30% of the Prince George's portion of the district has reported results, while only about 10% of the Montgomery County precincts...  assuming that Wynn is doing better in PG than Mont, this thing will get a bit tighter before the night is done

      Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

      by terjeanderson on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:34:16 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  how much is in Montgomery Co? (0+ / 0-)

        I used to live in Cheverly, PG County.

        As I remember the map, there wasn't much of Montgomery County in the CD. Am I wrong?

        If you are interested in the politics of Proviso Township in Cook County, Illinois, visit Proviso Probe.

        by Carl Nyberg on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:37:03 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  can you toss out a link (0+ / 0-)

        to where you're getting your info? thanks.

        I am typing my fingers to the bone for Harry, his little hippie River, us, and America.

        by Chamonix on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:38:42 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  from the Baltimore Sun website (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Carl Nyberg, Chamonix

          I'm extrapolating from the results they're showing from the County Exec races... where the PG results are coming in much faster than Montgomery -- which isn't surprising, because of all the polling place screwups in Montgomery County and the fact that they kept the polls open there longer

          It is certainly only a way of guessing where the votes are coming from, but it makes some sense

          Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

          by terjeanderson on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:45:32 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Linky goodness: (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Chamonix

          HERE.  Just click on the links at the top of the page for the race you're interested in.

          by dharmafarmer on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:38:49 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Remember all the paper ballots (0+ / 0-)

        I had to vote by paper ballot -- lots of people did. If the race is even somewhat close at the end of the night, it won't be over until all that paper is counted.

        by FischFry on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:51:04 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Edwards up to 58% in Mont! Wynn down to 35%!!! (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        terjeanderson

        This is starting to look possible for Edwards especially if Takoma comes in good for her--she's already won a few precincts around Langley!

        I'm hopeful.

        by Doug in Virginia on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:51:21 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Edwards won my precinct HANDILY (0+ / 0-)

          I didn't get the final tally, but if I did my math right on the tally sheets that were posted for each machine, Donna had 195 votes to Al Wynn's 80 votes.  We were fortunate to have a Donna Edwards volunteer and a Clear Water Action volunteer talking to folks and handing them lit before they went into vote.  Also, many people indicated that they had voted for or were voting for Donna.

          The neighboring precinct, Wynn did a bit better, but still had 50 votes less than Donna.  If I wasn't so hungry and tired I might have checked a few more polling places for their vote totals.  But I suspect that Donna is making up ground on Wynn with a great showing in Montgomery County!  (Note: because the polls closed later in MoCo, the tallies from there are taking longer....and should boost Donna's numbers!)

          I'm also thrilled that it looks like Ike Leggett has won the County Exec race. :)

          by Sharon in MD on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:02:22 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  That's too bad... (0+ / 0-)

    Would have been fun seeing if the news would report the right wing eating its own...

    Would be interesting to see if Chafee would pull a Lieberman and run as an independant...  I doubt it.  If there is one thing Republicans do is fall on their sword for the party.  I wish our guys did that.

    Thanks,

    Mike

    by LordMike on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:31:53 PM PDT

  •  Comfortable win? (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    stephdray, AUBoy2007, boofdah

    We should spin this as a narrow victory for an incumbent backed by the Republican machinery to the hilt. Hell, Lamont won by about 5% and you'd have thought he'd won by a single vote.

    I don't live in Rhode Island, but to me it looks like Chafee is in trouble.

    "Nothing worth having comes without some kind of fight. You've got to kick at the darkness until it bleeds daylight." --Bruce Cockburn, "Lovers In A Dangerous

    by AustinCynic on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:33:28 PM PDT

  •  misc comments (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gmb

    About Wynn vs. Edwards - I checked the Montgomery County results just a bit ago and nothing was up, not surprising since we had such awful election glitches this morning and extended voting by one hour to 9 pm (though for provisional ballots only).  Edwards is especially strong in Montgomery County, so if those results are missing in the early results, she should show stronger in awhile.

    Regarding turnout - I'm a precinct chair, and the turnout felt awful.  I couldn't get a final tally from the precinct, but a guesstimate of our turnout was maybe 40-45%, which isn't that bad, is it?  On the way home it occurred to me that in my legislative district, we had a competitive race for one of the state seats, but we had 5 good contenders, none of them bad, no huge swell for any single candidate.  So maybe voters were a bit less motivated.  In one district (awful Ida Ruben vs. wonderful progressive Jamie Raskin) the turnout was probably a lot better.

    by norabb on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:34:30 PM PDT

  •  And some more local races (0+ / 0-)

    From New York:

    State Senate - District 10 - Dem Primary
    232 of 232 Precincts Reporting - 100.00%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Huntley, Shirley Dem 5,863 50.85
    Smith, Ada (i) Dem 5,666 49.15

    State Senate - District 21 - Dem Primary
    145 of 225 Precincts Reporting - 64.44%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Dear, Noach Dem 5,821 50.55
    Parker, Kevin (i) Dem 5,694 49.45

    State Assembly - District 74 - Dem Primary
    109 of 110 Precincts Reporting - 99.09%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Kavanagh, Brian Dem 5,022 43.93
    Friedman, Sylvia (i) Dem 4,645 40.63
    Yang, Esther Dem 977 8.55
    Pagan, Juan Dem 788 6.89

    State Assembly - District 99 - GOP Primary
    118 of 129 Precincts Reporting - 91.47%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Ball, Greg GOP 4,590 71.36
    Stephens, Willis (i) GOP 1,842 28.64

    State Assembly - District 103 - GOP Primary
    90 of 104 Precincts Reporting - 86.54%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Molinaro, Marcus GOP 2,375 53.41
    Manning, Patrick (i) GOP 2,072 46.59

    A quick Google news search mentions Ada Smith throwing coffee in someone's eyes. Friedman is a 67 year old incumbent who got her seat in a party meeting for a special election.

    And

    This year, Stephens faces outspoken conservative Greg Ball, who has been campaigning for 16 months. Ball's bare-knuckle campaign tactics have included purchasing and using a Web site address that just happens to contain Stephens' name; promising last November to personally deliver a holiday wreath to anyone donating $40 to his campaign; and last month employing a man in a chicken suit to hang out by Stephens' Southeast law office, subtly chiding the incumbent for not debating Ball.

    Good times for all, eh?

    "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

    by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:35:23 PM PDT

    •  Another point on that (0+ / 0-)

      Greg Ball is a CRAZY conservative whacko.  He's been posting license plates of any vehicle that he believe is using and picking up illegal workers.  The guy is as close to militant on illegal immigration as you get in New York.  

      Fact are stubborn things. -John Adams

      by circlesnshadows on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:42:30 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  So (0+ / 0-)

        do you think Stephens will run on the Independence/Conservative lines in November?

        Or will he just concede in general?

        "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

        by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:56:52 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  And...Correct Me If I Am Wrong, NY Kossacks... (0+ / 0-)

      But isn't Noach Dear the guy who lost to Anthony Weiner a few years back in NY-09, as the Republican nominee??

      Not sure this is good for our side....

      "It. Is. About. Winning."

      by Steve Singiser on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:55:36 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yep (0+ / 0-)

        Noach Dear faced Weiner in 2000 as a Rep/Con nominee.

        At least you know who'll be the next guy to switch from D to R in the New York State Senate.

        From the NYDN

        FORMER COUNCILMAN Noach Dear was best known for vitriolic clashes with black politicians and for crusades against gay rights. Now the perennial candidate, who is running for state Senate in Brooklyn, is apparently so worried that black voters will remember him that he's changed his name.

        Dear's new moniker - Noah, in place of the more Jewish Noach - appears only in mailings that seem aimed at African-American voters. It may be the least deceptive thing about his campaign. One of Noah's mailings suggests, falsely, that he's been endorsed by Hillary and Bill Clinton. "Vote the Clinton/Dear Ticket," the mailing instructs, beneath a huge picture of the candidate with the Clintons.

        On the back, it quotes what appears to be personal praise for Dear from the Clintons. On closer inspection, however, the quotes seem to be taken from White House form letters.

