Sheesh. It's a massacre. Q3 fundraising numbers:
Mark Warner (D) $1.1 million (entered race 9/13, so two weeks)
Jim Gilmore (R) $200,000
Tom Davis (R) $222,000
Davis raised $600K in Q1 and $400K in Q2 -- both pretty good amounts. However, his numbers are clearly on the downswing. Jim Gilmore might've raised enough money to simply get out of debt (he was about $60K in the hole after Q2). Both their numbers should get worse now that Mark Warner and his dominant poll numbers are in the race (Warner raised that cash without a single organized fundraiser). And while we can hope the NRSC wastes money on this race, that doesn't seem very likely unless the numbers tighten considerably.
As for Davis, I'll make the not-so-bold prediction that he doesn't run for the Senate. With the GOP nomination to be decided by a party convention, movement conservatives (who dominate the state party) are far more likely to choose Gillmore than the more "moderate" Davis.
Though I will make the (maybe?) bold prediction that he retires.
This was his race, the one he'd spent the last decade preparing for. Being one of 435 in a minority party about to get deeper in the hole, with nothing but dark skies ahead, can't be too pleasant, not when the big cash on K Street beckons. The dude is genuinely smart. He's got better things to do with his time than suffer his fool GOP colleagues.