This is my first posted diary. So please be generous:
Consistently both the mainstream press and even left leaning blogs have let Camp Clinton frame the narrative, which states count, which win margins count, and all that. Folks here on Dailykos (elsewhere on Huffpost, etc.) have seen through this framing, but headlines should be reading "Despite victory in PA. Clinton cannot win." Instead the press is largely complicit in imagining a scenario in which Clinton could somehow take the election and I've heard a lot of buzz about how Clinton needs to win Indiana.
Or how she can stay in the race if she can only win Indiana.
Or how Indiana is her last hope.
But little mention of North Carolina, where Obama is the presumed favorite.
Well, that's a bunch of cr*p. The reality is that right now Hillary Clinton needs roughly 70% of the remaining pledged delegates to draw even and while that's never going to happen, they can pretend it is a possibility. Depending on how you count it she also needs an unrealistically large (60%) margin in popular vote from now on.
However, unless she wins BOTH North Carolina AND Indiana this will be impossible.
Look at the math. Even if she wins Indiana by PA margins and Obama only wins NC by 1% she can't recover her losses.
Right now the media is focusing on Indiana because it looks to be close there, but this is just another example of people following the Clinton spin that lets her chose her battles.
If we can get out there the framing that she needs to win both NC and IN, it will dishearten her supporters and bring them closer inline to the numerical realities of the campaign. We need to tell everyone we meet that Hillary needs both and given that some of us have media connections we can try get this framing accepted.
Truly, if Clinton doesn't make serious ground by taking the popular vote and pledged delegates in both she'll be impossibly behind on both measures.
If we tell Clinton supporters the battle is already over, they will get angry (I know, I've tried), but if we tell them she needs to win both IN and NC they will be disheartened and when it fails to happen they will feel as if they have lost.
Anyway, just an idea.