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I had an ephipany this morning after watching the Sunday morning talk shows: The MSM and the giant talking heads have somehow figured out some actual reality: Barack Obama will be the next President. On Russert, Georgie-boy, Fox, etc. Barack is the focus of all the discussions. How Barack must do this or that. What HRC or McCain can do, should do, will do to beat him. Obama, Obama, Obama. The media are being bombarded with facts supporting the 'Obama will win' narrative even as they attempt to keep the increasingly tired and silly 'this is a real race' meme propped up like a puppet. They, the media, are not ready to admit this, however. In a Bushworld type way, the MSM wants to keep ignoring those liitle pests called "FACTS." But reality is crashing in on them.

All the hand-wringing and conventional wisdom of the pundit-o-cracy is finally, inexorably being overtaken by the change-train represented by the Obama campaign. The more George Will fatuously opines on "he can't win the white vote" or David Broder ponderously claims that Barack must cave into HRC's under-doggy demand for an un-moderated debate, the more the scales are falling from my eyes. And ears, and brain.

Barack Obama is going to win the nomination and the White House. We already know that. The MSM and the press are just figuring it out. They don't want to face this because it demonstrates that rather than leading public opinion, they are almost hopelessly behind when it comes to this election. The old rules, their rules,  are becoming inoperative. Their search for momentum is in vain. Why? They used to create momentum and then drive it in the coverage. In this cycle though, the press are now always behind the news; too slow and too burdened by their obsolete paradigm.

SO: no more panicking at 6:30 AM, PDT before the Ras poll comes out. No more living by the Gallup daily. The poll trends are clear. BO is up and HRC is down. McCain can't win. Barack Obama will be the next president of the United States. I have not drunk the Kool-aid. I have just decided to live in a reality-based world. This is the reality.

Originally posted to fangorina on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 09:01 AM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  i like your post (9+ / 0-)

    but its BSM (bullshit media) not MSM.  That is way to flattering a term to describe them.  They aren't mainstream anymore.  They are dated and out of touch.  Like you pointed out.

  •  good analysis...i can now watch from a (7+ / 0-)

    different perspective...why would anyone want to talk about a loser

  •  George Will, David Broder and their ilk (5+ / 0-)

    have been lagging behind public opinion for years. They are clowns who are only respected by their fellow clowns. Yes, they still hold some sway over a certain demographic, but it is a shrinking one. This is the year a tipping point has been reached, the year that no one under the age of 40 gives a rats ass what Broder, etc. think about anything. They are obsolete, just like those clunky old telephones with the dials that we grew up with.

    The weak in courage is strong in cunning-William Blake

    by beltane on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 09:14:47 AM PDT

  •  And with the new voter regis. drive, they will be (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    vgranucci, bythesea, shortgirl

    even more out of touch-- up the creek without a paddle.  I can hardly wait!!

    Obama said he wanted new people brought into the process and politicians held accountable.  This will be a very good start at showing how fast some change can occur.

  •  Well I think they realized this (6+ / 0-)

    by one, looking at the map.  There are what, 7 or 8 states left?  And they won't make a damn difference.  You already know by the geography who's gonna win which state, or whether or not it's going to be close.  The race is OVER.

    The media also knows that under the glare of the general election attention, McCain isn't going to win.  He's another Bob Dole.  There's no big excitement or enthusiasm for him.  He has no chance of successfully selling staying in Iraq to the American people.

    "There have been tyrants, and murderers, and for a time they can seem invincible. But in the end they always fall. Think of it. Always." -- Mahatma Gandhi

    by duha on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 09:15:53 AM PDT

  •  I'm listening to Claire McCaskill speak for him (5+ / 0-)

    on CNN right now----she is a great spokesperson for him----smart, knocking down the usual talking points, defending him with reality and truth----that the story of his campaign is one for the history books and that he is the only answer to the hunger and need for bringing about fundamental change in how our government works.

  •  Broder actually said (6+ / 0-)

    that Obama had to debate HRC again because superdelegates might think he will not be willing to engage McCain in the fall otherwise!!!

    Any superdelegate that saw the last debate and the effect on the electorate that flooded ABC and blogs about how very stupid the whole debate was....cannot be thinking that voters are anxious for a repeat.
    And Broder thinks supers want a repeat of the democratic party deflating knife fight that occurred?

    Broder is nuts. Supers understand that Obama is holding fire on Clinton at this point to not alienate her supporters and he would have a completely different focus when McCain is the opponent.
    How can Broder be given credit for being a wise man?