        "Thanks so much for your letter, your support and your wise counsel," Dear quotes the former President as telling him.

        "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

        by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:03:27 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Noach Dear is "Gadfly" (0+ / 0-)

        He gives new meaning to the term "gadfly." Whatever decent connotation it had is lost when applied to Noach Dear.

        by FischFry on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:05:34 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Steve (0+ / 0-)

        Parker's base did come out though

        State Senate - District 21 - Dem Primary
        220 of 225 Precincts Reporting - 97.78%
        Name Party Votes Pct
        Parker, Kevin (i) Dem 10,674 60.18
        Dear, Noach Dem 7,062 39.82

        Parker won 4 to 1 in the 75 precincts that came in between 145 and 220

        "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

        by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:09:33 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  More on Noach in 2000 (0+ / 0-)

        from the Almanac of American Politics 2002:

        In 2000 Noach Dear challenged Weiner in the Democratic primary. Some thought the race would be close, but Weiner carried almost every assembly district and won 74%-26%. Dear was on the Republican and Conservative lines in November; this time Weiner beat him 68%-32%.

        "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

        by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:14:50 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  I would've donated $40 (0+ / 0-)

      If I'd heard about that, I would absolutely have donated $40, if he was willing to personally fly out to San Francisco and deliver a holiday wreath.

      -fred

      by Fred Fnord on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:05:40 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yeah (0+ / 0-)

        if I ever run for office, i'm stealing that idea (I may choose a different product though)

        "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

        by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:10:56 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Maryland Comptroller (0+ / 0-)

    Tightens again:

    Schaefer-Owens-Franchot
    35-34-31

    C'mon, Anyone But Schaefer!

    by TooLittleSleep on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:36:52 PM PDT

  •  Important to remember in Maryland (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    terjeanderson

    There were enormous problems in Montgomery COunty. Many, many people had to vote by paper ballots, myself included. If there is a close race in the County, or if the Wynn, Edwards race is somewhat close, or if Franchot or Gansler are in shouting distance of the lead tonight, that could all change when the large number of paper ballots are counted.

    "We support your war of terror!" -- Borat Sagdiyev (a/k/a Sacha Baron Cohen)

    by FischFry on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:39:05 PM PDT

  •  This is GOOD news. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    boofdah, Wufacta

    I gotta admit, I was praying the GOP in RI would succumb to their death wish and elect Laffey - but this is actually the better result for us. The True Believers who backed Laffey against the "RINO" - and had to fight their own national party to do it - have got to be furious.  (I have only to remember how I felt about Dems who supported Lieberman over Lamont to know exactly how they feel; well, at least I THINK I know how they feel.  I'm not sure I understand Republican thought processes that well, except that I know they're great at blind anger.)  With any luck, the Laffey-types will be angry enough to turn their backs on the national rethugs and refuse to vote in the general.

    Hey, a girl can hope.

    by Kentucky DeanDemocrat on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:39:17 PM PDT

    •  yup (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      boofdah

      and so can this boy along with ya.

      by singe on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:11:13 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  You know, that's a really awesome theory. :) (0+ / 0-)

      I sure hope you're right. I have to admit, I really like Chafee, but I see the wisdom in voting him out for one more seat toward a Dem Senate Majority.

      The Rick Santorum-Lite Laffey disgusted the piss out of me, which is why I really dreaded seeing his smug face taking the primary tonight. I don't think I'll ever be able to scrub the homophobic comments he made about his dead brother out of my mind.

      I guess what I'm really afraid of is that the Rethugs will do anything to stay in power. If Laffey had taken the primary, who knows, he could've gotten the Rethugs to rig RI's election for him and we'd have (yet another) wingnut in the Senate. Chafee, at least, has some measure of decorum and sanity.

      That being said--GO SHELDON WHITEHOUSE!!! :)

      We haven't forgotten the truth about Iraq.

      by boofdah on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:36:02 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Whitehouse (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sacrelicious, boofdah

    I shouldn't have to dig around to find out if a guy is a Democrat or a Republican. I haven't followed the race, so I still don't know. From the issues, I'm guessing that Whitehouse is a Democrat, but I could be wrong.

    Why isn't the party affiliation right at the top, front and center? That banner should read Sheldon Whitehouse - DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    --"Cheap Labor Conservative"-use the term everywhere

    by pdrap on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:39:17 PM PDT

    •  Everyone in our state knows (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      sacrelicious, boofdah

      who is which party in the race. Believe me, there is no mystery. Nobody is hiding; it's just common knowledge here. I wouldn't read anything into that.

      The law is slacked and judgment doth never go forth: the wicked compass about the righteous and wrong judgment proceedeth - Habakkuk 1:4

      by vox humana on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:02:26 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  NY Results (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    figleef, Dreaming of Better Days

    From:  WGRZ.com

    as of 10:43 pm, NY results are as follows:
    Precincts Reporting: 14023 Of 15084  
    Democratic Governor: Eliot Spitzer 532,030 81%   Thomas Suozzi 122,626 19%

    Democratic Senate: Hillary Clinton 547,076 83%  Jonathan Tasini 110,309 17%

    Democratic AG Primary:  Andrew Cuomo   345,137 53%  Mark Green   211,567  32%                                       Sean Maloney   62,798 10%     Charles King   33,395 5%

    Republican Senate Primary:  John Spencer 99,400 60%    K.T. McFarland 65,058 40%

    The Rural Patriot - Proudly bringing home the facts to rural areas of western New York State.

    by Ellicatt on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:40:22 PM PDT

    •  Republican Numbers (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Ellicatt

      I know it's not a real indicator of anything, but look at those GOP numbers.  Less than 200,000 Republicans state-wide bothered to get to a polling place to flip a lever.

      Tasini is getting trounced with more votes than either GOP Senate candidate is getting. I'm really hoping this complete loss of enthusiasm in the NYS GOP carries through to the State Senate elections this year.  Just seven seats, thats all it will take.

      by figleef on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:54:27 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Bright side of Chafee win (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TooLittleSleep, Kentucky DeanDemocrat, boofdah, Wufacta

    NRSC will dump more resources into RI trying to keep Chafee around.  That's less they can spend elsewhere...

    by tomangell on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:41:02 PM PDT

  •  Fenty wins in DC / his turnout efforts (0+ / 0-)

    Adrian Fenty has been declared winner of DC mayor's contest.  Yesterday's WaPo had an article about various turnout efforts, and I was especially impressed by Fenty's.  His coordinator, Tom Lindenfeld, was planning an incredible operation.  Here's the link to the article (Lindenfeld mentioned toward the end): http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    by norabb on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:41:06 PM PDT

  •  does anyone think that dialykos influenced the (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sacrelicious, boofdah

    race?

    I'm specifically thinking of the instance where kos says a laffey win is a pre-election pickup for senate.

    any thoughts?

    by quikjl on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:41:25 PM PDT

  •  A thought on Chafee's apparent win... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    boofdah, vox humana

    On the other hand, now that Chafee needs to appeal to Indys and Democratic voters, he be even more free to speak out against the President.

    He'll not have to go after the Republican base now, and perhaps that will mean there are more "a leading Republican Senator in a tough re-election is dissing the President" stories in the news.

    Well, it's a hope...

    (Also, we could also spin this as Republican who distanced himself from Bush wins his tough primary, compared to a Democrat who was too close to Bush lost his tough primary.)

    by TooLittleSleep on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:41:58 PM PDT

  •  Club for Growth gets taken down (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jab, sacrelicious, boofdah, greenearth, foreign noise

    This is really bad for them. When push comes to shove, they don't have what it takes to win the big races. They tried to take down Specter and failed. They tried to take down Chafee and failed. They got Joe Schwartz, but he was a one-term rep. who only won the GOP primary because the conservatives split their vote. The Club for Growth declining is something to celebrate.

    And one more thing: stop whining!!!!

    Laffey winning would have been convenient, but it wasn't something we absolutely were depending on in order to win the seat. Whitehouse has been running a good race and when it comes down to it, Chafee cannot win as a Republican in Rhode Island in a year like this.

