Obama has not won and will not be the winner of the primaries until his party chooses him to be the nominee!! While it's fine for everyone to continue to look at the numbers and do the math, this is still a very tight race and if you think that Clinton's campaign isn't going to pull out all of the stops to try and regain the superdelegate lead, you are not paying attention.
While the wins in Texas and Ohio could be translated into a wash, because Obama came back from 20 points behind and made the race competetive and the delegate count remains basically unchanged, the spin and momentum is HUGE! Let's examine a few quotes from Clinton's strategy memo and read the entire memo here: http://thepage.time.com/...
Let's look at the highlights.
In the primaries, Hillary has demonstrated that she is the best positioned candidate to carry the core battleground states essential to a general election victory — particularly the large industrial states of Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania and the critical swing contests in Florida, New Mexico, Nevada, and New Jersey.
Note that Florida and Michigan are mentioned. In this 13 point memo, number 11 is Florida and number 12 is Michigan. The fight for the these delegates will continue.
This is the most troubling quote:
The vetting of Obama has just begun.
It's going to get much, much uglier. There will be a scorched earth policy. They see that going negative has worked and are ready to continue that line of attack.
Again, they are dismissing states in which Obama has done well, but are deemed Red States. Obviously, the Democratic voters in these states don't mean much, according to the Clinton campaign, but they are laying out the arguments to win over superdelegates.
More of the plan unfolding:
John McCain will diminish any perceived advantage Obama has with independents.
They are slowing going to chip away at any argument that Obama has made that he would be the better candidiate in the general election.
The Obama camp has got to find a way to respond to the negative attacks, but also to expose Clinton's weaknesses without going nuclear.
The Clinton campaign is NOT finished, regardless of any math used. The superdelegates are still in play, and they are going to go after them with a vengeance.
This is no time to sit back with our calculators and say Obama has won. He needs to prove he is the better candidate. He needs to prove he can withstand the negative attacks. We all need to keep working.