The Magnolia State primary is today, so post your predictions with percentage below and I will revise them and post the winner tomorrow. I promise to make a donation through the winner's homepage to the Obama campaign if s/he is an Obama supporter. Sorry Hillary fans can't waste my money on the incompetent Mark Penn..
Here's my prediction:
The deep south votes along racial line this primary cycle. In Mississippi, it will be no different. Here's one important fact to mull over: The AA population vote as a monolithic group in MS and they should be expected to make up 60% of the primary electorate because favorite son Obama is running.
Obama is poised to get 92% of the AA votes and will net 30% of White voters.
So crunching these numbers in using the amazing pollster.com spreadsheet, here's the predicted final result for MS:
Black making up 60%: Obama 92%-08%
White 36% : Clinton 70%-30%
Latino/others 04% :Clinton 67%-33% getting her usual share.
Result:
Barack Obama 67.3%
Hillary Clinton 32.7%
After rounding:
Barack Obama 67%
Hillary Clinton 33%
Microsoft Excel Spreadsheet to crunch the numbers can be found here
http://www.pollster.com/...
Make a donation here http://my.barackobama.com/...
I like watching the meter goes up