Today we have the Maine caucuses. Based on the nets and the phonebanking I did for Obama earlier today and yesterday, I predict this result:
Obama: 55%
Clinton: 49%
Over the fold, my predictions and analysis of for the race to come.
After Maine, Obama will be heading into Tuesday's competitions with a good deal of momentum; nevertheless, HRC will still compete heavily, especially in Virginia. Both candidates have been campaigning hard there over the weekend, and will continue to do so on Monday. HRC has no chance of taking D.C., which I predict will vote overwhelmingly for Obama:
D.C./Washington
Obama: 66%
Clinton: 31%
Maryland, on the other hand, will be more contested, but based on nothing at all except whispers, I predict the following result:
Maryland
Obama: 54%
Clinton: 44%
Virginia will be by far the most contested competition of all; for example, both candidates speeches Saturday were given out of Virgina, and today they ignored Maine to focus on Virginia.
Virginia
Obama: 49%
Clinton: 46%
Another set of Obama victories will give him significant momentum heading into Mini-Tuesday, but I think HRC's leads will be hard to overcome. I predict that all of the states will be heavily fought over, and that Obama will win Texas by a slight margin (<5%) and that HRC will do the same in Ohio. I will go on a limb by predicting that Rhode Island will be won handily by Obama (>10% margin of victory). We'll see how my predictions turn out. And, BTW, first diary; please be nice!