John Edwards has surged into the lead in the latest poll of likely Florida Democratic primary voters.
Edwards: 26
Clinton: 24
Obama: 19
Undecided: 12
Richardson: 7
Biden: 6
Kucinich: 3
Other: 2
Dodd: 1
One interesting aspect is the following (in bold):
Methodology: Findings are based on May 14 – 18, 2007 survey using a comprehensive predictive model of "likely" voters, based on election cycles and other factors of voters in Florida. The survey was conducted using an automated telephone dialer and the voice of a professional announcer. A Datamar proprietary algorithm was used to generate random samples of voters for calling. The margin of error for the total sample is +/- 4.8 percent at the 95 percent confidence level.
I think this might have been a "robo-poll" like the ones SurveyUSA uses, which tend to show Edwards much stronger than many of the "live" polls. Which raises an interesting issue...
Are Democrats trying to impress "live" pollsters (or feel some sort of obligation) by saying they support Hillary Clinton, but when dealing with a "robot" many of them express their actual preference for Edwards? It's just a theory at this point, but it does make you wonder what they'll do when push comes to shove and they're alone in the voting booth.