Netroots candidate Deval Patrick has enjoyed up to a 25% lead in recent polls. The campaign of Republican candidate Kerry Healey has been desperate to find something to smear him with. With tactics taken right out of the Lee Atwater playbook, the Republicans have resurrected the ghost of Willie Horton...only this time he is named Benjamin Laguer. Using the Laguer case, the Republicans are trying to convince the voters of Massachusetts that Deval Patrick cares more about criminals than victims, that he wants to let convicted rapists out of jail, and that he is, of course, "soft on crime".
Here are the facts.
1. Benjamin Laguer was convicted of rape, alleged the jury was racist, and wanted a new trial.
2. Deval wrote letters in support of Laguer, and even helped pay for a DNA test to once and for all prove Laguer's guilt or innocence.
3. The DNA test proved Laguer committed the crime, so Deval dropped his support.
Spinning it Back at Them:
The only thing Deval is guilty of is wanting see that justice was served, which it was in this case. Allegations of jury misconduct are a serious thing, but apparently if Kerry Healey were in charge these things would never be investigated. This would undoubtedly lead to innocent people being jailed for crimes they did not commit. Is this the type of justice Kerry Healey intends to give us if elected? Then Kerry Healey is soft on justice. That's how we use this against her.
Very Crude Poll Numbers:
I am a town co-coordinator/precinct captain for Deval. We were making phone calls from my house tonight to drum up support. Of 51 people who previously were supporting Deval, 2 said they were not voting for him based specifically on the Laguer case. This is roughly a 4% loss, which rounds up nicely to 5%. So, it is my feeling based on our unscientific poll that this issue has damaged Deval, but has only lost him ~5% of the electorate. My favorite quote of the night, "I'm not a bigot, but Massachusetts is not ready for a black Governor". Whenever anyone prefaces a comment with, "I'm not a bigot..." it probably means they are. I honestly think the people we may be losing were looking for a reason to not vote for Deval. I think we would have lost these people anyway as election day approached.
The good news is that I reckon we still have a 20% lead. Also, people are still coming out of the woodwork to support Deval. These are people who have never worked on a campaign before, and who have not voted in decades. Deval's appeal to people who have "checked out" of politics to please "check back-in" is still working. I think we still have a solid lead, and should take back the corner office in November.

Permalink | 45 comments