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(no, nothing to do with Harry Potter!)

Today the Hartford Courant ran a really interesting opinion piece about the possibilities that could arise from an independent candidacy for the Presidency:

Take what the Electoral College could produce. If an independent won a couple of states in a politically even year, it would send the election into the House of Representatives, that bastion of calm, collected reasoning, where each state's delegation - that's right, delegation - would cast one vote for president. Texas would have as many votes as Wyoming: one each. States with an even split of Republicans and Democrats might have to resort to rock-paper-scissors. Weirder still, if no candidate won 26 delegations, then whomever the Senate picked for vice president would become president until the House made up its mind.

We may also have a popular-vote loser in the White House again. That likely would have happened in 1992 if Ross Perot's vote had risen nationally from 19 percent to 34 percent, with Perot cruising to an Electoral College majority, despite trailing Bill Clinton in popular votes. Or we might have the winner of the popular vote finish second in the Electoral College, but win in the House. Or the popular vote's third-place finisher could win in electoral votes, but the House elects the candidate who came in second.

But perhaps the most thought-provoking thing about this is the solution that they propose – a sort of treaty between states that would ensure the winner of the national popular vote picks up electoral college votes also:

Under the popular-vote compact, states that join agree to give all their electoral votes to the candidate who wins the popular vote nationally, regardless of the vote in their state.

You can read the whole article here.

Originally posted to Liz D on Tue Jul 17, 2007 at 07:21 AM PDT.


Do you think that Bloomberg has a real chance at winning the presidency in 2008?

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Comment Preferences

  •  Will. not. happen... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    No third party candidate is going to pick up a state.

    A third party candidate will only ensure that the President will not be elected by a majority of the popular vote. But all of the Electoral votes will go to either the Democratic or Republic candidate.

    Period.  Bank on it. Call a London bookie right now.

    The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it -- GB Shaw

    by kmiddle on Tue Jul 17, 2007 at 07:26:30 AM PDT

  •  Whew. I was afraid it was a Harry Potter diary. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Thanks for bringing us back to tactics & strategy. I tend to agree with comments like kmiddle's that no third-party candidate will win a state, but I also agree that the bigger impact - one that we need to be thinking ahead about - is the effect in close states, of which we have many.

    In an environment in which Democratic Unnamed Candidate  has a huge tailwind, a third party candidate helps only the GOP, and we should be careful not to enable such a Hail Mary strategy.

    How many cars have you taken off the road this year? Join the Kos group at One Billion Bulbs

    by pat208 on Tue Jul 17, 2007 at 07:30:51 AM PDT

  •  We can solve this entire problem by simply (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Qshio, Oreo

    disposing of the electoral college, too.

    It's a much more elegant solution.

  •  Michael Bloomberg has as much chance ... (0+ / 0-)

    of being elected as Regulus Black does of not being R.A.B.

    - What happens on DailyKos, stays on Google. - 11/7 changed NOTHING.

    by Jon Meltzer on Tue Jul 17, 2007 at 07:36:16 AM PDT

  •  Wrong (0+ / 0-)

    Weirder still, if no candidate won 26 delegations, then whomever the Senate picked for vice president would become president until the House made up its mind.

    Once sworn in... that person IS president.  It doesn't matter what the House finally gets around to doing (if!).  Then the president may nominate someone to be vice president... and the House and Senate will have to decide whether to approve (or not) the nomination.

    "I desire what is good. Therefore, everyone who does not agree with me is a traitor." King George III

    by ogre on Tue Jul 17, 2007 at 09:13:54 AM PDT

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