I need your help. All of you. To design a series of future history scenarios for the year 2030.
This is The Millennium Project. A futurist's gold mine.
As some of you guys know, I write future histories, and to raise my level of play, I need to ask you guys for some quick answers to a few question below the break:
I Need To Ask You About the World in 2030
Short form: I need your advice, just a few quick questions.
These are (roughly) in the order of the original survey; I have modified the language on the ranges to generate more usual inputs for my purposes. I need a number for each -- a 0 to 10, with 5 being right in the middle between the choices.
Oh, yeah. One more note: The questions are for the entire world:
Just copy the line items between the xxxxx - marks into a comment, add numbers and you are good!
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Economic regime (from strongly protectionst to deeply integrated)
Communications regime (from content-controlled to content-liberated)
Security regime (from global anarchy to world federation)
Ideological regime (from strongly democratic to strongly totalitarian)
Legal regime (from rule of whim to rule of law)
Innovation regime (from reaction to radicalism)
Wealth regime(weakly concentrated to strongly concentrated)
Civility regime (from medieval reversion to utopian renaissance)
Legitimacy regime (from complete repudiation to strong social contract)
Conflict regime (from strong conflict to strong peace orientation)
Health regime (from rapid deterioration to radical improvement)
Social regime (from individualism to humanism)
Perceptual regime (from materialistic to idealistic)
Information regime (from data dearth to data immersed)
Water Resources (from greatly degraded to greatly improved)
Energy Resources (from greatly degraded to greatly improved)
Global warming (from insignificantly warmer to drastic, adverse transformation)
Pollution (from no restraint to strong remedy)
Species preservation (from extinct movement to global effort)
Pattern of Changes (from slow and gradual to sudden paradigm shift)
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What's this all for? You ask?
To get an idea what a sampling of bright progressives such as yourselves are thinking about. To get a pool of bright thinkers to think about the global picture, not just for one or a few issues of concern but for all of them, in a simple framework.
My answer
To give you an idea of what I hope to get from all you guys:
Economic regime (from strongly protectionist to deeply integrated) - 4
Communications regime (from content-controlled to content-liberated) - 6
Security regime (from global anarchy to world federation) - 6
Ideological regime (from strongly democratic to strongly totalitarian) - 6
Legal regime (from rule of whim to rule of law) - 4
Innovation regime (from reaction to radicalism) - 5
Wealth regime(weakly concentrated to strongly concentrated) - 7
Civility regime (from medieval reversion to utopian renaissance) - 4
Legitimacy regime (from complete repudiation to strong social contract) - 4
Conflict regime (from strong conflict to strong peace orientation) - 3
Health regime (from rapid deterioration to radical improvement) - 3
Social regime (from individualism to humanism) - 6
Perceptual regime (from materialistic to idealistic) - 7
Information regime (from data dearth to data immersed) - 7
Water Resources (from greatly degraded to greatly improved) - 3
Energy Resources (from greatly degraded to greatly improved) - 3
Global warming (from insignificantly warmer than now to drastic, adverse transformation) - 3 (in 2030!)
Pollution (from no restraint to strong remedy) - 3
Species preservation (from extinct movement to global effort) - 3
Pattern of Changes (from slow and gradual to sudden paradigm shift) - 8
Thank you for your help
This means a lot to me. I think many of you will find this an interesting exercise.
I'll add an explanation of my thought process for the above pix in a comment later on.