Clinton: 54.69
Obama: 45.31
Here's what I said Monday in a comment:
I'll bet it's 54.6% Clinton, 45.4% Obama.
Not that I'm happy about it. Onward to read about my wondrous mystical abilities.
Now that I have a perfect 1-0 record of predicting elections, I will share how I divined this outcome.
I don't know crap. I didn't analyze anything. I went with my guts. Based on the way this campaign has gone, and the fact that the damn thing just won't die.
That, combined with the bar having been set to 'double digits,' it was just obvious to me that we were going to end up with something that would be hair-splitting.
But, of course, the media hasn't split a damn thing.
Anyone with any math ability (and the ability to put decimal places on their graphics displays) would know that the result rounds to 9 points, rather than the 10 that Hillary Clinton needed.
But that's not entertaining enough, so we're fed the pap that is 'Hillary Pulls It Off.'
With that in mind, and an entire two weeks to go until the next pair of states, I'm already ready to give you my prediction, using the same method that I used for the last one.
As of today, what I've heard is that 'Hillary needs to win Indiana.' No specific numbers. 'Obama needs to win both.'
The media will go with 'Clinton needs to win.' So, delegate math isn't relevant. Even the current Clinton invented metric of popular vote isn't relevant. If Clinton gets Indiana by 1 vote, she will have won Indiana, and therefore things will go on to June.
My prediction: NC doesn't matter. Obama will do exceedingly well there.
However, I predict, IN:
Clinton 50.1
Obama 49.9
I'll also predict that between the two primaries, Obama will gain enough votes and pledged delegates to overcome the Pennsylvania losses. But, since the media is in the process of deciding that Clinton winning is what matters, when she wins, the media will keep this thing going because it's exciting and drives ratings.
I reserve the right to change my prediction up until the day before the election, when the 'what Clinton needs' narrative will have coalesced a bit more.