    And don't forget, this means the Bolton nomination is dead, now that Chafee doesn't have to worry about Laffey. But Whitehouse can still nail him for flip-flopping.

    If your name was George Walker instead of George Walker Bush, your candidacy would be a joke.

    by dole4pineapple on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:42:27 PM PDT

    •  didn't "Club for Growth" run some pretty negative (0+ / 0-)

      Chafee ads? weakening him for the general election?

      my favorite quote: "On a political level, I say run against the GOP as if your life, and the life of the country, depended up on it."

      by ca democrat on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:43:16 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I'm canvasing for Sheldon this weekend... (6+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Radiowalla, stephdray, Chamonix, boofdah, greenearth, vox humana

    And I'm frickin' fired up to do it too! Chafee is going down. I am going to personally make the argument to every Rhode Islander.

    [Whitehouse for Senate http://www.whitehouseforsenate.com/index.php]

    by rebop on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:43:24 PM PDT

  •  In Montgomery County (0+ / 0-)

    which is half of MD-4, Edwards is ahead of Wynn 58-35.

    by peregrina on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:43:37 PM PDT

  •  Wisconsin - 08 Update (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    greenearth

    U.S. Congress 8th District  -- 181 of 434 precincts reporting (42%)
    Democrats
    Steven Kagen [D] 12,041 44%
    Jamie Wall [D] 8,950 32%
    Nancy Nusbaum [D] 6,594 24%

    Also of note:

    Attorney General  -- 1,356 of 3,506 precincts reporting (39%)
    Democrats
    Kathleen Falk [D] 83,431 53%
    Peg Lautenschlager (I) [D] 74,510 47%

    Lautenschlager got a DUI and now appears to be losing her Attorney Generals spot.

    by kevin626 on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:44:08 PM PDT

    •  I voted for Falk today. (0+ / 0-)

      We don't need Democrats who can't follow the laws anymore than we need Republicans who can't follow the laws. It's pretty bad when the State Attorney General goes drinking and driving.
      Besides, they make the rest of us little people pay through the nose for being stupid, why shouldn't she? She won't be the first person who lost their job because of a DUI.

      by greenearth on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:56:10 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  wmtrialawyer updates? (0+ / 0-)

    the most important race of the night...

    Retaking NY-13

    by jonah in nyc on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:46:00 PM PDT

  •  Maryland Comptroller... (0+ / 0-)

    According to News Channel 8:

    35-33-32

    Owens-Franchot-Schaefer

    Yeah, Schaefer in third!

    by TooLittleSleep on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:47:20 PM PDT

  •  Yayy, McKee pissed on Iwuc! (0+ / 0-)

    Oh ... and errr, for those of you not in Cumberland, Chafee beat Laffey.

    by moominpapa on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:48:04 PM PDT

  •  Cardin up by 8 (26.16% of precincts reporting) (0+ / 0-)

    Cardin, Ben Dem 53,572 44.68
    Mfume, Kweisi Dem 43,354 36.16
    Rales, Josh Dem 7,043 5.87

    Take the NY-25: Dan Maffei for Congress

    by Progressive Moderate on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:49:04 PM PDT

  •  Chafee is not going to be easy to beat (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    stephdray, waytac, davidkc, vox humana

    We have our work cut out for us. Crucial DSCC money now has to go to RI instead of places like Missouri, Ohio or Virginia. ugh.

    The hottest places in hell are reserved for those who, in times of crisis, remain neutral.

    by ten10 on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:49:36 PM PDT

  •  More results (0+ / 0-)

    New York:

    U.S. House - District 10 - Dem Primary
    568 of 589 Precincts Reporting - 96.43%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Towns, Edolphus (i) Dem 16,814 46.37
    Barron, Charles Dem 13,782 38.01
    Green, Roger Dem 5,667 15.63

    U.S. House - District 11 - Dem Primary
    467 of 523 Precincts Reporting - 89.29%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Clarke, Yvette Dem 12,819 30.26
    Yassky, David Dem 11,778 27.80
    Andrews, Carl Dem 9,409 22.21
    Owens, Chris Dem 8,359 19.73

    Minnesota:

    Attorney General - - Dem Primary
    1679 of 4120 Precincts Reporting - 40.75%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Swanson, Lori Dem 56,061 40.81
    Kelley, Steve Dem 50,182 36.53
    Luther, Bill Dem 31,126 22.66

    Bill Luther: from Congressman, to third place finisher in a primary

    U.S. House - District 5 - Dem Primary
    67 of 223 Precincts Reporting - 30.04%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Ellison, Keith Dem 8,549 43.52
    Erlandson, Mike Dem 6,076 30.93
    Junge, Ember Reichgott Dem 3,832 19.51

    "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

    by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:50:02 PM PDT

    •  Yvette Clarke will be NY-11's congressional rep: (0+ / 0-)

      With virtually all the votes in (99.43%):

      Clarke 14,888 (31.20%)
      Yassky 12,541 (26.28%)
      Andrews 10,903 (22.85%)
      Owens 9,383 (19.66%)

      Major Owens' son finished last in the primary...hopefully this repeats itself in FL-9, where Phyllis Busansky is facing Gus Bilirakis, another wannabe beneficiary in primogeniture.

      -4.63, -4.41

      by dpinzow on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:16:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Have you guys noticed that in almost EVERY Rep... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TrainWreck

    in almost every Republican primary the candidate endorsed by the national establishment wins?

    by Wufacta on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:52:01 PM PDT

    •  I thought Laffey was ahead in the polls (0+ / 0-)

      and then he gets clobbered by Chaffee. The GOP must have turned out their fundamentalist base. No, wait, they would have voted for Laffey. It doesn't make sense to me, but I'm sure that someone will come up with a good narrative to explain it.

      Next surprise: Chaffee wins in November.

      Pipe dreams are not an exit strategy.

      by TrainWreck on Wed Sep 13, 2006 at 08:10:23 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Dang you Kos! I used to be normal! (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jonah in nyc, rtess, boofdah, cfk, greenearth

    Now I'm switching between "refreshing" your site and MoCo's election Board site while the husband is channel surfing for results.  This is sick!!!  (but I'm loving it - and tonight's a school night too.  I have to work tomorrow!!!)

    by BlueMax on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:52:03 PM PDT

  •  Glory Be! There is a G-d! In MD, anyway (0+ / 0-)

    Schaefer has dropped to third statewide. Time to fry up some pig!

    by FischFry on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:52:50 PM PDT

  •  Cardin up by 9 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TrueBlueDem

    with 27% reporting

    Results at:
    http://liberaljournal.blogspot.com

    by nm on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:53:35 PM PDT

  •  Andrew Duck update (MD-6): Fighting Dem (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dharmafarmer

    With 44% precincts reporting:

    Andrew Duck (Iraq war vet; Fighting Dem) : 61%
    Barry Kissin (decent guy, for all I know): 39%

    Looks like Andrew Duck is going to be the winner in this race.  He'll need some help in his run against incumbent (extremist) Republican Roscoe Bartlett.

    by TooLittleSleep on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:56:29 PM PDT

  •  How Will MSM Spin (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dpinzow

    Let's see how the MSM spins the Chafee victory. I'll bet a bunch will say that the anti-incumbant mood isn't as strong as we thought. However, there is a common denominator in the Chafee and Lamont results: both are anti-Bush.

    by zbob on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 07:59:12 PM PDT

  •  I LOVE LEWIS BLACK!!! (0+ / 0-)

    Man, he's funny!

    by FischFry on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:01:22 PM PDT

  •  EDWARDS IS GOING TO WIN!! (0+ / 0-)

    Her percentages have increased back above 40% in PG, and her percentages in Mont. Co. are up to 61%!!!!

    by Doug in Virginia on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:01:29 PM PDT

  •  NRSC has to spend money on RI-Sen as well as the (0+ / 0-)

    DSCC. Monetarily, it all cancels out. Consider: Laffey winning Rhode Island was not part of the plan for winning back the Senate anyway.

    If we do pick up seats this time, Rhode Island will be one of those seats. If we can't win Rhode Island, we're probably not going to win Missouri, Virginia, or Ohio.

