Barack Obama is soaring in New Hampshire, no doubt, but John Edwards is the one getting all the national bounce (up 9% in 8 days) according to the Rasmussen Reports polls released over the past week.
According to the latest Rasmussen Reports numbers, the anticipated Obama national bounce seems, instead, to be pointing John Edwards's way. The latest Rasmussen Daily Democratic Presidential tracking polls show that as of 1/6/2008, John Edwards has increased his percentage of likely US voters by +9 percentage points from 14% to 23%. This compares to Hillary Clinton's loss of -7 percentage points in the same period from 43% to 36% and Barack Obama's +1 point increase during the same period from 24% to 25%.
http://rasmussenreports.com/...
(Note this was diaried in a much shorter, earlier form last night based on yesterday's numbers, but all the numbers are updated and Edwards rose 3 points since yesterday in the Rasmussen National polling. Hoomai29).
Rasmussen Reports Daily Democratic Primary Preferences -- (1/6/08)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...
Date Clinton Obama Edwards
1/6/08 36% 25% 23%
1/5/08 38% 25% 20%
1/4/08 38% 26% 18%
1/3/08 41% 24% 17%
12/31/07-1/2/08 No polling - New Year's Holiday
12/30/07 42% 23% 16%
12/29/07 43% 24% 14%
NATIONAL AVERAGE: For the national race, Edwards’s improvement in the Rasmussen polling represents a +10.0% increase over the last six December polls averaged previously by Real Clear Politics. That same comparison shows Barack Obama with a -.75% decrease and Hillary Clinton with a –8.25% decrease in her national average—so, per Rasmussen, ALL of the national bounce is heading Edwards’s direction!)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/...
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Edwards is also up 3.1% in New Hampshire over the past six polls averaged by Real Clear Politics. This is not as much as Obama, who’s up 8.7% in New Hampshire, but Hillary Clinton is down 4.8% during that same time.
NH Real Clear Politics Last Six Polls vs. Previous Six Polls
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/...
State Clinton Obama Edwards
New Hampshire -4.8% +8.7% +3.1%
The Concord Monitor poll also came out Saturday and showed Barack Obama increasing his standing by +1% to 34% since the Monitor’s last poll on Dec. 18, while Hillary Clinton increased her poll numbers by +2% to 33%--and John Edwards increased his position by 5% to 23% in the same time period.
http://www.yourconcord.com/...
So, Edwards is moving up significantly in New Hampshire as well--and may make a further move after a very strong debate performance on ABC on Saturday night.
DEBATE: (There was a long debate diary last night by turneresq at: http://www.dailykos.com/...
This was very well summarized by Local ABC affiliate WMUR, which also had a debate meter in which viewers indicated how much they approved of candidates’ statements and Edwards appeared to have the most positive responses of any of the four candidates, although Obama seemed to do very well with Independent viewers and Clinton had good response when she said that her feelings were hurt but (tongue in cheek) she'd try to go on.
See for yourself: http://www.wmur.com/...
Edwards’s was also the top-rated response of the night: http://www.youtube.com/...
Here are Time correspondent Mark Halperin’s ratings on the debate:
http://thepage.time.com/...
Here also are the comments of The Altantic’s columnist, Matthew Yglesias.
http://matthewyglesias.theatlantic.c...
And, finally, ABC’s George Stephanopoulos said, Edwards "showed passion and vitality and energy tonight...I think this was one of his best debates."
http://www.youtube.com/...