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It's primary day in Indiana, and there is almost a carnival atmosphere in the air.

I'm 5th generation Hoosier and a Hoosier blogger, so I deeply love the state. But, I'm under no illusions about our political significance. Normally we are a political backwater - generally being declared Republican within 60 seconds of the polls closing in any Presidential race. 1964 was the last time the state went to the Democratic presidential candidate. 1968 was the last election anyone campaigned for the Presidency in Indiana. So, I'm going to take a moment to bask in the momentary spotlight.

Below the fold, I'll try to provide a round up of the word from the Hoosier blogosphere.

My wife and I both experienced something shocking in terms voting in an Indiana primary: a line. Lemming got to her polling place at 6:05 a.m. and the place was full. It took her 45 minutes to vote.

Abdul put up some predictions - he is bucking the consensus and thinks that Obama will win the primary. For state races, he figures Jill Long Thompson will beat out Jim Schellinger to challenge Gov. Daniels in the fall. And, for IN-07, formerly Julia Carson's seat, he thinks Julia's grandson Andre will benefit greatly from Obama's endorsement to beat some strong competition from Myers and Orentlicher. However, he is noticing a trend in that race wherein the Republicans crossing over for Hillary are also voting for Myers.  

Left in Aboite notes expectations in Allen County (Fort Wayne area) of 50% voter turnout which is a significant increase from past years.

Vox Populi has a prediction thread at Blue Indiana (with a cool $5.06 contribution awaiting the most accurate prognoticator.) The consensus seems to be about a 5 - 6 point Clinton victory in Indiana. My sense is that most of the predictions come from Obama supporters who are used to having their hearts broken politically and who are making their predictions accordingly.

Finally, outside of the blogosphere, Libby Copeland, writing for the Washington Post, has an article about Muncie, Indiana in light of today's primary. The piece has an anthropologist-among-the-natives vibe to it, but overall isn't too bad. Apparently Muncie has been used as the epitome of "middle America" in various studies over the last century or so. The heart of the story, in my opinion, is this:

Cantrell, 51, says he'll be voting Democratic this election. He's not sure for whom yet, but Democratic for sure. Hillary or that guy, whatever his name is.

"As far as I'm concerned, the Republicans have turned things to [expletive]," he says. "I'm working two jobs now just so I can put gas in my van."

Cantrell talks about what it was like when his dad came up from the South, like so many others, to work in the parts plants in Muncie. How the city was thriving then. If people think this is Middle America, he says, they're wrong. Muncie doesn't represent Middle America anymore.


"Well, I hope Middle America is a little better than what's around here," he says. "Otherwise, that's depressing."

However, the story misses a trick by failing to mention Lazy Muncie which probably does as good a job as anything in capturing the spirit of the town:

Originally posted to mhojo on Tue May 06, 2008 at 06:39 AM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Thanks for the insight n/t (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gogol, hideinplainsight, wtguy
  •  What's your sense on the Voter ID law? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    and Operation Chaos?  

    These are the issues that scare me today.

    •  Voter ID/Operation Chaos (6+ / 0-)

      My sense is that those disenfranchised by the Voter ID requirements at the polls will have minimal impact in today's election in terms of the results. I suspect that, as between Obama and Clinton supporters, it's a wash. It's probably more of an issue come November when it's Democrat versus Republican.

      I don't have anything to back this up, but I suspect that Operation Chaos is more hype than anything else. It's a way for Limbaugh and his supporters to deceive themselves about the Republican party's collapse. They can point to the heavy Democratic primary voting numbers and soothe themselves by saying "it's Operation Chaos at work -- those voters will come back to the fold in November."

      Now, if Operation Chaos does generate a significant number of Republicans crossing over to cause mischief, I wonder what impact that would have on the Republican primary races down ticket without a bunch of ditto-heads voting in those races.

      I'm here to represent the needle in the vein of the establishment.

      by mhojo on Tue May 06, 2008 at 06:50:22 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Thanks, good links too. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    If man was created with Free Will, why create Religion to take it away? Weise

    by hideinplainsight on Tue May 06, 2008 at 06:46:02 AM PDT

  •  I still think (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mhojo, oak510, MooseHB

    it's going to come down to NW Indiana... IN-1, IN-2... turnout in South Bend, in Gary, in the other burgs that dot the area.

    Recent cross-tabs show HRC with a lead there - closing in IN-1, perhaps moving IN-2 into her column.... and I'm just not seeing it.  Obama's got the media market, the machines (Clay and Luecke), and the most significant area surrogate to declare (Tim Roemer) in his corner.

    1/4 of IN's population lives in the area from the IL border east to South Bend.  Two of the four most African-American counties are in this area.  

    If Obama wins Lake County by strong margins... if he can fight Porter and LaPorte to near ties... if he can pull out a moderate win in St Joseph county.... lots of ifs, but well within the realm.

    I guess everyone's got their own blog now.

    by zonk on Tue May 06, 2008 at 06:49:14 AM PDT

  •  Nice writeup, mhojo! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Thanks for this.

    I'm in Tippecanoe County/Lafayette myself.  We had lines at 6:00 am, too.  

    Now I've got to wait 8 more hours before any hope of results.  UGH.

  •  I love Lazy Muncie (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mhojo, MooseHB

    "Look at all this parking, New York and LA.  I take up 3 spaces, no need to valet."  Brilliant.

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