    If your name was George Walker instead of George Walker Bush, your candidacy would be a joke.

    by dole4pineapple on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:01:48 PM PDT

  •  Steve Kagen Wins! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    greenearth

    U.S. Congress 8th District  -- 198 of 434 precincts reporting (46%)
    Democrats
    Steven Kagen [D] 12,662 44% (X)
    Jamie Wall [D] 9,216 32%
    Nancy Nusbaum [D] 6,874 24%

    It's being called.  Good job, now on to defeat the terrible canidate that is John Gard.

    by kevin626 on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:03:15 PM PDT

  •  AZ 8 (0+ / 0-)

    Only two precints reporting. A Graf win makes a Dem victory in November easier.

    District 8 - Republicans
    Frank Antenori 2.4%
    Randy Graf 46.8%
    Mike Hellon 11.5%
    Steve Huffman 36.6%
    Mike Jenkins 2.7%

    by Positively Skewed on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:04:26 PM PDT

  •  Bowers "nothing at stake in Rhode Island" -wrong (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    PentlandFirth

    RI-Sen: I should mention that turnout in the Democratic Senate primary does appear to be about 28% higher than turnout in the Republican primary, even though there was basically nothing at stake.

    Chris is wrong:  actually Democrats statewide had a lot at stake with a very competitive Secretary of State contest.  Unfortunately, it appears that the corrupt, mob-linked machine candidate Ralph Mollis eked out a win over the young, progressive, rich Guillaume de Ramel.

    Here in Providence, there was a vibrant Democratic primary competition for City Council races.  The East Side, where Chafee might have expected a lot of support from unaffiliated voters, instead voted overwhelmingly Democratic, with victories by two non-machine candidates, Seth Yurdin in Ward 1 and Cliff Wood in Ward 2.

    A big victory for progressives in State House District 2 (Providence Fox Point + parts of East Providence):  former Green party darling David Segal, now running as a proud progressive Democrat, triumphed over party-machine candidate Richard "I'm not a tree guy" Pacheco.

    Several towns other than Providence also had competitive mayoral races.

    In short, there was plenty for Democrats to vote on.

    Use your green to turn New England blue! Donate here.

    by jab on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:04:37 PM PDT

    •  I made a similar comment in an earlier diary (0+ / 0-)

      about RI. I am very disappointed in the Mollis result. I think he is an embarrassment to the party, and it doesn't speak well that he was the endorsed candidate. I think Guillaume de Ramel ran a good campaign - I wish he could have focussed on the corruption angle more.

      Congrats on David Segal! We have a lot more work to do down Sou' County way.

      The law is slacked and judgment doth never go forth: the wicked compass about the righteous and wrong judgment proceedeth - Habakkuk 1:4

      by vox humana on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:07:57 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Chaffee is in shitsville (0+ / 0-)

    Tonight, the Republican primary was the only game in town. In November, he's going to face a strong Democratic opponent and he's going to need help from the same kinds of Republicans he dissed. If by some miracle he wins, he has to think long and hard about staying in the Republican Conference, especially if Carcieri loses.

    You're one microscopic cog in his catastrophic plan designed and directed by his red right hand

    by RandyMI on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:04:58 PM PDT

    •  Chafee made very clear (0+ / 0-)

      in his victory speech that he fully intends to remain a Republican in the "proud, longstanding" tradition of the New England iconoclast in that party.

      He faced the same odds in 2000, as far as the political makeup of our state. He prevailed. Nothing's a given.

      The law is slacked and judgment doth never go forth: the wicked compass about the righteous and wrong judgment proceedeth - Habakkuk 1:4

      by vox humana on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:10:11 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Cardin is up by 7 (34.13% of precincts reporting) (0+ / 0-)

    U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
    612 of 1793 Precincts Reporting - 34.13%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Cardin, Ben Dem 67,533 44.73
    Mfume, Kweisi Dem 55,968 37.07
    Rales, Josh Dem 8,614 5.70

    Take the NY-25: Dan Maffei for Congress

    by Progressive Moderate on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:07:22 PM PDT

  •  Gary Hart's got a book! (0+ / 0-)

    He's on Stewart's Daily Show hawking new book  Courage and Conviction A Manifesto for Democrats. I smell a diary churning around my mind -- I was on the Senator's 1984 campaign when I was in school.

    "We support your war of terror!" -- Borat Sagdiyev (a/k/a Sacha Baron Cohen)

    by FischFry on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:07:45 PM PDT

    •  The last American idealist (0+ / 0-)

      That's what he called himself. Then he made agreat joke at his expense -- re: his 1987 Donna Rice debacle. How many people here are old enoughto remember Donna Rice? Amazing isn't it? Monica Lewinsky may be famous forever, but Donna Rice is almost forgotten in history. I gues that's the difference between "laminating" a President, and a contender....

      "We support your war of terror!" -- Borat Sagdiyev (a/k/a Sacha Baron Cohen)

      by FischFry on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:13:49 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  OMG... (0+ / 0-)

    I'm laughing so hard. Have any of you NYers seen the GOP nominee for Senate???

    Watching his acceptance speech now. He sounds like a dumber version of bush (if that's possible!). He's whining about Senator Clinton in every other breath.

    What a boob!

    by kml on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:08:03 PM PDT

    •  He'll top Mills (0+ / 0-)

      mainly due to having more lines, and the core of people who just dislike Hillary.

      In other words.

      Hillary 64, Spencer 36

      "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

      by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:23:09 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Well yeah, of course (0+ / 0-)

        he's going lose. I was just pointing out how incredibly inept he comes across.

        He somehow managed to spew all the GOP TP in a few mangled sentences. Comedy gold.

        It'll be fun to watch considering he doesn't have the support of the NRSC (or so says the tv anchor). He sounds just like them.

        by kml on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:28:07 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  shit fuck piss (0+ / 0-)

    but then i guess the democratic party is like tina turner....we don't do nuthin nice and easy...so in running against chafee we really have to stress how awful it will be if bush gets another supreme court pick and is working with a republican senate...and chafee being completely beholden to the national party now there is no way he would buck them on a supremes nomination so throw him out!

    by singe on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:08:51 PM PDT

  •  Shit. Could We Get Disappointed Twice... (0+ / 0-)

    In one night??

    New numbers out of AZ-08. What was a ten-point Graf lead is down to a single point.

    Graf 40, Huffman 39, Hellon 14

    AAARGHHH!!!!!

    Giffords running away with the Dem primary.

    "It. Is. About. Winning."

    by Steve Singiser on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:16:45 PM PDT

  •  AZ 8 (0+ / 0-)

    With 48% of the precints in.

    District 8 - Republicans
    Frank Antenori 4.0%
    Randy Graf 40.2%
    Mike Hellon 13.6%
    Steve Huffman 39.2%
    Mike Jenkins 3.0%

    Democrats

    Gabrielle Giffords 57.5%
    Bill Johnson         2.5%
    Jeff Latas         6.0%
    Alex Rodriguez         3.5%
    Francine Shacter  .9%
    Patty Weiss         29.5%

    by Positively Skewed on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:19:36 PM PDT

  •  Good news for 19th Century Republicans (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TrueBlueDem, Zack from the SFV

    From Delaware:

    State House - District 33 - GOP Primary
    11 of 11 Precincts Reporting - 100.00%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Grant, Ulysses GOP 496 51.29
    Peterman, Harold GOP 471 48.71

    Note: The 19th Centry Republicans are not to be confused with the 17th Century Republicans, who currently hold a lot of power in the GOP. :D

    "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

    by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:22:11 PM PDT

  •  MD Sen 42% Reporting (0+ / 0-)

    Ben CARDIN 88892 47%
    Kweisi MFUME 69149 36%
    I admit to pulling for Cardin. I've known him for years and he'll be a wonderful Senator.

    by natchezms on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:24:58 PM PDT

  •  Umm DOn't count chickens (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Progressive Moderate

    I don't know why you say that Whitehouse will beat Chafee. I owuld still expect Chafee to win, but an upset is possible. Whitehouse does have a really cool name for a politician. What if this were the beginning of a career in national politics? Can you imagine "Whitehouse for President?" "Put Whitehouse in the White House!" ???!!!???!!!

