Well, it seems pretty clear that if things keep going the way they are going Senator Clinton is going to lose the race. There is an important caveat, though, if things keep going the way they are going. So, here's the question I would like to discuss in this diary, what magnitude of an event will it take for Hillary Clinton to be able to win? Take the poll and turn below the page for my thoughts.
Personally, given the margins that Hillary has to win the delegate allocation by in the remaining states in order to regain the delegate lead, 10 points plus, I think we're into the major scandal region. Hillary could even win a fair share of the remaining states, and still lose because she doesn't win big enough. Now, that assumes that the superdelegates won't overturn the will of the people. I don't think that will be a problem, though. I think that about 4 in 10 of the Superdelegates will go for Clinton regardless, 3 in 10 will go for Obama regardless, and 3 in 10 will move to ratify the will of the earned delegates.
Now for my prediction which assumes that things continue to go as they have been going. Hillary Clinton is not going to win either TX or OH by enough to put her on pace to close the delegate gap in time, which means an effective loss for her because the margins by which she has to win the remaining states will go up. If she outright loses either of these states, then I would even go so far as to bump the race up a handicap level to the tragic event that changes the national mood level. If she loses both states I would go so far as to say that the superdelegates could step in to tell her to get out of the race for the good of the party. She may not do it, but the election will be effectively over.