An EVERYTHING POLL has been released. The ABC headline is "Obama Surges on Electability, Challenges Clinton on Leadership"
WashingtonPost Headline is "10 Point Lead Among Dems, Poll Says"
The poll covers electability, trustworthyness, favorability, etc... its full of good stuff, more below the fold.
Also Cross Posted at my website
From ABCnews.com
Barack Obama has knocked down one of the three tent poles of Hillary Clinton's campaign for president, surging ahead of her as the candidate Democrats see as most likely to win in November. He's challenging her on leadership as well, leaving only experience as a clear Clinton advantage in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll.
On the eve of their debate before the Pennsylvania primary next week, Democrats by a 2-1 margin, 62-31 percent, now see Obama as better able to win in November -- a dramatic turn from February, when Clinton held a scant 5-point edge on this measure, and more so from last fall, when she crushed her opponents on electability.
The complete story spans 4 pages. These will be talking points for the debate no doubt.
Quick Poll Summary:
Best Chance in November
O 62%
C 31%
Clinton Honest & Trustworthy
Yes 39%
No 58%
Rift has risen to new high (hight 30's)of supporters on both sides not willing to vote for the other
General Election Preference
O 49%
M 44%
C 45%
M 48%
Poll finds Obama has better chance to:
Win: 62% to Clinton 31%
Bring Change: 56% to Clinton 35%
is more Honest and Trustworthy: 53% to Clinton 30%
Better understands Problems: 46% to Clinton 41%
and he closed the gap on leadership: 44% to 49%, Clinton led by +24 when last polled now it's +5
Choice Among Democrats
O 51%
C 41%
These are similar to Gallups Tracking Poll
Which Campaign do you blame for the Mostly Negative Tone (Of 41% Saying Campaign has been mostly Negative)
C 52%
O 14%
Who is Better Able to Handle the Economy:
O 48
C 45
Asked who would do better at solving Iraq a Dem or Rep
D 52%
R 35%
Asked who would do better at solving the economic problems a Dem or Rep
D 55%
R 34%
When asked about Rev. Wright, people think he did enough to answer, and are not too worried about Republicans using it in Nov.
Some questions were held for later release. Complete Poll/Crostabs here
This will be talked about a lot once the morning new rotation starts up. There is a lot of info in here. Not much, if any is good for Clinton. Things are actually getting a lot worse. How she expects to overturn the vote with Superdelegates is mind boggling. Her disaproval is jumping up there and her support is below 50%. What type of mandate is that?
Enjoy the late night read...
Update 1: Thanks to bumblebums for posting the methodology of the poll
This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone April 10-13, 2008, among a random national sample of 1,197 adults, including an oversample of African-Americans for a total of 213 and an oversample of Catholics for a total of 292 (both weighted to their correct share of the national population). The results have a 3-point error margin for the full sample, 4 points for the 643 leaned Democrats. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
Update 2: More Polls out today
PPP, while not the best track record, but decent...
O 45%
C 42%
Cross Tabs Here
My two cents... One it's a robo call poll, Two, only 9% came from the North East-strong Clinton Land, but is decent polling from other parts of the state. Overall I think this is a little high for Obama, I still have him down, but a 6 point loss is s victory.
Zogby Nationwide Tracking Poll
Reuters Story Here
O 51%
C 38%
In line with other tracking polls.
New Franklin Marshall has a 7 point advantage going to Clinton in PA
Non Update - update: My first Rec List showing..... Wow, didn't expect it since I posted so late. Thanks guys, glad people enjoyed the read. Self Plug: The DailyKos inspired me to set up my own site for Hispanic Democrats, all are welcome to post, no need to be hispanic in-order to let your voice be heard. The Latino/Hispanic vote will be very important this go-around, help convince the community.