    I don't know the first thing about the guy, but you have to like his name.

    "We support your war of terror!" -- Borat Sagdiyev (a/k/a Sacha Baron Cohen)

    "We support your war of terror!" -- Borat Sagdiyev (a/k/a Sacha Baron Cohen)

    by FischFry on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:26:52 PM PDT

  •  AZ 8 53.2% reporting (0+ / 0-)

    Graf beating Huffman by 380 votes. Graf loses easily in Nov. if he wins the Thug primary.

    by Positively Skewed on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:28:24 PM PDT

  •  Lots of bad news here; Senate looks lost (2+ / 3-)
    Recommended by:
    Eternal Hope, earthmissinglink
    Hidden by:
    jab, Beet, dpinzow

    We can now put RI and MD safely in the R column for the Senate.  Chafee will beat Whitehouse and Steele will beat Cardin.

    by davidkc on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:30:05 PM PDT

  •  AZ-08 with 53% in (0+ / 0-)

    Repubs

    Graf 40.5%
    Huffman  39.0%

    Dems

    Giffords  57.8%
    Weiss  29.2%

    Only top two candidates listed.

    Thorby

    "The chief weapon of the sea pirates was their capacity to astonish." Kurt Vonnegut

    by Thorby Baslim on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:30:12 PM PDT

  •  Arizona local results (0+ / 0-)

    State Senate - District 8 - GOP Primary
    22 of 73 Precincts Reporting - 30.14%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Allen, Carolyn (i) GOP 4,929 57.09
    Rosati, Colette GOP 3,704 42.91

    State Senate - District 22 - GOP Primary
    14 of 63 Precincts Reporting - 22.22%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Verschoor, Thayer (i) GOP 3,078 57.10
    Bedgood, Joe GOP 2,313 42.90

    State Senate - District 26 - GOP Primary
    56 of 87 Precincts Reporting - 64.37%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Melvin, Al GOP 6,367 55.29
    Hellon, Toni (i) GOP 5,148 44.71

    State Senate - District 28 - Dem Primary
    49 of 92 Precincts Reporting - 53.26%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Aboud, Paula (i) Dem 5,125 54.26
    Downing, Ted Dem 4,321 45.74

    Ok, just so we all know, which faction is the one winning more seats here, the cold business wing, or the hot fanatic wing?

    "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

    by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:30:34 PM PDT

    •  whoops (0+ / 0-)

      I missed that SD28 was a Democratic primary

      "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

      by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:31:35 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  More on the GOP races (0+ / 0-)

      Source

      I like both GOP candidates for different reasons. Al Melvin is solid on conservative issues, Toni Hellon is an effective, if moderate to liberal senator who's solid on gun owner issues. Toni benefits from the exposure of the creepy campaign run against her by the Northwest Stalker, Al from having nothing to do with it. Al has unfortunately turned his campaign over to flaky Phoenix consultant Constantin Querard. If he loses, that will have been a contributing factor.

      Source

      The most heated primary is in Scottsdale, where conservative state Rep. Colette Rosati is challenging state Sen. Carolyn Allen in a bitter Republican primary.

      (..)

      Allen supports abortion rights and co-sponsored a state resolution with liberal Democrats earlier this year, calling for U.S. troop withdrawal from Iraq.

      Rosati opposes abortion rights and has the backing of conservative groups.

      I've found nothing super informative on the Verschoor race.

      "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

      by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:38:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Cardin up by 8 (45.40% of precincts reporting) (0+ / 0-)

    U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
    814 of 1793 Precincts Reporting - 45.40%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Cardin, Ben Dem 95,785 45.34
    Mfume, Kweisi Dem 78,757 37.28
    Rales, Josh Dem 11,665 5.52

    Take the NY-25: Dan Maffei for Congress

    by Progressive Moderate on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:34:14 PM PDT

  •  The best news (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Chamonix, gmb, Progressive Moderate

    The best news about Chaffee winning is that it virtually ensures that John Bolton will not be confirmed to the UN post by the Senate. The only reason that Chaffee has a problem with the nomination is that he is a Republican trying to win in a very blue state. No way he is going to support Bolton now.

    by MargaretPOA on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:42:03 PM PDT

  •  Cardin up by 8 (52.54% of precincts reporting) (0+ / 0-)

    U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
    942 of 1793 Precincts Reporting - 52.54%
    Name Party Votes Pct
    Cardin, Ben Dem 112,496 45.35
    Mfume, Kweisi Dem 92,338 37.23
    Rales, Josh Dem 14,166 5.71

    Take the NY-25: Dan Maffei for Congress

    by Progressive Moderate on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:49:29 PM PDT

  •  Add this to your Targets!! (0+ / 0-)

    Wisconsin 8th!!

    Dr. Kagen is the winner in the dem primary!!

    Congress 8th Dist. - Democrat REPORTING 59%
     Steven Kagen 15,795 45%
     Jamie Wall 10,833 31%
     Nancy Nusbaum 8,365 24%

    For The pubs its John Gard!!!

    The Annointed one.

    This was a Dem seat til 4 years ago...

    WE HAVE A SHOT AT IT!!

     
     

    by WISUAW on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:50:20 PM PDT

  •  AZ Results page (0+ / 0-)

    Since there's been a few comments with AZ-08 results, here's everything at stake in the area:

    http://www.pima.gov/...

    by Tom in AZ on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:52:48 PM PDT

  •  Reality based? (0+ / 0-)

    Whitehouse victory is inevitable?  Steele is finished?

    Does somebody know something I don't?

    If there is anything I have learned from Scooby Doo, it is that the only thing to fear is crooked real estate developers.

    by JakeC on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:53:28 PM PDT

    •  Steel is still (0+ / 0-)

      running a much better campaign than Cardin. His tv ads have been GREAT. He's got more money than Cardin and Cardin still isn't known in most of the state. As a result Steele could still win by defining Cardin with negative advertising. Theres also always the fear that black Democrats will drift to Steele. Hopefully that won't happen (and I'm sure Mfume will do his part to prevent it).

      On the other hand 10% of Steele's base will never actually turn out to vote for a black man. That means all his poll numbers are probably a bit inflated.

      I'd put Cardin's chances at 75-25.

      It took them 30 years- don't give up hope after 3

      by js noble on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:59:21 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Steele... (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        GeauxGeauxGirl, dpinzow

        Steele's ads cannot even mention the fact that he's a Republican.  He claims he'll "stand up to both parties".

        I get the feeling that Steele's people are utterly terrified that during the Senatorial debate(s), Cardin/Mfume will win by simply starting each answer with, "Unlike my Republican opponent, I..."

        by TooLittleSleep on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:02:54 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  How in blazes is Steele running a better campaign (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        GeauxGeauxGirl

        when Cardin and Mfume put together have over twice as many votes in the primary.

        It tells me the Democratic base in MD is going to be energized, no matter who wins.

        -4.63, -4.41

        by dpinzow on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:04:52 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Look at the NYC mayoral election in 2001 (0+ / 0-)

          It is a good example of how a Democratic primary can inflame racial tensions within the party and help lead to a Republican win- and, in that case, the Republican was not African American.

          An energized base in the primary is only good if everyone can live with the result afterwards.

          If there is anything I have learned from Scooby Doo, it is that the only thing to fear is crooked real estate developers.

          by JakeC on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:14:26 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  From what I've read, Cardin and Mfume ran a (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            GeauxGeauxGirl

            very clean primary.  The NYC primaries you're referring to (and I'm a NY resident, so I know a little more about NY politics) had a great deal of ugliness in their campaigns when it came to race.

            I don't get the same vibe with Cardin/Mfume.  Passions weren't inflamed like that.

            -4.63, -4.41

            by dpinzow on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:19:36 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  You are right (0+ / 0-)

              that, at least from everything I have seen, the two of them have kept it clean.

              I guess my original comparison is somewhat not applicable- but, my main point is that it shouldn't be assumed that everyone who was passionate enough to come out in the primary and support Mfume will turn around and throw their allegiance to Cardin- especially given the racial angle.

