It has certainly been an interesting week. The O trains seems to be trucking along with seemingly nothing able to stop it. Recent polls out of the early states show Obama up six in South Carolina, up eight in Iowa, and down by a statistically insignificant 1 percentage point in New Hampshire.
Interestingly as well, there is a first of this campaign in some other numbers I've been watching as an indicator of where this race is going to go: The people who put their money where their mouth is. Follow me below the fold for an interesting glance at a breaking point that hasn't yet been discussed...
This poll is much more dramatic: In Iowa, it's Obama 60 / Clinton 37. In New Hampshire, it's Clinton 50 / Obama 50. In South Carolina, it's Clinton 45 / Obama 65. These are the current numbers for the InTrade Political markets, where people bet on who's going to win the nomination. This is the first time (over this past week) that I have seen Obama on top in anything on InTrade. Not only has he taken a comfortable lead in Iowa, but in SC too. He has also amazingly tied up NH without even a single poll showing him leading.
Now, while InTrade is probably just as useless if not moreso than your average poll, it's yet another indicator of where the momentum is. In the words of Carol Shea - Porter, "he's got what it takes to lead us into that brighter place, and I think he's got the wind at his back and the wind at his sails."
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