  •  Schumer is making an ass of himself as usual (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    understandinglife, shortgirl

    on CNN, as I type. It's not true that Hillary's campaign knows she can't win! She's hit her stride! She's found her niche! She's taking it to the convention!

    Thank gawd Claire McCaskill is there to talk some sense. She is his very best surrogate.

    Let the great world spin for ever down the ringing grooves of change. - Tennyson

    by bumblebums on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 09:21:30 AM PDT

  •  Yes, and ignore the polls (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bythesea, shortgirl, Sedi, jfromga

    Polls this far out aren't meaningful. Political scientists know that presidential elections can generally be predicted based on fundamental factors, such as the state of the economy, whether the country is at war, and the popularity of the incumbent.

    This is shaping up as an election Democrats almost can't lose. The quantitative models are showing the Republicans getting about 47% this time around. Even if race is a factor in a way we haven't had before, maybe it narrows it to something like 51-49; it's hard to imagine it really being a much bigger factor than it's always been previously (the real racists weren't voting Democrat anyway).

    All Obama has to do to keep improving in those polls is keep getting his message out. As long as his beliefs and positions get out there through all of the noise, he should win.

  •  Also to protect their sponsors? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    shortgirl, jfromga

    The corporations that support the media with ad dollars are also in panic mode.
    I suspect 'backlash', 'payback' and even 'blowback' may be coming to mind as they watch the movement and contemplate the presidency that might just stop their Gilded Age lifestyles.

    The only piece of paranoia I am unable to drop, possibly because it is the anniversary season, is the notion that somehow Obama will be assassinated.

    I have to wonder how much some people are willing to risk saving their overbloated existence. Do they contemplate what kind of revolution might be triggered?  

    "Freedom's just another word for nothin' left to lose."

    There's a lot of people realizing that they are losing the basics of a decent standard of living, and the probability of being able to maintain, let alone reverse their downward spiral. Will they care what risks they take to restore the Republic?  

    The corporate moguls and media people are waking up to the possibilty that something they have worked for years to keep hypnotised and unreactive has started waking up.

    As the Japanese found out, an awakened America becomes a giant.

    This why the Revolution will not be televised :)

  •  The media is becoming irrelavent ...... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    shortgirl, Hark, jfromga

    I think the thing that terrifies the Traditional Media and the Republicans is that the American people are starting to think for themselves.  The tactics of 2000 and 2004 aren't working in 2008.

    The Traditional Media and the Republicans are trying  to set the narrative.  The American people ignore them and say we will not be told what we should be outraged about.

    This is something new and scary for the gatekeepers.  No wonder they are trying their best to take Barack Obama down.  No matter what happens, Barack has changed the way campaigns will be run in the future.

    There was a post recently that itemized the many forces against Barack.  Some examples are:

    1. The Traditional Media
    1. Right wing radio
    1. A former First Lady
    1. A former President
    1. A GOP nominee
    1. A sitting President
    1. The Republican Party  
    1. 24/7 Cable News
  •  The pundit-o-cracy is entertainment, not news. (3+ / 0-)

    These people are performance artists - they are part of the show.

    Their opinions are dead on delivery.  Reminding someone  of previous statements is embarrassingly futile.

    Their only accountability is ratings, and ratings have no basis in reality.

    "Only a man's character is the real criterion of worth" - Eleanor Roosevelt

    by jarotra on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 09:49:23 AM PDT

  •  I'm loving it (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bythesea, Hark

    Obama even swept Fox off it's feet. Bill Kristol sat sputtering like a startled Jabba the Hut.  Here's to reality!!!

  •  Hell, why even hold an election? eom. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    shortgirl

    The Democratic party: nominating unelectable Presidential candidates since 1972. (inapplicable within 3 years of Watergate and to the man from Hope)

    by raatzie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 09:50:53 AM PDT

  •  I disagree (0+ / 0-)

    because I think McCain is receiving that annointing.  They are just warming up for after Barack gets the nomination.  

  •  The tone did seem different (0+ / 0-)

    this Sunday morning.  I think the inevitable is finally sinking in, maybe they did the math, maybe they heard what Jim Clyburn had to say and realize unless there is a civil war within the Dem. party, that Obama will be the nominee...

    The pundits now have to save face and try to look relevant to the outcome, and keep their ratings up; the only way to do that is pretend that Hillary might be able to win somehow.

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