              And, who knows how these Maryland voter glitches turn out.  That may also affect the passions of the voters of the losing side.

              If there is anything I have learned from Scooby Doo, it is that the only thing to fear is crooked real estate developers.

              by JakeC on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:32:38 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

        •  Well there is absolutely no reason (0+ / 0-)

          for Republicans to vote. There are three competative state-wide races in the Dem primary. There are countless more at the local level. But there are almost no competative Republican races. The Democrats have 18 candidates running for Senate- that means everyone can find someone to vote for- (theres no "I hate them all" affect). In addition, don't forget that the number of registered Democrats is nearly twice the number of registered Republicans. Those numbers probably reflect that more than anything else.

          It took them 30 years- don't give up hope after 3

          by js noble on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:15:05 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Steele is connected to the "Willie Horton" people (0+ / 0-)

        The producer who made the "Willie Horton" ad for Bush Sr. held a fundraiser for Steele.

        Also, Steele supports privatizing Social Security and called private accounts "the key to the American dream."

        If Cardin is smart enough, he will hammer Steele on thse points. Oh...and let us not forget that comment Steele made in comparing Stem Cell Research to the Holocaust.

        Take the NY-25: Dan Maffei for Congress

        by Progressive Moderate on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:12:58 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  MoCo only updating every 20 minutes? (0+ / 0-)

    Is anyone else noticing this?

    by BlueMax on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:54:28 PM PDT

  •  I feel guilty about Chafee (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TooLittleSleep, PentlandFirth

    I'm glad he won the primary today and I'll feel a bit sad if he gets defeated by the D in November.  I'd actually prefer that Rhode Island vote him back in.  On abortion, gay rights, drilling in ANWR, estate tax, Bush tax cuts, raising the top marginal rate, Iraq, stem cell research, minimum wage, gun control, the stupid flag burning amendment, he's at least a democrat, and even a left-of-DLC democrat sometimes.  And when interviews he always comes across as a decent guy.  The only reason the left is nominally against him is because he has an R next to his name and we have to field a candidate.  I think it shows how poisonous national politics has become when there can't be a bipartisan candidate, even when he's good on 90% of the issues.  Does anyone here actually feel pleasure at the prospect of Chafee's November defeat?

    by Barnacle Junior on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 08:59:17 PM PDT

    •  How about he just switches parties? (0+ / 0-)

      n/t

      It took them 30 years- don't give up hope after 3

      by js noble on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:00:29 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  All he has to do (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Steve Singiser

      is vote for Harry Reid for Majority Leader, and I'll be all for him. It is a bit disingenuous and weak to be so anti-Republican in most substantive ways, but still vote for people like Bill Frist -- whom you must just HATE -- for Leader. I think he's weak as shit.

      by ColoDem on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:04:09 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  i do (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      waytac

      because if bush gets another supreme court nominee to choose he will go for a total pig to make it five of them on the court and chafee will go with it. so screw the do called liberal dem who hems and haws his way to usually safe votes...throw the bum out!

      by singe on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:04:20 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Chafee actually voted against Alito, (0+ / 0-)

        which is more than you can say about four of our own Senators. I hope he gets defeated. But don't think that we are somehow going to magically stop the next Supreme Court Justice.

        by tigercourse on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:10:16 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  He voted against filibustering Alito (0+ / 0-)

          which is exactly what we slammed Lieberman for. Chafee is guilty of the same duplicity as Lieberman. He only votes against the Republicans when it doesn't count. The cloture vote was the only one which mattered on Alito, so of course, Linc was there for Frist.

          Chafee also can't make up his mind on Bolton:

          From a year ago:

          "One fence-sitter, Sen. Lincoln D. Chafee (R-R.I.), sat through much of the hearing with a pained expression and looked especially troubled during Voinovich's address. He spoke briefly about his apprehension that supporting Bolton would be "signaling an endorsement of that intimidation." But he told reporters later that he was inclined to vote yes on the Senate floor."

          Now Chafee seems to be leaning toward a no vote, but we're not really sure, since you can never tell with Chafee.

          If your name was George Walker instead of George Walker Bush, your candidacy would be a joke.

          by dole4pineapple on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:17:55 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  So would a large portion of our own party. (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            curtadams, grg

            Ford and Casey sure as hell wouldn't filibuster Alito. I don't know about Warner. There seems to be this huge myth that if we retake the Senate, we'll be able to protect the Court. Good f'ing luck. We need to try, of course, but unless their is a radical shift in our party Alito version 2.0 will sail right through.

            by tigercourse on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:21:51 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  well ok then (0+ / 0-)

              i guess i will cancel the cabel subscription and get into kite making. if after all that has gone down the past 5 years a senate majority of democrats would not block shitball nominations in committee there is no fucking point in any of this...

              by singe on Thu Sep 14, 2006 at 05:19:13 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

    •  Awwwwwwwwwwwwww (0+ / 0-)

      It's so sad that the middle of the road "vote with the GOP sometimes" guy could be removed for somebody who'll hold Bush accountable.

      Just saying man. Lincoln's not an Independent. He's a Republican. He picked his bed. He picked his side.

      Lincoln isn't gonna do a lot for Rhode Island either. He won't be a leader for Republicans in the Senate. He won't craft policies that help his state.

      He'll be a guy who does nothing but vote with Dems when it doesn't matter.

      Is that really a good deal?

      Chafeeian Republicans are still not quite as good as actual Democrats.

      "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

      by RBH on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:04:48 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Yes (0+ / 0-)

      The most important vote he ever casts is when he votes to make Bill Frist majority leader. If Chafee truly cared about the causes he claims to champion, he'd switch parties.

      So every time you see Bill Frist speaking, James Inhofe denying global warming, Ted Stevens destroying the Internet and wasting taxpayer money, remember that Lincoln Chafee voted to put them in power.

      If your name was George Walker instead of George Walker Bush, your candidacy would be a joke.

      by dole4pineapple on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:06:20 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I think you are on the wrong (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      stephdray, sacrelicious, dole4pineapple

      Blog. How many more Alito's do you want on the SCOTUS? Do you not believe in checks and balances? We MUST take back Congress and hold the CRIMINALS Responsible. If you are here, supporting any Republicans you should LEAVE NOW.

      I am typing my fingers to the bone for Harry, his little hippie River, us, and America.

      by Chamonix on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:07:49 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I agree with you (0+ / 0-)

      Chafee is one of the few Republicans I actually like (other than Bloomberg, although some will flame me for that comment.)

      But Chafee will vote for Mitch McConnell for Senate Majority Leader. 'Nuff said.

      Take the NY-25: Dan Maffei for Congress

      by Progressive Moderate on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:18:00 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  He does what Liebermann would like to do (0+ / 0-)

      It occurs to me, living just north of RI and knowing a lot of folks there and having followed this race, that Chaffee has done what few Republicans or even "moderate Democrats" have successfully done (and he proved it last night): namely, make party affiliation a non-issue.

      This resonates with RI voters, many of whom think they have a unique institution in Chaffee that way.  They see him as Lowell Weicker v. 2.0.

      If you've not spent a lot of time in New England, and I don't mean Boston and environs specifically here since that's a different mindset, then this might be hard to understand.

      Whitehouse is going to have to make the case we can all make about being able to have a D-controlled Judiciary should something happen to David Souter (who actually has a lot in common with Chaffee ideologically, I'd expect).  But he's also going to have to make a pretty persuasive argument for Sheldon Whitehouse.  In the final place where it counts, in the voting booth, it will be tricky to get Rhode Islanders to part with this incumbency, particularly when he has an apparent afterglow of a defeat against dogmatic neo-conservatism with this primary.  Trying to go negative against Chaffee will, imho, be a very counterproductive tactic.

