This is a new poll on the heels of a couple of others confirming a double digit lead in the Golden State for Hillary Clinton. The poll was taken from Wednesday through Sunday, so it includes 1 day following the SC result.
Clinton holds a 17 point lead over Obama, 49-32, with Edwards pulling in 11%. There is only 3% undecided in this poll.
73% of Clinton voters are certain about their decision. 66% of Obama voters are certain of theirs.
True to form in other states (except SC) registered Democrats favor Clinton 51% -30%.
Independents favor Obama 41% - 28%. Absentee voters favor Clinton 53%-40%. Voters who plan to vote on Feb. 5th also favor Clinton by 8 points.
More on the flip:
http://www.calendarlive.com/...
Men favor Clinton 42-36. Women favor Clinton 51-29.
Hillary leads among the over 65 crowd by with almost 66% of the vote, and Hillary leads in the 18-44 category 43-37. Hillary also has a substantial lead among Latino voters, where she has a 59-30 lead. Among white voters, Hillary leads Obama 47-28, with Edwards picking up 17%.
Regionally, Obama and Clinton are pretty competitive in LA County (where Hillary leads 45-39) and the Bay Area (Hillary leads 41-38) where Obama's base of wealthier, educated, liberals and African American voters are most concentrated.
Obama has made some gains in certain categories. In addition to narrowing the margins in LA County and the Bay Area, Obama was once behind substantially among indies, now he leads by a good margin. Obama was well behind among men, now Hillary's lead is much smaller.
However, this poll shows Hillary with a dominant lead in the state. She is competitive in all regions of the state and in the majority of key demographics, including those that offset Obama's perceived strengths.
Even if Obama gets a boost from the South Carolina win and the Kennedy endorsement, Clinton's lead appears to be both wide and deep enough to sustain a solid win on February 5th.