I asked a Clinton supporter tonight for a metric to calculate popular vote numbers from caucuses because I don't think the popular vote is a legitimate metric unless you can incorporate the caucus totals somehow. Anyway, this is what they said:
(The Texas results) clearly show that caucus votes are bogus, but the measuring stick for caucuses in delegates won.
I guess you could use the formula based on Texas that if Obama wins a 10% advantage in a caucus, then that should translate to a 5% popular vote advantage for Hillary
Now first off, I think using Texas as an arbitrary measuring stick is questionable, but let's back up a second. Let's take a closer look at those caucus results:
Alaska: 74%-25%
Colorado: 67%-32%
Hawaii: 76%-24%
Idaho: 80%-17%
Kansas: 74%-26%
Maine: 59%-40%
Minnesota: 66%-32%
Nebraska: 68%-32%
North Dakota: 61%-37%
Wyoming; 61%-38%
Judging by the poster's math, Obama would net a popular vote advantage every time he broke the 20-30% threshold. That gives him a slight majority in Colorado, Minnesota, and Nebraska. North Dakota, Wyoming and Maine break about dead even. And Kansas, Alaska, Idaho and Hawaii are big wins in the Obama column.
So let's stop this crap. Hillary is not ahead in the popular vote. Regardless of what RCP says, you're just making yourselves look bad.
P.S.
I've left out Iowa here because Edwards was still in the race then, and it's hard to judge where his votes would have gone. Even if we count it as a Hillary win, it's not enough to offset the other results.
Update
Some people are asking me where Washington is in my list, but it's another one like Iowa with caveats. Obama won the caucus by 37% and the primary by 5% which would seem to be slightly off from the Texas metric we were using. The primary results are questionable since they didn't count toward the overall delegate count and it can be assumed a lot of people stayed home. Still, if we're going to be completely fair, I think the popular vote totals from the primary should be counted and the caucus totals disregarded. That STILL leaves Obama with an advantage.