      Just my hunch.

      by waytac on Wed Sep 13, 2006 at 07:47:52 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  How Whitehouse wins: (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    philgoblue, sacrelicious, Chamonix, Progressive Moderate, hilltopper

    Remind the voters that Chafee is an ineffective and powerless senator. Tell Rhode Island voters that they deserve a senator who actually is able to shape the agenda in the Senate. Chafee says he's liberal, but he votes to put right wingers in charge of the Senate and does not try to get them to moderate their agenda. Remind voters that George W. Bush wants them to re-elect Lincoln Chafee so he can keep the Democrats from holding him accountable on Iraq. He's says he's for Roe v. Wade but then he helps Bush put a justice on the Supreme Court who is on the record as opposing abortion rights.

    Pretty much, you have to make the John Thune argument. When he was running against Daschle, he realized that Daschle was popular with Republicans, so he made the argument that Daschle "obstructed" President Bush's agenda in Washington. So what Whitehouse needs to do is to remind voters that Lincoln Chafee enables Bush's agenda. And Whitehouse must constantly remind voters that Lincoln Chafee is a Republican.

    If your name was George Walker instead of George Walker Bush, your candidacy would be a joke.

    by dole4pineapple on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:03:33 PM PDT

  •  When Maryland counts ballots (0+ / 0-)

    First Absentee Ballot Canvass begins 10:00 a.m. Thursday, September 14th.
    Provisional Ballot Canvass begins 10:00 a.m. Monday, September 18th.
    Second Absentee Ballot Canvass begins 10:00 a.m. Wednesday, September 20th.

    From Maryland Board of Elections

    and there are a ton of provisional ballots in Montgomery County. So any close races will have to wait awhile

    by natchezms on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:05:26 PM PDT

  •  The Race issue in Maryland's races (0+ / 0-)

    Update to my diary posts: It seems that Ben Cardin is headed for victory in the Maryland Democratic primary for Senate, defeating his African-American opponent Kweisi Mfume. This will set up an interesting dynamic, with the long-term Congressman, who is Jewish, taking on the African-American Republican Lt. Gov. Michael Steele, in the general election. In the Attorney-General race, Doug Gansler has a surprisingly commanding lead over Stuart Simms, especially surprising because of all the voting problems in Gansler's home base of Montgomery County. Of course, there were similar problems in Simms' base of Baltimore City.

    Many pundits and politicians have wondered what would be the effect on the African-American core of the Maryland Democratic Party if both Mfume and Simms lost. Mfume ran strong in P.G. County, and, I assume, also in Baltimore City, but Cardin seems to have been strong elsewhere, including Montgomery County. I mention this county, because it is home of the third black-white race in this trifecta of races for Maryland Democrats. In the race for County Executive, it appears that Ike Leggett, the African-American former Council leader, will handily defeat Steve Silverman, a relatively high-profile Jewish councilman in heavily Jewish Montgomery County. So, the County voters proved they could vote for the black candidate, but perhaps they needed to know him better. Or maybe, as is so much of politics, it was just strictly local issues -- here, a clash of personalities. Leggett is well-liked, and Silverman had a reputation for alienating others.

    One can only hope that this result will help soften the reaction statewide to the defeats of Mfume and Simms, averting a racial schism in the Democratic coalition.  Such a schism would be the worst result of all. Hopefully, the African-American community can unite behind Cardin's Senate candidacy. It would be a devastating blow to the Party's effort to retake control of the Senate, if significant numbers of African-Americans crossed the aisle to support Michael Steele's candidacy and helped the Republicans pick up a seat there.

    "We support your war of terror!" -- Borat Sagdiyev (a/k/a Sacha Baron Cohen)

    by FischFry on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:07:19 PM PDT

  •  SHIT Wynn just pulled in some huge margins in PG (0+ / 0-)

    Margin in PG up to 4000+

    by Doug in Virginia on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:15:46 PM PDT

  •  Totals: Edwards 14197, Wynn 16153 (0+ / 0-)

    Still a few thousand separating.....possible but gettin harder.

    by Doug in Virginia on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:20:51 PM PDT

    •  Don't forget all those provisional ballots (0+ / 0-)

      in Montgomery County that won't be counted till Monday.

      by natchezms on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:24:03 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  does anyone know how provisionals there were? (0+ / 0-)

        right now there are 57 precincts left to report in Prince George's county, and about half that (28) left to report in Montgomery...

        (171 total precincts in the district - 104 are in PG, 67 in Mont)

        assuming the remaining precincts split the way the rest of their counties' did, Edwards gap will grow some more tonight

        It would have to be a good number of provisional ballots to make up that margin

        It would be a damn crime if Edwards ends up losing a close race because someone at the Montgomery county elections board fucked up and turned away thousands of voters in the county

        whatever happens, Edwards ran a hell of a race and served notice on Wynn... considering that this race came out of nowhere on people's radar screens, that is pretty amazing

        Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

        by terjeanderson on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:31:05 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Actually it's the opposite (0+ / 0-)

          The gap should close just a little more because Edwards margin in Mont Co is better than Wynn's margin in PG.

          However, I agree it won't be enough.  I was getting excited earlier because Edwards actually won some precincts in Oxon Hill.  But Oxon Hill precincts aren't coming in very fast and Wynn blew Donna away out in Upper Marlboro in one precinct by over 400 votes.

          By my calculations Edwards would have to win provisional ballots in Mont Co by a margin of at least 900 to win.  Are there even 900 provisionals?

          by Doug in Virginia on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:41:38 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  There are a lot (0+ / 0-)

            I couldn't find any numbers - I don't think anyone knows. But there were no machines working in that county for up to two hours. And then all ballots cast after 8 pm have to be provisional. There are lots of federal workers there who vote at the beginning and end of the day.

            by natchezms on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:47:18 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Now Wynn 16,538, Edwards 14,831 (0+ / 0-)

            but PG hasn't updated their website in ages... wonder if we'll get any more from them tonight?

            There are at least twice as many outstanding precincts in PG as in Montgomery county... given that there are now more outstanding votes in Wynn's area of strength, I'm not sure how she closes that margin with the votes tonight

            Absentee votes will get counted on Thursday (according to the Sun), and provisional ballots next week

            Looks like there were about 14-15,000 votes cast in Montgomery that are being counted on the machines... how many more provisional ballots would have been cast this morning in the morning rush and this evening in the extended hours?

            I'm sure Edwards' (and Franchot's) people are all over this -- with margins like this and the kind of screw-ups that happened today, I hope they've got some lawyers who know Maryland election law inside out... this is going to be a mess

            Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

            by terjeanderson on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:54:21 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  I agree it will be a mess (0+ / 0-)

              Even though there are fewer precincts in Mont than PG left, Donna's margins in Mont Co. are higher than Wynn's margins in PG.....that's how some of the gap may close, but again, I don't think that she can close the whole thing.  But you're absolutely right....Donna needs to have some first class legal representation all over this.  If she loses this election because lots of voters in her Mont. precincts didn't get to vote, then heads need to roll!

              What a disgrace for Maryland!  I mean the problems not the vote!

              by Doug in Virginia on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:59:22 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Sorry (0+ / 0-)

                Also combined with the hope that she will win some more precincts in PG in the Takoma-Greenbelt and Oxon Hill areas where she already has.  You're right--she needs to win some PG precincts too.

                by Doug in Virginia on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:00:57 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  hope that happens (0+ / 0-)

                  (where have you been able to find the precinct-specific info? It would be fascinating to know what is still out)

                  I've got to call it a night here... will be anxious to see what this looks like in the light of day...  but whatever the outcome, Al Wynn can't be a happy camper tonight!  

                  Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

                  by terjeanderson on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:06:14 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  PG County Only (0+ / 0-)

                    The PG County Board has a GIS map up where you can click on the precinct map, in the precinct you want, and it returns all the races in a pop-up, click on the races, and it gives you all the numbers.

                    Pretty handy!

                    Here's the URL:
                    http://pgcgis.co.pg.md.us/...

                    Enjoy!  Pretty cool actually, and make sure to disable your pop-up blocker.

                    by Doug in Virginia on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:23:10 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  Maybe Wynn will change (0+ / 0-)

                    56% precincts
                    Al *WYNN 17309 52%
                    Donna EDWARDS 14577 44%
                    Not looking good for Edwards. Maybe this close race will have Wynn rethinking his votes and behavior. He used to be a good guy - but Washington went to his head. If he doesn't change fast, I predict Edwards in 2008.

                    by natchezms on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:26:08 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

            •  OK: Wynn 20,602 Edwards 18,373 (0+ / 0-)

              But Edwards is back over 40% in PG---good sign.

