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Brand spanking new polling from Rasmussen shows that Hillary has opened up a 15 point lead in the very, very critical state of Pennsylvania!

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...

Before anyone starts spouting about Delegate Math, Jonathan Alter, etc. etc. etc. -- keep the following in mind:

There will be a revote in Florida and Michigan.  You can bet on it.  If we don't find a way to do this, we will alienate these two states and jeopardize our chances in the fall.  Does anyone not believe that this is necessary now that Obama has failed to close the sale?

And Hillary will clobber Obama in Florida, I expect her to win by better than 60 - 40.  Michigan will be closer, but I see it as another solid win for Hillary.

If Obama can't win in PA, and in fact if he gets clobbered there, he will have a major problem convincing the uncommitted Superdelegates to put him over the top.  

I expect a Hillary / Obama ticket to be the most likely outcome of the contest at this point.

Originally posted to markusd on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 11:08 AM PST.

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