A new, independent poll gives Angie Paccione a slight edge over Marilyn "Mad Cow" Musgrave,
according to the Fort Collins Coloradoan.
This poll marks a reversal for a race where Musgrave has been shown to be pulling ahead in Democratic and Republican polls.
The 4th Congressional District race has tightened considerably, according to a new independent poll, with Democrat Angie Paccione now showing a slight lead that's within the survey's margin of error.
The poll by RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics showed Paccione with 48 percent of the vote, Republican incumbent Marilyn Musgrave with 45 percent and Reform Party candidate Eric Eidsness with 5 percent.
The latest poll was conducted Oct. 24-26 of 991 respondents in the 4th Congressional District. A previous poll by the same two companies - one that regularly polls for Democrats and the other for Republicans - showed Musgrave with a six-point lead in late August.
There are some really wild swings in polling this race, but maybe the blasts coming from Pat Stryker and Tim Gill are having some effect. Recent broadsides from the Stryker-Gill financed 527 have featured Musgraves poor voting record on veterans' issues. The group purchased about $500K in advertising for the last three weeks of the campaign.
I tend to think this poll is being seen as accurate by the Republicans, because Bush is coming in to campaign for Mad Cow on Saturday. He sure isn't for Beauprez, who is currently in the process of writing his concession speech.
At any rate, this race is clearly not as far gone as I thought it was two weeks ago. It will all come down to the ground game, and you can bet that Musgrave will have a good one. Can Angie match it?