              I am beat, but this is a nail-biter.  Wish I could stay up and follow.  This is crazy, these results are just TRICKLING in!

              by Doug in Virginia on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:31:31 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

  •  Another John Murtha (0+ / 0-)

    Following the local races in Wisconsin, I see the declared winner in the Republican primary in the 29th Assembly District is none other than...John Murtha.  Yes, there could be a Republican John Murtha in elected office come next year (assuming he beats the Democrat, who will likely have a decent chance of winning).

    by alphaaqua on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:28:26 PM PDT

  •  AZ-08 62.1% Reporting (0+ / 0-)

    In the Rethug primary, winger Randy Graf has increased his lead over Steve Huffman to 14,828 to 14,105.  That's 40.8% to 38.8%.  

    http://www.azsos.gov/...

    This one is going to be close.  If Graf holds on, this is an immediate lean Dem seat.

    by hilltopper on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:32:03 PM PDT

    •  from the Daily Star: (0+ / 0-)

      "Graf's lead has been growing over the evening and a landslide in Cochise County has not been added to the total tally yet"

      This one's probably going to Randy Graf.

      According to the latest polls, Giffords will have a 10 point lead on Graf out of the gate (vs a slight lead had Huffman won).  If she runs a good campaign, she'll win... but never underestimate the appeal of a crazy, immigration-obsessed wingnut like Graf in a border district.

      by mikeb42 on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:52:29 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I have to be honest. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TooLittleSleep

    I'm glad Chaffee won.  I don't want him to win in November, but I take his win as a sign that even the GOP has some sane people left in it.  (At least in New England they do.)  This man was the only Republican Senator to vote against the war in Iraq and I didn't want to see him go up in flames totally.
    Don't get me wrong, I want him to lose to a Democrat in November but not to a Dobsonista in September.  As for this race now tying up liberal funds, well it's also going to have to tie up conservative funds.  And I still think we're going to win here.

    "The only difference between me and the Surrealists is that I am a Surrealist" S. Dali

    by SpiderStumbled22 on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:53:47 PM PDT

  •  AZ-08: Graf Winning Rep Primary (0+ / 0-)

    With 80.6% of the votes, Graf now leads Huffman  42.4% to 37.8%.  In actual votes, he leads by a little more than 2,000.

    AZ-08 is looking mighty good for dems as a pick-up right now.  

    by hilltopper on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 09:56:59 PM PDT

  •  It's a good thing for us that Laffey lost. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Beet, dole4pineapple

    Ultimately, to have a better country, we need to defeat the conservative relgious fundamentalists and the laissez faire freak shows like the Club for Growth.  It's better for the country if these groups don't win in primaries.  Whitehouse should win his race against Chafee, though it will be closer than it would have been if Laffey had won.

    by khyber900 on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:01:23 PM PDT

    •  I'd have preferred a Laffey win (0+ / 0-)

      since it would have handed us the seat and saved money for other races, but I definitely can see positives in this. The defeat of the Club for Growth is definitely one.

      As for the general, it'll be tight, but Whitehouse will pull off the win. Chafee is stuck in the low 40s and if that holds, he can't win. In addition to tying Chafee to Bush and the Republicans, he needs to be portrayed as an ineffective senator. Sure, he may talk like a liberal, but in Washington, he votes to keep George Bush's party in charge of the Senate and does nothing to stop their radical agenda. The Chafee name will keep Linc in the race until the end, but I think Whitehouse ultimately wins with 52 or 53 percent of the vote.

      If your name was George Walker instead of George Walker Bush, your candidacy would be a joke.

      by dole4pineapple on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:23:48 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Interesting numbers from AZ (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Yosef 52, Beet

    The number of Republicans who voted today in the primaries far exceeded the number of Democrats. This is with about 60-80% of precints counted and are just a samplling.

    The Repubs may have selected Graf in AZ-08, but he may have a realistic chance of winning.

    AZ Gov
    Dems   174363
    Reps   228759

    AZ Dist 1
    Dems   24921
    Reps   27770

    AZ Dist 8
    Dems   45311
    Reps   45091

    Attorney General
    Dems   171317
    Reps   204106

    ----------
    In a year when our base should be fired up and ready to go, the Repubs turned out in larger numbers. This is not acceptable.

    I have to admit, I didn't help. But come November, unless we have a game plan to get people off their asses and to the polls, we are going to be embarrased when the worst president in our history and the most corrupt political party in our history beat us again. It can happen!!!!

    Thorby

    "The chief weapon of the sea pirates was their capacity to astonish." Kurt Vonnegut

    by Thorby Baslim on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:04:53 PM PDT

  •  Does this mean we can make fun of.... (0+ / 0-)

    freerepublic's win/loss record now?

    DJ The Young Grasshopper

    by djtyg on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:22:04 PM PDT

    •  Of course (0+ / 0-)

      The freepers are none too happy about Laffey's defeat. I'll bet a lot of conservative Republicans will stay home rather than vote for Chafee. I mean, anyone crazy enough to vote for Laffey really couldn't care less about holding the seat for the Republicans, so why should they vote in November?

      If your name was George Walker instead of George Walker Bush, your candidacy would be a joke.

      by dole4pineapple on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:33:27 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  MD Controller (0+ / 0-)

    This race is coming down to the wire. Franchot and Owens will come down to the wire. There are fewer precincts out in Anne Arundel County, where Owens is winning, as oppose dto PG County, where Franchot is winning. PG County has more votes than Anne Arundel. I can't call this one.

    Owens has a very narrow lead of a few thousand votes, but there are more pro-Franchot than pro-Owens precincts left. Schaffer is definitely not winning this race.

    I am not sure where Montgomery County stands. According to their county elections web site, 150 precincts have reported. In 2004 there were 233 precincts that reported. So there might still be a ton of pro-Franchot precincts out there.

    Thus I can't predict where this one is going. If there are more Montgomery and PG County precincts, where are pro-Franchot out, than pro-Ownes prencincts, then Franchot could still win.

    http://www.keen.com/jiacinto For DC related travel advice, please visit that link.

    by jiacinto on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:45:03 PM PDT

    •  I think Franchot will pull it out (0+ / 0-)

      I preferred Owens, but anything is better than Donald Schaefer. Let the old bastard ease into retirement already.

      Disappointed about Fenty in the District, but it was inevitable. Too bad--I think Cropp would have done a good job.

      W's First Veto: not for tax cuts for the rich, pork barrel spending and earmarks, or civil liberties violations, but for stem cell research.

      by Red Sox on Wed Sep 13, 2006 at 03:43:54 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Are Wynn and Edwards progressives? (0+ / 0-)

    Keep Osama safe and happy. Vote Republican.

    by annefrank on Tue Sep 12, 2006 at 10:48:54 PM PDT

  •  Don't be too sure (0+ / 0-)

    It's a tossup race at best.  And that Democratic turnout was great, but would have been better served by a crossover movement for Laffey.  3000 or so Democrats for Laffey would have given us the seat for sure.

    The Republicans. The party of fear and smear.

    by Paleo on Wed Sep 13, 2006 at 03:14:36 AM PDT

  •  If you don't live in RI (0+ / 0-)

    Please, Please, Please--- If you don't live in RI, or lived there once for a long time, or have spent a great deal of time studying these races---

    Please don't say anything too definitive.

    We have not lost--  We also haven't won.  And to say either will hurt our chances.

    If you lived in RI, you'd probably understand how up in the air things really are right now.  

    Note:  There are LOTS of people who did not vote in the republican primary who will vote for Chafee.  It will be VERY difficult to attack Chafee directly, most Rhode Islanders will ignore personal attacks to Chafee.  What the state's voters need is to understand why we need a democratic majority.

    by PentlandFirth on Wed Sep 13, 2006 at 12:05:45 PM PDT

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