Indiana?
Nope
North Carolina?
Nope
Guam? West Viginia? Puerto Rico?
Nope, nope, and nope
Then where?
(just make the jump)
It is perfectly clear that the fate of the two candidates for the democratic nomination all comes down to one state.
A state that tends to be vote Democratic, but in which Republicans have done well enough to keep it from being a slam dunk.
A state in which nearly 90 percent of the voters are white; about 40 percent earn less than $50,000 annually; nearly 60 percent have no college degree; and half are over 50 years old (source).
A state with 74 delegates at stake. If Clinton can take at least 40 of them, two cases can be made: First, to superdelegates, Clinton can argue that Obama's streak is built soley on favorable demographics and that he can't win in the Democratic party's midwestern heartland. Second, a case to voters in subsequent primaries that Clinton is for real, which will allow her to roll back Obama's 149-delegate lead among pledged delegates in the race.
I speak, of course, of the great state of Wisconsin.
If Hillary can win there -- by any margin, really -- than the Obama romance can officially be declared over.
I wonder what will happen.*
(*Before the less astute among us rush to the phones to start calling Wisconsin voters, please note that the Wisconsin actually already happened -- Feb. 19, in fact. The best that can be said for Clinton is that it did manage to keep her deficit there below 20 percentage points.)