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Gallup. 2/9-11. Adults. MoE 3% (no trend lines)

If your party nominated a well-qualified Candidate For WH '08 who was _, would you vote for that person?

                         Yes   No                  
Catholic                  95%  4%                          
Black                     94   5  
Jewish                    92   7    
A woman                   88  11        
Hispanic                  87  12    
Mormon                    72  24  
Married for third time    67  30  
72 years old              57  42
A homosexual              55  43    
An atheist                45  53

           Comfort-    With      Would
           able        Reserv-   Not
                       ations    Vote
Black         84%        9%      5%
A woman       78        10      11
Mormon        58        14      24
72 years old  43        15      42
Married for
third time    54        13      30

McCain will be 72 years old in 2008.

Mitt Romney is Mormon.

Rudy Giuliani is married for a third time.

Newt Gingrich is married for a third time.

Update: Pew isn't giving much early hope, either.

When asked a year ago by Opinion Dynamics would, could or would not support Giuliani in a presidential election, a whopping 71 percent of voters said that they "definitely" vote for him (33 percent) or "might" vote for him (38 percent). Today just 59 percent would support (15 percent) or consider voting for him (44 percent). Note the drop of 12 points overall and the decline of 18 points in hard support.

A year ago 70 percent of the electorate stated they would definitely support McCain (30 percent) or might support him (40 percent). Today, just 51 percent of voters would consider voting for him, with a mere 9 percent giving him hard support and another 43 percent stating a willingness to support him. Note here that McCain's potential for support dropped by 19 points overall and his percentage of core backers fell a stunning 21 percent.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Fri Feb 16, 2007 at 12:57 PM PST.

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