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Rasmussen has released today a poll from Virginia on the senate race and on head-to-head races for president.  

Senate numbers:  
Warner     53
Gilmore    38

These are the same results as the October poll.  I continue to consider this race a likely democratic pick-up.  Warner will need to mess up to lose.  

Rasmussen also tested the presidential race, but to my disappointment, it only tested two democrats against two republicans.  The results:

Against McCain:

Clinton   38
McCain    49

Obama    43
McCain    45

Against Romney:

Clinton    43
Romney    44

Obama     47
Romney    41

In short, Obama is running 9 points stronger than Clinton against McCain and is running 7 points stronger than Clinton against Romney.  But it also shows that Virginia can be (and should be) a very competitive state in 2008.  I think it would have been in 2004 if Kerry had not pulled out.    It also suggests (as many national polls have shown) that McCain is likely the strongest republican for the fall election.  

Originally posted to hilltopper on Tue Jan 08, 2008 at 10:34 AM PST.


Will Virginia be a battleground state in 2008?

75%107 votes
17%24 votes
3%5 votes
3%5 votes

| 141 votes | Vote | Results

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