Yeah, I'm borrowing President Clinton's line. But as I continue watch this threads on Texas and Ohio and "Crucial Tuesday" or whatever the hell the media is calling this thing now, color me unimpressed, and unfazed.
Why? Math.
The simple fact of the matter is that Sen. Clinton cannot make up the ground already lost. This race, for all intents and purposes was over in the month of February. March 4th is just a question of how to keep the media narrative going on whether Clinton can remain "viable."
Yes, she might win Ohio. Yes, she might even win Texas. But the margins aren't going to be all the great, methinks. More than 10% in either state? Doubtful.
Party insiders know this. That's why there are rumblings of Obama "superdelegates" in waiting to head this off at the pass. That's why you have Bill Richardson's comments about the delegate leader after March 4th being our nominee. That's why you have Howard Dean, Nancy Pelosi, and whoever else saying they need to end this process. Because it is harmful to the party.
Nobody wanted to step on the toes of the Clintons. They drew their line in the sand for March 4th. Fine. Let them have their day.
But the delegate math just isn't there. And I firmly believe that the superdelegates will NOT overturn the will of the voters and throw out whoever has the most pledged delegates come convention time.
That would absolutely disastrous for the party, and everybody knows it.
Here's the thing. Play with the numbers yourself. I did. I made the absolute best assumption for Sen. Clinton. The absolute best case scenario is that she wins every single state today and all the remaining states in the primaries going forward by winning 55% of all the remaining delegates.
Know what happens? She is still behind Obama by eight delegates.
Does anybody think Clinton can win every single state from today until this thing ends by 55% or more?
Of course not. It is absolutely unrealistic.
Sen. Clinton is about as viable as Mike Huckabee at this point. Oh, I'm sure she will solider on, but realistically, this thing is going to start to take it's toll in the coming weeks. The party elders are not going to turn their back on someone who has brought so many new voters into the process and can energize the Democratic electorate as oppose to divide it.
The only reason this story continues is because it sells papers and Nieslen ratings for the cable news networks. It keeps the pundits and consultants employed, but let's face it, time is running out.
Like I said, this thing is a fairy tale. The campaign effectively ended in February.
And it's definite end will probably be tonight.