Poblano has a great post this morning up at his site, fivethirtyeight.com, entitled Hillary's Oregon Problem. His main point is that because Oregon votes by mail, and because so many ballots have already been sent in, any supposedly game-changing event in her favor between now and Election Day won't matter much because the election is already "literally in the (mail)bag."
But the best part of the post is that Poblano shows and compares the statements that Clinton and Obama made in the Oregon Voter's Pamphlet in support of their respective candidacies. It's a great comparison and Poblano's comment on them is just perfect. Go take a look, it's worth it.